Comments for Advancers and Decliners at http://hockey.dobbersports.com , comment 1 to 10 out of 10 comments http://hockey.dobbersports.com Thu, 23 May 2013 10:06:00 +0100 FeedCreator 1.7.3 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-19009 I am really torn with whether he can keep it up... The million dollar question is whether or not he can take some minutes away from Kesler... Hodgson has had 12 points in the last 30 days while Kesler has had 8. A lot of it is the fact that people key in on Kesler but not yet Hodgson. I think Hodgson has elite vision already and huge upside... What would his points be if his points per minute pace was kept and he was playing 16 minutes a game? Obviously you would adjust that for the fact that he would be playing against tougher competition but it would be interesting to know. - Austin Wed, 18 Jan 2012 14:00:23 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18983 Sorry missed your post earlier... That's the million dollar question. If you're asking me to bet my house on it, I would have to say no... Just 13 mins a game, and 2:22 on the PP the last 2 weeks. But with that said, I've noticed a trend with young kids, Eberle and Seguin, they're bucking the trend... But they're still getting 16+, where as Hodgson is getting 13... You can't really expect him to keep it up playing just 14 a game... - Ryan Ma Tue, 17 Jan 2012 19:01:32 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18982 Because the difference is in the ice-time/opportunity. If you've watched any of the Blues games the last little while, the big line is Oshie, Backes and Perron at the moment. There were a few times in last night's game that saw Stewart got pulled from the line to insert Oshie... I really wanted to insert Oshie in there instead, but he was 55% Yahoo! owned, so he was less likely to be available than the 16% Yahoo! owned Perron, which is why Perron was mentioned more in the article than Oshie. Hitch has a ton of confidence in that big line at the moment... I can't get a replay of last night's goal at the moment, but when Oshie scored that front of the net goal, the camera panned in on Hitch, and you can see him utter the words "Wow". That shows me that he's in the good books and will have his confidence from here on out. The reason Perron is going to success and Stewart is going to continue in mediocrity is because Perron is averaging 19:43 and 3:34 on the PP while Stewart is averaging 15:37 and 2:31... That's 4 mins and 1 min on the PP each game that Perron is getting more than Stewart, If you translate that over the remaining 37 games, that's an extra 148 mins of extra ES time and 37 mins of extra PP that Perron has over Stewart. Obviously things can change, but based on now, Perron is the way to go. - Ryan Ma Tue, 17 Jan 2012 14:02:38 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18981 Do you think that Hodgson with his low TOI numbers will continue to thrive? - Austin Tue, 17 Jan 2012 13:56:49 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18980 That's the thing that worries me, is that he's so dependent on ES scoring at the moment that I just don't know if he can keep it up for the rest of the season... The lowest scorer in the top 50 has a ratio of 68.4/18.4/13.2 ratio of ES/SH/PP (Parise), with the PP opps. drying up in Detroit, I just don't know if Franzen can continue to get 100% of his points on ES and still maintain his 0.84 point-per-game clip... As mentioned in the article, it's not a "red alert\" panic have to move him type of move, but if you are a smarter poolie, you can start to recognize trends and maybe move him for a "safer" option like Alfy, Pominville, Elias or something to that extent... - Ryan Ma Tue, 17 Jan 2012 13:45:21 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18979 Thanks a bunch! - Ryan Ma Tue, 17 Jan 2012 13:33:22 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18978 I don't understand how you can say that David Perron is going to have a pretty strong second half, and that Chris Stewart won't have any opportunity in Saint-Louis... as they are linemates! I agree that Perron is playing on the first PP unit and Stewart has to play on the other 40% of PP time, but this doesn't make big difference... surely not enough to be part of a Decliners. I understand that Perron didn't played a lot this season so his stats will increase, but we can say the same thing with Stewart. With the offense by committee, he was stock on the third line with David Payne. Now he's seeing first line duty with talented players like Backes & Perron. I could bet his stats will increase also, whatever his shooting percentage says. - Phil Nault Tue, 17 Jan 2012 11:53:24 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18977 Excellent article! I own Franzen so I was particularly interested in your take there. He did have a cool-off period in December / early January, but in his last 8 games he has 4G 3A (all even strength) with 21 SOG and a plus-6 rating. It's also true that only 10 of his 38 points this year have come on the PP, so maybe this is the year where he breaks free of his PP dependency? Anyway, just food for though. Really enjoyed this piece, keep 'em coming! - Mule Tue, 17 Jan 2012 11:28:08 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18974 great articles ma - keep'em coming. I appreciate you dumbing down the math for me, but I'm pretty sure its layman (as in lay-person) not lehman (as in the defunct investment bank) ;D - blammo Tue, 17 Jan 2012 08:34:32 +0100 http://hockey.dobbersports.com/index.php/columnistsarticles-mainmenu-77/amato/4300-advancers-and-decliners#comment-18972 Incredible. Loved it. This is the best statistical stuff on DobberHockey. Amazing... so much value - and great insights. Great work!!! (I hate having nothing to nit-pick... grrrr....) - Pengwin7 Tue, 17 Jan 2012 08:27:11 +0100