Banner
Fantasy Sports Forums - Dobber Sports  

Go Back   Fantasy Sports Forums - Dobber Sports > Fantasy Hockey Forum > General Hockey Chat
Login at DobberHockey

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #21  
Old 01-16-2013, 12:02 AM
mister_mcgoo's Avatar
mister_mcgoo mister_mcgoo is online now
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 14,539
 
Rep Power: 53
mister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond reputemister_mcgoo has a reputation beyond repute
Dobber Sports Legend
Default

lame...I was pumped for a nice parlay bet but they aren't doing it...lame
__________________
Thats me on the street with a violin under my chin, playing with a grin, singing gibberish.





P=1 DPts=1.2 +/-=.32 PIM=.08 PPP=.4 SHP=.6 S=.015 Blk=.2 Hit=.08
W=2 OTL=.8 GA=-.64 SV=.08 SO=3

Pro (23 keep 17)
C- Filppula,Turris,Stastny,Backstrom
D-Boyle,MDZ,Karlsson,Robidas,Goligoski,Schenn,Seiden berg
G-Anderson,Hiller,Rinne
LW-Malone,Parise,Rolston,Eriksson,Ruutu
RW-Alfredsson,Callahan,Setoguchi,Brown,Ryder,Vrbata

Farm (9 keep all, max 200 GP, 100 Goalies)
Colborne,Leblanc,Loktionov,Perreault,Tangradi,Blum ,Poulin,Markstrom
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 01-16-2013, 12:03 AM
Mr. Guru's Avatar
Mr. Guru Mr. Guru is online now
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 3,071
 
Location: Toronto
Rep Power: 24
Mr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond repute
Dobber Sports Superstar
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockeyrobot View Post
Wowwwwwwwwwwwwww and here I thought they finally added the parlay for these types of bets like many offshore sites. That just sucks.
Do you know a site that will let me parlay these bets? That would be awesome.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 01-16-2013, 12:08 AM
hockeyrobot's Avatar
hockeyrobot hockeyrobot is online now
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 7,413
 
Rep Power: 25
hockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond repute
Dobber Sports Monster
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Guru View Post
Do you know a site that will let me parlay these bets? That would be awesome.
Sportingbet.com is the only other one Ive used and while you can parlay all of the bets they have...they have still yet to bring in NHL player props
__________________

12 team H2H Keeper
G,A,PP,PIM,SOG
W,GAA,SV%,SO
C:Giroux,Zberg,Marleau,Kadri
LW:Ovi,Neal,Pach,Benn
RW:Perry,MSL,Wheeler
D:Yandle,Subban,Edler,OEL
G: Lundqvist,Miller,MAF

12 Team H2H
R,2b,3b,HR,RBI,AVG,SB,BB,K,E
W,L,SV,HLD,K,ERA,WHIP
C:Buck
1B:Santana
2B:Kipnis
3B:Zimmer
SS:Tulo
LF:Marte
CF:McCutch
RF:Pence
Util:Ozuna
SP:Cain,Moore,Latos,Kennedy,Ryu,Guthrie
RP:Henderson,Rivera,League,Gregerson,Herrera
DL:Hart,Anderson,Bailey
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 01-16-2013, 01:33 PM
LawMan LawMan is online now
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 529
 
Rep Power: 7
LawMan is just really niceLawMan is just really niceLawMan is just really niceLawMan is just really niceLawMan is just really niceLawMan is just really niceLawMan is just really nice
Dobber Sports Ace
Default

Bodog really knows their audience! Other than the superstars every player listed is on a Canadian team. I agree with Pengwin's theory that bettor's are optimistic and I'll add that most guys betting on the Canadian team players are homers pushing the line up and making the under good value. The same reason teams like the Leafs, Yankees, Lakers, Cowboys, Celtics always have low odds in any prop or future because their large fan bases will bet on them no matter what.

I like:
Hemsky UNDER 26.5
H. Sedin UNDER 50.5
D. Sedin UNDER 48.5

On the team props I like the following lines:
Wild MISS playoffs pays $305 (on a $100 bet)
Coyotes MAKE playoffs pays $340
Capitals MISS playoffs pays $500

Keep in mind on these I'm not looking for something I think is over 50% to happen I'm looking for a good chance rekative to the payoff.
__________________
12 team H-2-H 1 year league, daily roster 3 goalie start minimum
2xC, 2xRW, 2xLW, 4xD, 3xUtil, 2xG, 5 Bench
G, A, P, +/-, PIM, PPP, SHP, GWG, Hits, W, SV%, GAA
C: Stamkos,Thornton, Riberio, Stepan, Desharnais, Clune
LW: Moulson, Dupuis, Prust,
RW: Kessel, P. Kane, Wheeler, Stempniak
D: Hamonic, Zidlicky, Franson, Muzzin
G: Bryzgalov, Hiller, Fasth
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 01-16-2013, 09:49 PM
Mr. Guru's Avatar
Mr. Guru Mr. Guru is online now
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 3,071
 
Location: Toronto
Rep Power: 24
Mr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond reputeMr. Guru has a reputation beyond repute
Dobber Sports Superstar
Default

wow, another shitty thing on bodog.

