Originally Posted by Essej
I'd keep Kessel over Halak. Kessel is a streaky player in a short season it can prove to be good or bad, but I'll roll the die on good with Kessel. If Kessel is hot from the get go a PPG pace is what I would expect with the potential to go above a PPG in a short season. Should be amongst the most productive forwards this coming season.
In a 12 team league there should still be some goalie options to explore. Halak I like less them usual in a short season, as his value takes a hit with a very servicable Brian Elliott. In a short season a work horse goalie has even more value than a full season, and Halak as good as he is, won't be that big work horse this coming season.
The problem is every GM in our league keeps 2 goalies, then most of the decent scraps get scooped up in the first round, which I draft very late in.
Not sure I agree with your assessment of how "work horse goalies will be used this season". With so many games crammed into such a short period of time, I think teams will be forced to split time more, and that's exactly what St. Louis does already. I think he will get 60% of St. Louis' games, or more. Not worse than last season.
Teams that typically roll with their #1 much more will have to play their backups more because there will be so many more back-to back games, and games otherwise very close together that leave little time for starters to rest/mend little nagging things. Especially teams that can trust their #2 to play well. I think Biron will get a higher percentage of starts for the Rangers. Bernier for the Kings. Hedberg for the Devils. Enroth for the Sabres. Vokoun with the Penguins. Florida will probably rotate like St. Louis. Tampa, Ottawa, Washington, Chicago, Dallas, Edmonton, Minnesota, San Jose - all have solid backups.
You're probably right about a few teams though (Nashville, Montreal, Carolina, Vancouver - if Luongo is traded, Toronto - if they get Luongo, others). Because fewer teams will be able to (or forced to) run the season with their #1, less guys will be racking up the highest % of starts.
12-team H2H Semi Keeper (keep 6)
skater cats (7): G, A, P, +/-, PIM, PPP, GWG
goalie cats (4): W, GAA, SV%, SHO
6 keepers bolded
C(2) - S. Crosby, E. Malkin (W), S. Ott (W)
W(4) - A. Ovechkin, D. Brown, M. Ryder, B. Saad
D(4) - K. Yandle, D. Phaneuf, M. Green, R. Josi
G(2) - MA. Fleury, J. Halak, T. Vokoun, V. Fasth, J. Allen, R. Lehner
IR - E. Karlsson (D)
Next year's draft picks (1-6 are keepers): 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 11, 12, 13, 14, 14, 17