Mid-season.
Time to take a look at my 12 over/under player picks for the year.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pengwin7
1. Claude Giroux, 52.5pts. UNDER.
Giroux has 25pts in 27games. On pace for 44pts.
He'll need 28pts in 21games to hit 53pts.
Outlook: Looking good.
2. Alex Ovechkin, 50.5pts. UNDER.
Ovechkin has 20pts in 24games. On pace for 40pts.
He'll need 31pts in 24games go OVER.
Outlook: Looking good.
3. Erik Karlsson, 39.5pts. UNDER
67.5pt pace is just too high. I have serious doubts that any of EK, Spezza, Michalek can repeat last year.
Um... I think I can give myself a CHECKMARK HERE.
4. Jason Spezza, 44.5pts. UNDER
Ditto.
5. Corey Perry, 43.5pts. UNDER
Perry has 24pts in 24games. On pace for 48pts.
He'll need 20pts in 24games to go OVER.
Outlook: NOT looking good with the hot top line.
6. Mike Cammalleri, 31.5pts. UNDER
Cammalleri has 17pts in 21games, missed 3. On pace for 34+pts.
Outlook: 50/50. We know he could get injured too... so either way.
7. Phil Kessel, 46.5pts. UNDER
Kessel has 23pts in 26games. On pace for 43pts.
He'll need 24pts in 22games to go OVER.
Outlook: Another 50/50 shot... but looking good.
8. Steven Stamkos, 55.5pts. UNDER
Stammer has 37pts in 25games. He's way OVER pace.
Outlook: MISS. He'll have to hit a wall or get injured to miss 56pts.
9. Ilya Kovalchuk, 47.5pts. UNDER
Kovy has 23pts in 26games. On pace for 43pts.
He'll need 25pts in 22games to be OVER.
Outlook: Still a chance to miss, but looking good.
10. Erik Cole, 32.5pts. UNDER. (*I'll make this my GUARANTEE. Yikes!)
Cole has just 7pts in 23games.
Outlook: Yeah... I'm awesome. Cole is not.
OK, OK... two overs... just to force myself to do it. (I'm not an optimist)
11. Rick Nash, 40.5pts. OVER.
Yes, I see him as a point-per-game guy.
Nash has 23pts in 20games, though he has missed 4 games.
If he misses another 4 games in the 2nd half, he'd still pace for 46pts.
Several people have bashed Nash as "same ol' guy", but anybody that has watched him play in NYR knows he's been fantastic this year.
He's a definite point-per-game player when healthy... that's all that will hold him back with the talent with NYR.
Outlook: If he stays healthy, a likely HIT.
12. Zach Parise, 40.5pts. OVER
Parise has 19pts in 24games. He's on pace for 38pts.
It has sure felt like Parise has been underperforming all year, but he is top 10 in the NHL in SOG and the MIN PP has been much better of late... finally.
Parise needs 22pts in 24games for the OVER. Definitely still possible.
Outlook: 50/50 shot on this one.
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Mid-Season Analysis:
HITS FOR SURE (3): Karlsson (injured), Spezza (injured), Cole (sucks)
HITS LIKELY (4): Giroux, Ovechkin, Kovalchuk, Nash
50/50 Possibilities (4): Perry, Cammalleri, Kessel, Parise
MISS BARRING INJURY (1): Stamkos
Forecasted final record: 8-4-0
(3x100%) + (4x75%) + (4x50%)
