Halak and it's an easy call. Sure Miller is the #1 on his team, but he is what he is....30-35 wins, 2.55 GAA, and .915 sv%. Good numbers, and you're pretty much guaranteed to get them every season. Last year he was 31 wins, 2.54, and .916.
On the other hand, Halak was 26 wins, 1.97, and .926 in 15 less games. I fully expect Brian Elliott to be a non-issue this season (he had one foot out of the NHL before last year, I don't care he's not a good goalie), but even if Elliott still gets some games I think Halak will take on more of a #1 role, maybe 55 starts. If he gets 50-55 starts his wins should be pretty much on par with Miller while destroying him in the ratios.
Even if Halak only starts 46 games again this year, his ratios will be so far ahead of Miller that I would easily be willing to give up the 3-4 wins that Miller has on him. But if Elliott flames out (like I'm expecting) and Halak truly takes the #1 job, he will be in the mix for most valuable fantasy goalie this year.
There's playing it safe, but I think people can be too cautious. Even in the worst case for Halak he's probably a better goalie this season than Miller. I really don't understand how Miller and his 2.55 with .915 is winning this especially by such a big margin, it's not 2010 anymore and it never will be. If it's between these two in my draft, I take Halak 106 times out of 100.
20 Team Dynasty (points per) - G (25, 50 for defense) A (25) PIM (3) +/- (5) PPG (15) SHG (25) OTG (15) GWG (25) HTr (50) GP (2) HIT (1) BLK (1) Use actual NHL salary
F: Malkin, Tavares, E. Kane, Parenteau, Havlat, Tarasenko, Galchenyuk, Brunner, Boyes, Kruger, Helm, M. Martin, Bergenheim, Carcillo, Stajan
D: Green, Ehrhoff, Ekman-Larsson, Coburn, Daley, Postma
G: Fleury, Mason, Montoya
Farm: Grigorenko, Grimaldi, Kucherov, D. Shore, Hartikainen, Stransky, Kerdiles, Joensuu, Pageau, Murphy, Ceci, Klefbom, Thrower, Donovan, Ekholm, Lehner, Dansk, Poulin, Nilsson, Andersen