RGIII @ Cleveland
Freeman @ New Orleans

It looks like RGIII will start, but with the knee issues and the fact that Freeman is playing against one of the worst pass defenses in the league means I'm leaning towards Freeman, though only barely.

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18 team league, keep 12 plus *4 1st/2nd year players (16 total)
Points Only (w/ NHL salaries), start 8F/4D/1G
Note: Defencemen receive 1 point per 45 mins of ice time.

Forwards:
Nash, Vanek, Couture, Berglund, Wheeler, Perron, P. Kane, *Baertschi, Semin, *Nyquist, *Atkinson, Tanguay, Cervenka

Defense:
Ehrhoff, Leddy, Voynov, *Orlov, Timonen, Postma, Brodin, Donovan

Goalie:
Halak, Dubnyk, Neuvirth

I do agree with your logic however in the playoffs I stick with the horse you rode to get there. It is tough but if it were me I would roll with RG3.
Best of luck

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13 team Roto keeper league 12 F, 6D, 2G, G,A,+/-, PIMS, Hits, TOI(D), GAA, SV%, (Forwards are forwards, no distinction between L,R,C)

F) Ovechkin, Stamkos, Kane, Ryan, Clarkson, Couture, Ribeiro, Moulson, Van Riemsdyk, Orr, B. Morrow, R.Malone
D) S. Weber, Phaneuf, Subban, Shattenkirk, J. Johnson, Hedman
G) Rask, Khudobin
IR) RNH