Originally Posted by Pengwin7
I'll take Krejci.
The Bruins (& the Dallas Stars) were two teams that didn't do very well on the PP last year. Most teams will have their top forwards register somewhere between 20-35 PPP.
For the 2nd year in a row, Krejci
put up 50 even-strength points... but only 11 or 12 PPP. I'm a HUGE fan of production at even-strength, because I think that a player that does well even-strength will eventually get a shot on the PP, eventually click, eventually get 20 PPP.
50 ESP + 20 PPP = 70pts for Krejci. I think he could pull that off, but I'd peg him for 65pts.
MaxPac had a very nice year with 65pts.
But the whole line was magical... Eric Cole had 61pts on 14.5% shooting, DD had 60pts on 16.3% shooting. Can these guys all click again to put up 60+pts each? Hell, no. This is not a line of 60pt players. There's a new coach in Montreal and for all we know he's going to do things differently... which means... the ice time isn't necessarily going to get any better for Cole-DD-MaxPac.
Playing devil's advocate to myself, MaxPac did have 52 ESP + 13 PPP.
So, his numbers rival Krejci's... and his PPP could/should go up.
But I much prefer Krejci's linemates over MaxPac's linemates.
Krejci, for me.
Krejci = 65pts (50 ESP + 15 PPP)
MaxPac = 60pts (45 ESP + 15 PPP)
I also much prefer passers (Krejci) over shooters (MaxPac) in points-only leagues.
Yes there is a new coach but he would be pretty foolish to not at least try the line that was so good last year would he not?
But yeah in a points league I would agree with you. Krejci is the choice. He's more proven at this point and more likely to be the guy with the higher point total. MaxPac is better in a league with peripheral stats.
One thing to think about though, is Krejci going to be getting less PP and regular ice time now that Seguin is growing? Because that could cut into that projection...
14T BiWeekly H2H. 4 C/RW/LW, 6 D, 2 G
Cats:G(3), A(1.5), +-(1), PIM(0.2), PPP(1), SOG(0.2), GWG(1), SHP(2), Hits(0.3), BkS(0.4). W(2), SO(2), OTL(0.5), SV(0.2), GA(-1), L(-1).
LW - Pactches, Benn, Ott, Foligno, Belesky
C - Staal, Thornton, M Richards, Giroux
RW - Ovie, Hossa, Callahan, Tara, Neil
D - Weber, OEL, Shatty, Seidenberg, Suter, Wiz, Beauch, Wiz, MacDonald
G - Lundqvist, Varlamov, Allen
Prospects - Schultz, M Rielly, Ramo, Brodin, RNH, Forsberg, D Shore, Trouba, Bjugstad
IR- RNH, Kulikov