I'd say that one of Merrill/Gelinas has as good of a chance at getting first PP honors in NJ over Larsson as Barberio does of getting that in TB over Hedman. The wild card is Matt Carle of course, but overall I think that TB will score way more goals than NJ for the foreseeable future (especially with Parise gone) so I go with Hedman. It is close though.