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Old 07-23-2012, 01:07 AM
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Default Keeper Question *REP

I have a keeper question. Keepers in my league cannot be dropped and I'm having trouble picking my 4th keeper. I have a QB and 2 RB's kept as my first 3.
FOr my 4th I have the choice between Kenny Brit, Antonio Brown and Aaron Hernandez. Who would you keep?

Kenny Britt - ACL surgery and off-field issues. Has the best upside by far though.

A.Brown - Does Mike Wallace hold out help or hinder him? Helps by giving him more targets, hinders by not having someone take away double coverage. Pitts without Mendenhall may go more pass heavy but have we seen Brown's peak already. Kind of early but he doesn't have the size to become elite but then again neither does Steve Smith or Welker. He won't be a red-zone target so TD's will be hard to come by. Also Ward retired, so many questions around him.

A.Hernandez - Well there's Welker, Gronk and now Lloyd. He was 3rd last year in TE scoring though. Worthy of a keeper spot?

Obviously Britt is the biggest risk/reward. Who do you like better Brown or Hernandez? and then would you take them over Britt?
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Old 07-23-2012, 09:51 AM
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In a keeper league you keep Britt. No quesiton
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Old 07-23-2012, 11:21 AM
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Britt for me.
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Old 07-23-2012, 11:47 AM
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I keep Aaron Hernandez - I can replace WR later in the draft and Britt's having trouble staying on the field and not in a squad car. Aaron Hernandez is the 2nd best TE on his own team, but probably 3rd best in the league.

Britt's a very good WR, but not elite.
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Old 07-23-2012, 12:34 PM
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Brown

I believe he's hardly being talked about this year, so I'll throw a couple figures out there. (I wasn't even aware of these stats until I just researched them now)

2011-12 Targets
Antonio Brown: 124
Mike Wallace: 113

Yards at catch
Antonio Brown: 11
Mike Wallace: 9.7

Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying Brown is a greater threat than Wallace, but I'm pointing at the fact Brown ain't no slouch, and the pass-heavy Steelers offense loves this guy. If your league counts punt return points too, Brown is a special teams STUD so that adds even more value to this 24-year old's fantasy upside.


Britt

Britt I believe has the better physical size to be more of a star than the smaller slot-sized Brown (like you mentioned), but for me he is really injury prone.


Hernandez

With Lloyd now there, I'm not sold on there being enough ball to throw around for him to be as productive as last year while competing with Gronks-Lloyd-Welker-Branch for touches.


In conclusion, I'd probably go with Britt and as soon as he has a good week ship him and his big name out for someone better than Brown or Hernandez in a trade to a sucker who thinks this guy will actually remain healthy

If you don't want to take this route, which can be risky, as it relies on Britt actually having a productive week before he gets injured, and involves a trading partner believing in his health, then I'd keep Brown as per the reasons noted above. I think this route would give you the biggest bang for your buck.


Hope this helps! Cheers
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Old 07-23-2012, 12:39 PM
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I'd pick based on your other keepers.

If you think you need the "upside" to win the pool... go Britt.
If you want to go with something more steady... go A.Brown.

I wouldn't go with Hernandez... too buried.
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Old 07-23-2012, 04:07 PM
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Thanks for all the replies. Seems like Britt's the way to go. Brown being close. Those were the 2 I was debating most between. Britt's the guy who can come in and get you a lot of points but maybe only play half a season. Whereas Brown will come in and get you a less but more consistent score.
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Old 07-24-2012, 06:44 PM
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Can you post your scoring system? If it's PPR I would not keep Britt. Too many question marks going into training camp. I would go with Brown or Hernandez for sure in a PPR league, slightly favoring Hernandez.

Non-PPR I could recommend keeping Britt for the upside
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Old 07-24-2012, 08:25 PM
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I'd actually have Britt as the 3rd choice of the 3. We've seen plenty of players with a ton of talent simply flame out because they couldn't stay out of trouble.

To me it's a toss-up between Brown and Hernandez. Both of them have teammates who require double-coverage (Wallace and Gronk/Lloyd) so they should post healthy numbers beating a single defender. If it's a PPR I'd go Hernandez and if not I'd probably go Brown, especially if it's a return yards league.
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Old 07-26-2012, 11:25 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DelZottoOverRated View Post
Thanks for all the replies. Seems like Britt's the way to go. Brown being close. Those were the 2 I was debating most between. Britt's the guy who can come in and get you a lot of points but maybe only play half a season. Whereas Brown will come in and get you a less but more consistent score.
Exactly! That's precisely why I say up above keep Britt, but then trade him after he has a really good week or couple of good weeks to start the year. Good luck with your decision!
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Roster:
C - Stamkos, Bergeron, M.Koivu, Stepan
W - Malkin(C/W), Benn(C/W), Backes(C/W), Iginla, Vanek, Voracek, J.Staal(C/W), Hemsky, Saad
D - Yandle, Goligoski
G - Lundqvist, Smith, Dubnyk, Khudobin
IR - Karlsson, Martin

12 teams h-to-h partial keeper league. Daily line-up changes.
End of the year u keep 1C, 2W, 2D, 1G
Categories: G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, SHP, GWG, FW, W, GAA, SV%, SHO
Lineup: 2C, 4W, 4D, 2G, 5Bench, 2IR
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