Just placed a bet, was going to go 'hard' on Smyth under 24.5, but the max amount you can bet on this wager is $141.45.

Just a heads up.
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 01-17-2013, 01:43 AM
SirIrish SirIrish is offline
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 161
 
Rep Power: 0
SirIrish is an unknown quantity at this point
Dobber Sports Apprentice
Default

Generally agree on taking the under but I will throw one out there for the over..

Dustin Brown 30.5 - only time he hasn't been over that pace were his first two full years of his career, last 5 were all over.
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 01-18-2013, 03:13 AM
hockeyrobot's Avatar
hockeyrobot hockeyrobot is online now
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 7,413
 
Rep Power: 25
hockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond repute
Dobber Sports Monster
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SirIrish View Post
Generally agree on taking the under but I will throw one out there for the over..

Dustin Brown 30.5 - only time he hasn't been over that pace were his first two full years of his career, last 5 were all over.
Interesting stuff Irish....I might lay something down on him now.
__________________

12 team H2H Keeper
G,A,PP,PIM,SOG
W,GAA,SV%,SO
C:Giroux,Zberg,Marleau,Kadri
LW:Ovi,Neal,Pach,Benn
RW:Perry,MSL,Wheeler
D:Yandle,Subban,Edler,OEL
G: Lundqvist,Miller,MAF

12 Team H2H
R,2b,3b,HR,RBI,AVG,SB,BB,K,E
W,L,SV,HLD,K,ERA,WHIP
C:Buck
1B:Santana
2B:Kipnis
3B:Zimmer
SS:Tulo
LF:Marte
CF:McCutch
RF:Pence
Util:Ozuna
SP:Cain,Moore,Latos,Kennedy,Ryu,Guthrie
RP:Henderson,Rivera,League,Gregerson,Herrera
DL:Hart,Anderson,Bailey
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 01-18-2013, 11:43 AM
hockeyrobot's Avatar
hockeyrobot hockeyrobot is online now
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 7,413
 
Rep Power: 25
hockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond reputehockeyrobot has a reputation beyond repute
Dobber Sports Monster
Default

Just laid my bets down now.

Took Carolina for the Cup at 23/1 as well as them hitting over 53.5 points

I think Neal at 25/1 and Tavares at 30/1 is too good not to take.

Lupul +32.5
Plekanec -33.5
Zetterberg +40.5

Columbus -46.5 points
Phoenix +50.5 points
__________________

12 team H2H Keeper
G,A,PP,PIM,SOG
W,GAA,SV%,SO
C:Giroux,Zberg,Marleau,Kadri
LW:Ovi,Neal,Pach,Benn
RW:Perry,MSL,Wheeler
D:Yandle,Subban,Edler,OEL
G: Lundqvist,Miller,MAF

12 Team H2H
R,2b,3b,HR,RBI,AVG,SB,BB,K,E
W,L,SV,HLD,K,ERA,WHIP
C:Buck
1B:Santana
2B:Kipnis
3B:Zimmer
SS:Tulo
LF:Marte
CF:McCutch
RF:Pence
Util:Ozuna
SP:Cain,Moore,Latos,Kennedy,Ryu,Guthrie
RP:Henderson,Rivera,League,Gregerson,Herrera
DL:Hart,Anderson,Bailey
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 01-18-2013, 02:03 PM
Pengwin7's Avatar
Pengwin7 Pengwin7 is offline
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,684
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
Rep Power: 25
Pengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond repute
Moderator
Default

Interesting notes on NHL Games:
1 out of every 5 games goes to OT. Thus, one extra point for the OTL.
Therefore, there are 11pts in 5 NHL games (10 NHL Team Games).
Each team getting an average of 1.1pts per game.

In an 82-game season, the average team will have 82x1.1=90.2pts.
In a 48-game season, the average team will have 48x1.1=52.8pts.

Summing up the bodog predictions and averaging comes to 54.3pts. (Again - note that this is higher, as people are generally optimists).

