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  #11  
Old 07-26-2012, 07:58 AM
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Originally Posted by Fast Tony DeNiro View Post
His GP totals through his career have been 81, 78, 79, 77, 66, 66, and 77. That's two years with any substantial time missed, albeit a lot of those 66 games in each year were played at far less than 100%.

I don't really see MM as being all that brittle. He's totally recovered from his knee injuries, and although speed used to be such a huge part of his game, he's adapted very well with the step lost due to surgeries.

Filppula and Michalek for me. PIM and +/- can be found on the waiver wire, 66 points (Filppula) and 35 goals (Michalek) can't.
Well said FTD. I couldnt agree more with your comments and your decision.


I would also keep Filppula and Michalek.
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  #12  
Old 07-26-2012, 09:16 AM
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Originally Posted by Fast Tony DeNiro View Post
His GP totals through his career have been 81, 78, 79, 77, 66, 66, and 77. That's two years with any substantial time missed, albeit a lot of those 66 games in each year were played at far less than 100%.

I don't really see MM as being all that brittle. He's totally recovered from his knee injuries, and although speed used to be such a huge part of his game, he's adapted very well with the step lost due to surgeries.

Filppula and Michalek for me. PIM and +/- can be found on the waiver wire, 66 points (Filppula) and 35 goals (Michalek) can't.
Great points, I guess my only rebuttle to that would be that two of those 66 GP seasons have come in the last three years...so they're a lot more recent which kind of turns me off a little bit.

And with regards to Michalek providing 35 goals, I don't think he gets to 35 goals again next season. 30 maybe...but I have serious doubts about 35. Michalek shot wildly above his career shooting %, shooting .165 compared to a career average of .127, and that is even with the .165 boosting it up a bit.

If you take his career shooting% and multiply it by the shots he took last year, he would have had 27 goals...not saying he's incapable of hitting 30-35 but I'd put the odds as more likely that he'll be in the 25-30 range next season, which is essentially where Burrows has been the past 4 seasons (one of them also hitting 35 goals).

But I can see this decision coming down to personal preference anyway. Wouldn't fault someone for taking Michalek but I'd take Burrows.
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Old 07-26-2012, 10:04 AM
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Keep Filp & Michalek.
Drop Burrows.

Burrows is the 3rd wheel on that Sedin line.
Magic of the "3rd wheel" guy is often there for a season... or two... and then it's gone.

Kevin Stevens?
Devon Setoguchi?
Jonathan Cheechoo?

Burrows value is completely tied to playing on the Sedins line... and that's too big a risk for me to make him a keeper.

As an aside, if your keeper date is close to start of NHL season - you may be able to find out who VAN is lining up with the Sedins and make your decision then.
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  #14  
Old 07-27-2012, 03:21 PM
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Originally Posted by b0ndon View Post
Great points, I guess my only rebuttle to that would be that two of those 66 GP seasons have come in the last three years...so they're a lot more recent which kind of turns me off a little bit.

And with regards to Michalek providing 35 goals, I don't think he gets to 35 goals again next season. 30 maybe...but I have serious doubts about 35. Michalek shot wildly above his career shooting %, shooting .165 compared to a career average of .127, and that is even with the .165 boosting it up a bit.

If you take his career shooting% and multiply it by the shots he took last year, he would have had 27 goals...not saying he's incapable of hitting 30-35 but I'd put the odds as more likely that he'll be in the 25-30 range next season, which is essentially where Burrows has been the past 4 seasons (one of them also hitting 35 goals).

But I can see this decision coming down to personal preference anyway. Wouldn't fault someone for taking Michalek but I'd take Burrows.
Well, I do totally agree on Michalek. He's definitely a sell-high if you can find the right offer, as that 16.5% is not sustainable. I do think as long as he's finishing off Spezza wiffleballs he can carry a higher SH% but I don't know if 16.5 is realistic even then.

However, I think the 25 assists he had last year was low. He's a good passer who's kind of taken on the role of pure finisher since getting to Ottawa. But with a little more goal scoring now in the Sens lineup I think his assists might come up a bit which should cover any drop in goals.
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