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		<title>Avoiding Mistakes in Fantasy Hockey</title>
		<description>Comments for Avoiding Mistakes in Fantasy Hockey at http://hockey.dobbersports.com , comment 1 to 11 out of 11 comments</description>
		<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com</link>
		<lastBuildDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 01:37:38 +0100</lastBuildDate>
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			<title>grrrrrrrrrr</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23182</link>
			<description>Robbie Schremp and Cameron Mann!!!!!!!!! Boy, was I wrong!!!! I paid big-time to get these 2!!!  - martmart</description>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2012 10:03:08 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23181</link>
			<description>I would have to say that my worse one was Nikita Filatov who probably falls into both the Rushed and Hype Warnings - MacLiii</description>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:00:05 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23179</link>
			<description>Selling high is never easy, which is why so many people never do it.

I'm not saying to create warning signs, but if a player starts to show a few of them, perhaps its time to readjust opinion.  - angus</description>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2012 06:12:16 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23178</link>
			<description>It’s always interesting to look back with 20/20 hindsight, but if we applied these scenarios to today’s prospects/young players, we’d probably be wrong at least half the time and end up giving up on players too soon. Those are the mistakes I would rather avoid. Instead of getting nervous and cutting bait because of “warning signs” that might be benign, I'd rather pick my guys and keep the faith until proven otherwise.  - jsuites</description>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2012 05:53:11 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>The Next Step</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23177</link>
			<description>My own experience with 95%+ of prospects is that we can't make an educated assumption about their NHL fantasy-value based on what we've seen in any non-NHL league.  The exceptions are the Tavares or Stamkos or Seguin or Crosby... if a player absolutely dominates a junior level and is drafted #1 or #2, you know they are the real deal.  But that's about it for my true-confidence level, top 3 draft picks that dominated their levels.  For me, I'm only confident about guys coming out of the OHL &amp; WHL.  A 2nd or 3rd overall pick out of the QMJHL still has some iffy-ness... IMO.  Also a 2nd or 3rd overall pick from the USHL or NCAA or overseas... still could be iffy... IMO. (except for a year when you have Ovechkin/Malkin, say).

So - all that said, I see way too many people on the boards who have strong opinions that guys selected outside of the top 3 are going to be rock-solid in the NHL.  I've never owned Filatov or Kadri or Pouliot in any leagues.

Last year, I remember a thread where a guy had the opportunity to trade up to #2 and select Landeskog or wait at #3 and take Rundblad.  The consensus had him waiting for Rundblad (a guy who dominated a water-down SEL).

The biggest problem in prospects (or anything) is that we invest time into studying something/somebody and then decide we need to invest physically in that something.  Sometimes we have to spend time analyzing/studying and then stop and say... this is worthless and I shouldn't be investing.

I can't really name a player I've been wrong about... because I'm really hesitant to comment &quot;positively&quot; about any prospect until I've seen them play 5 games in the NHL (or unless they are part of that ELITE 5% of #1-#3 overall picks that I trust).

But... (one last thought in this ramble)... a lot of leagues these days do have prospect rosters, so it is important to discuss &quot;who is better/best of the bunch&quot;.  We just simply have to separate from saying &quot;JoeSchmoe will make it in the NHL&quot; - so often.

My 2 cents. - Pengwin7</description>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2012 04:45:02 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23176</link>
			<description>Chistov, oh man, I definitely remember him.  I loved him in Anaheim, and then he just fizzled out.  That was definitely the WJC effect, as was my love for [b]Alexander Svitov[/b], who went two spots ahead of him in the 2001 Draft.

[b]Steve Eminger[/b] was an exposure effect guy.  Watched a ton of him with the Kitchener Rangers, and should have taken into account that he was playing with a stacked team.

And Frolik.  Guys a bust at this point who's had all the opportunity in the world.  I thought he'd be a lot better.

Finally, and this isn't for me, but having lived in Toronto, every Maple Leafs fan was guilty on the [b]Justin Pogge[/b] front.  I cannot tell you how many people thought he'd be by far a superior goalie to Rask, and felt he'd be an all-star goalie. - TavesSoul</description>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2012 04:04:52 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>Hugh Jessiman</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23175</link>
			<description>I was fooled by the hype around Hugh Speciman. Thought he might have been a great talent who had it all. Boy was i wrong...
 - Onetimer</description>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2012 02:26:52 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23174</link>
			<description>Todd Harvey
Inthe lock out 95 WJC he was the best player on the ice. And he was a local hamilton bot to boot. I pegged him as thte next Pat Verbeek. Instead he was the next James Vanderbeek. - mormerod</description>
			<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2012 20:13:36 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23173</link>
			<description>Beware of more talented linemates.  Is the player strong on the puck?  Watch his offensive moves/style, will it translate to the NHL? - DuklaNation</description>
			<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2012 17:09:57 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23172</link>
			<description>I was a Moller fan as well.  He was awesome playing for Team Sweden.

One thing you might add, Jeff, is the right situation.  Sometimes being rushed into the NHL isn't a bad thing if you are put in the right situation.  Moller was an offensive guy and may have fit in better with a team like Florida or Columbus where he could have been handed a top six role.  

Another Kings player I like is Andrei Loktionov...same situation.

Cody Franson - big guy - offensive - decent stats per minutes played.  I was sure this guy would be a 45 pt d-man with decent periperals by now.

Michael Frolik - this guy is looking like a failed prospect.  He hasn't had the injuries to fall back on and he has had opportunity.
Tomas Tatar - still waiting




 - Rad64</description>
			<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2012 17:08:17 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/jeff-angus/5038-avoiding-mistakes-in-fantasy-hockey#comment-23171</link>
			<description>I think I have one hopefully someone remembers...Stanislav Chistov.
He was supposed to be the &quot;Russian Paul Kariya&quot;.
Now, whenever I hear &quot;this guys the next (fill in blank) I cringe. - Loki</description>
			<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2012 17:05:22 +0100</pubDate>
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