I prefer being pessimistic with non-megastar prospects in the early part of their career. I don't want to get burned waiting 2-3 years for a player to become fantasy relevant. Anyway, in Tarasenko's case I think he could be a 45-55 point rookie. It's a good total for a rookie and when being integrated into a strong team it's tough to find opportunity for great numbers initially.

Long-term I put him around 70-75 but that is likely beyond what I would consider the fantasy hockey scope. I worry that his production might mirror Oshie for a few years. Solid stats, but not outstanding like many will hope.

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