This is how I would take them just for next year.
Campbell
Schultz
Ekman-Larsson
Carlson
Kulikov
Wisniewski
Fowler
Goligoski
Hedman
Timonen
Visnovsky
If we are talking keeper then it looks a bit different.
Schultz
Ekman-Larsson
Carlson
Fowler
Kulikov
Goligoski
Wisniewski
Campbell
Hedman
Timonen
Visnovsky
Guys that I think will rebound, or are generally better than they were last year, are Goligoski, Wisniewski and Visnovsky. Goligoski because the team around him is better and he has less competition because Souray is gone. Wisniewski because, if he stays healthy, it's almost impossible that he won't get better. Having Johnson with him on PP1 will help as well. If Visnovsky decides that it's ok to be on Long Island he should also have a much better year.
I'm expecting more of the same, or a bit of a regression, from Campbell, Timonen, and Hedman. I think Hedman will become a reliable guy, but I don't think he'll ever be a superstar fantasy guy. I also think it'll take another year or two for him to get there. Campbell probably has another few years of top-end production in him, which is why he was so high on my 1 Year list, but he's 33 and Kulikov is getting ready to take over top dog status on his team.
Kulikov, I think, will take a step forward this year if he doesn't get injured. I think that Carlson, Ekman-Larsson and Fowler will also take a step forward, but it's anyone's guess as to how much. If Green gets injured, and Oates is the right coach, Carlon will take off. If Ekman-Larsson is needed in a more offensive role this year, because Yandle gets hurt or isn't doing well, then he could too. If the Ducks get a little deeper and let the top line focus on offense instead of being their everything-line then Fowler could pop too. At the very worst these guys will give you what they did last year.
Schultz is at the top of my lists, but I think his season will be disappointing for people. He is tearing the AHL apart, but how do we put that into context with what he can do in the NHL? Leading defensive scorers in the AHL are guys like Andy Delmore, Sheldon Brookbank, Andrew Hutchinson, and Johnny Boychuk. Guys that played in the AHL long enough to figure it out. The guys that used it as the developmental league that it is and then went on to dominate the NHL generally weren't world-beaters in the AHL. In fact, in the 04 Lockout there wasn't a single defenseman that was a top-10 scorer. There are plenty of ways to spin this, but if Schultz keeps it up expectations are going to be so unrealistic that he won't have a chance of even meeting them, let alone exceeding them.
|