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  #51  
Old 10-15-2012, 02:22 PM
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Default AVG Draft Position

I spent a little bit of time making a grid of the FOUR DobberEntry leagues.
This shows the Top50 picks, by average pick.

(I only have the top 60 picks of the Patrick to work with... c'mon league - get me a copy/paste to work with!)


It's kind of neat.
I made a HIGH-LOW and AVERAGE column.

My first 3 picks are in red and I got them all later than their ADP.

On a later day, I may include the Pro & Expert leagues for comparison.
I learned to use the VLOOKUP function in Excel for the first time and feel quite smart.


A couple interesting notes:
1. The top 8 were the top 8 in all four leagues: Crosby/Malkin/Stamkos/Ovechkin/Giroux & Lundqvist/Quick/Rinne.
2. The #9 pick was completely WILD and inconsistent including Erik Karlsson, Jimmy Howard, and Pat Sharp. I suppose the #9 spot will go down as the toughest draft position of 2012!
3. Despite not being a consensus #9 pick... Corey Perry was the 9th pick by average: selected at 10th/10th/10th/13th. Those teams must have been salivating for Perry in the 10-spot.
4. The most consistent range player appears to be Luongo - despite his uncertainty - he was picked in a 15-player range (31-45).

Enjoy.

(EDIT: The column headers for the Adams & Patrick are switched. Needs to be fixed.)
Attached Files
File Type: pdf _2012-2013 DobberEntry League Drafts.pdf (12.1 KB, 61 views)

Last edited by Pengwin7; 10-16-2012 at 09:31 AM. Reason: WRONG DIVISIONS
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  #52  
Old 10-15-2012, 04:40 PM
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Nice work! Yeah the 9th position is definitely a tough one. As you know I went with Neal in the RHRS but would've been happy with Perry as well, which would fit well into these results.

You must have been very happy to see Parise fall to you in the 3rd round - wow. As you mentioned, Sharp at 9 is way too high. I even think Backes at 18 and Hartnell at 20 are high as well - I know about their multi category strengths but given how easy it is to make up PIM/Hits, a 50-60 point player is not worth that position IMO.
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  #53  
Old 10-15-2012, 05:05 PM
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We had a crazy, crazy, crazy defenseman run (8D in the first 3 rounds) in the Smythe that delayed goalies a bit and some of the upper tier skaters (like Parise).

For example,
Pietrangelo went 39th in the Smythe. 60th/63rd/73rd in other divisions.
Phaneuf went 43rd in the Smythe. 63rd/73rd/80th in other divisions.

Last edited by Pengwin7; 10-15-2012 at 05:07 PM.
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  #54  
Old 10-15-2012, 05:52 PM
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Very cool. Sending you an email
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  #55  
Old 10-16-2012, 08:03 PM
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Well done Pengwin.
Anyways, I posted the whole draft for the Patrick Division earlier today. Hopefully it's up to par and is useful to you. Your list made me feel a little better about some of my picks and worse about others lol. I just remember it being so scary seeing all the talent pass by, but i couldn't risk getting shutout in the goaltenders. Keep up the good work. I know I appreciate it.
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  #56  
Old 10-16-2012, 08:06 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pengwin7 View Post
I spent a little bit of time making a grid of the FOUR DobberEntry leagues.
This shows the Top50 picks, by average pick.

(I only have the top 60 picks of the Patrick to work with... c'mon league - get me a copy/paste to work with!)


It's kind of neat.
I made a HIGH-LOW and AVERAGE column.

My first 3 picks are in red and I got them all later than their ADP.

On a later day, I may include the Pro & Expert leagues for comparison.
I learned to use the VLOOKUP function in Excel for the first time and feel quite smart.


A couple interesting notes:
1. The top 8 were the top 8 in all four leagues: Crosby/Malkin/Stamkos/Ovechkin/Giroux & Lundqvist/Quick/Rinne.
2. The #9 pick was completely WILD and inconsistent including Erik Karlsson, Jimmy Howard, and Pat Sharp. I suppose the #9 spot will go down as the toughest draft position of 2012!
3. Despite not being a consensus #9 pick... Corey Perry was the 9th pick by average: selected at 10th/10th/10th/13th. Those teams must have been salivating for Perry in the 10-spot.
4. The most consistent range player appears to be Luongo - despite his uncertainty - he was picked in a 15-player range (31-45).

Enjoy.

(EDIT: The column headers for the Adams & Patrick are switched. Needs to be fixed.)
Awesome! Thanks, would rep if it would let me; i really enjoy lists like this
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Dobberhockey Entry League - Norris Division
C: Mike Richards (C,LW); Brad Marchand(C,LW); Danny Briere (C,RW); Patrik Elias (C,LW)
RW: Corey Perry (RW); Marian Gaborik (RW); Nail Yakupov (RW); Patric Hornqvist (RW)
LW: Taylor Hall (LW); Milan Lucic (LW); Johan Franzen (LW,RW) Andy Mcdonald (C,LW)
Def: Kulikov; Bogosian; Justin Shultz; Orlov; Salo; Hamilton
Goaltending: Ryan Miller; Devan Dubynk
Bench: Sam Gagner (C,RW); Steve Sullivan (LW); Matt Martin (LW) ; Roman Cervenka (C )
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  #57  
Old 10-25-2012, 03:14 PM
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Just wondering if the waiver budget will be adjusted downward depending on the number of games being played or remain the same? I've never played with budgets before so not sure the amount will make a difference (make it less difficult to acquire FA given likely bid amounts) or rather a manager's willingness to adjust their bids upwards given a reduced schedule.
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  #58  
Old 10-25-2012, 03:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horrorfan View Post
Just wondering if the waiver budget will be adjusted downward depending on the number of games being played or remain the same? I've never played with budgets before so not sure the amount will make a difference (make it less difficult to acquire FA given likely bid amounts) or rather a manager's willingness to adjust their bids upwards given a reduced schedule.
I would guess no.
We have a team that has already spent $6... and they are at $94. With the other teams having $100 - I'm not sure how it could fairly be redistributed.

It's not really a number that varies directly with statistics or length of season anyways. I mean, you could have $100 for a 10-year league and people might bid pennies on a weekly acquisition. Or you could have a 3-week league with people bidding $40 just to get a Linus Omark.

I think the harder thing is trying to figure out what the mind-set of your opponents will be when there is, say, a breakout waiver player available in the 7th week, say, of a 20 week NHL schedule.
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  #59  
Old 10-26-2012, 02:24 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pengwin7 View Post
I would guess no.
We have a team that has already spent $6... and they are at $94. With the other teams having $100 - I'm not sure how it could fairly be redistributed.

It's not really a number that varies directly with statistics or length of season anyways. I mean, you could have $100 for a 10-year league and people might bid pennies on a weekly acquisition. Or you could have a 3-week league with people bidding $40 just to get a Linus Omark.

I think the harder thing is trying to figure out what the mind-set of your opponents will be when there is, say, a breakout waiver player available in the 7th week, say, of a 20 week NHL schedule.
Yeah that makes sense. I guess I thought that even though some managers have spent money already, I wasn't sure if they would be automatically adjusted like max games have been done. So, for example, 100 would become say 80, but if they had 94 left, they would end up with 73 or so (just guessing). Yahoo does this automatically for max games so wasn't sure if budgets were done the same way. I also just realised that Yahoo would likely have mentioned it on the league page (as they have already re: lockout changes).

But yeah, I can understand that it doesn't need to have an effect based on the number of games being played, rather it would be an adjustment on how much managers would bid on specific players.
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Last edited by horrorfan; 10-26-2012 at 02:29 AM.
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