So, here's my picks (sorted by highest to lowest bodog predictions):
PIT 61.5. Under
NYR 60.5. Under
LA 58.5. Under
VAN 58.5. Under
BOS 57.5. Over
CHI 57.5. Under
PHI 57.5. Under
STL 57.5. Under
DET 56.5. Under
BUF 54.5. Over
MIN 54.5. Over
SJ 54.5. Over

WAS 54.5. Under
ANA 53.5. Under
CAR 53.5. Over
EDM 53.5. Over

MON 53.5. Under
NAS 53.5. Under
NJ 53.5. Under
TB 53.5. Under
TOR 53.5. Under
COL 52.5. Over
DAL 52.5. Over

FLA 52.5. Under
OTT 52.5. Under
CGY 50.5. Over
PHX 50.5. Under
WPG 50.5. Over
NYI 49.5. Over

CBJ 46.5. Under

My picks:
(11) Over
(19) Under
Not exactly balanced... is it?

Summary: Bet the under.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 03-12-2013, 02:54 PM
Pengwin7's Avatar
Pengwin7 Pengwin7 is offline
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,684
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
Rep Power: 25
Pengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond reputePengwin7 has a reputation beyond repute
Moderator
Default

Mid-season.
Time to take a look at my 12 over/under player picks for the year.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pengwin7 View Post
1. Claude Giroux, 52.5pts. UNDER.
Giroux has 25pts in 27games. On pace for 44pts.
He'll need 28pts in 21games to hit 53pts.
Outlook: Looking good.


2. Alex Ovechkin, 50.5pts. UNDER.
Ovechkin has 20pts in 24games. On pace for 40pts.
He'll need 31pts in 24games go OVER.
Outlook: Looking good.


3. Erik Karlsson, 39.5pts. UNDER
67.5pt pace is just too high. I have serious doubts that any of EK, Spezza, Michalek can repeat last year.
Um... I think I can give myself a CHECKMARK HERE.

4. Jason Spezza, 44.5pts. UNDER
Ditto.

5. Corey Perry, 43.5pts. UNDER
Perry has 24pts in 24games. On pace for 48pts.
He'll need 20pts in 24games to go OVER.
Outlook: NOT looking good with the hot top line.


6. Mike Cammalleri, 31.5pts. UNDER
Cammalleri has 17pts in 21games, missed 3. On pace for 34+pts.
Outlook: 50/50. We know he could get injured too... so either way.


7. Phil Kessel, 46.5pts. UNDER
Kessel has 23pts in 26games. On pace for 43pts.
He'll need 24pts in 22games to go OVER.
Outlook: Another 50/50 shot... but looking good.


8. Steven Stamkos, 55.5pts. UNDER
Stammer has 37pts in 25games. He's way OVER pace.
Outlook: MISS. He'll have to hit a wall or get injured to miss 56pts.


9. Ilya Kovalchuk, 47.5pts. UNDER
Kovy has 23pts in 26games. On pace for 43pts.
He'll need 25pts in 22games to be OVER.
Outlook: Still a chance to miss, but looking good.


10. Erik Cole, 32.5pts. UNDER. (*I'll make this my GUARANTEE. Yikes!)
Cole has just 7pts in 23games.
Outlook: Yeah... I'm awesome. Cole is not.


OK, OK... two overs... just to force myself to do it. (I'm not an optimist)

11. Rick Nash, 40.5pts. OVER.
Yes, I see him as a point-per-game guy.
Nash has 23pts in 20games, though he has missed 4 games.
If he misses another 4 games in the 2nd half, he'd still pace for 46pts.
Several people have bashed Nash as "same ol' guy", but anybody that has watched him play in NYR knows he's been fantastic this year.
He's a definite point-per-game player when healthy... that's all that will hold him back with the talent with NYR.
Outlook: If he stays healthy, a likely HIT.


12. Zach Parise, 40.5pts. OVER
Parise has 19pts in 24games. He's on pace for 38pts.
It has sure felt like Parise has been underperforming all year, but he is top 10 in the NHL in SOG and the MIN PP has been much better of late... finally.
Parise needs 22pts in 24games for the OVER. Definitely still possible.
Outlook: 50/50 shot on this one.


Mid-Season Analysis:

HITS FOR SURE (3): Karlsson (injured), Spezza (injured), Cole (sucks)
HITS LIKELY (4): Giroux, Ovechkin, Kovalchuk, Nash
50/50 Possibilities (4): Perry, Cammalleri, Kessel, Parise
MISS BARRING INJURY (1): Stamkos

Forecasted final record: 8-4-0
(3x100%) + (4x75%) + (4x50%)

Last edited by Pengwin7; 03-12-2013 at 02:58 PM.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:28 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.