PsykoPuckiller draft annalysis
So that's my team (as arranged in my roster not in pick order) and draft analysis:
Good info for my competition ;-)
Steven Stamkos (C) - (1-6)
Yeah he fell to 6th! Not so surprising for me. Lundqvist and Quick went ahead (I expected at least 1 goalie to be top 5 cause there is not much left at the end of round 2). Crosby, Malkin, oveshkin were the 3 forwards. The thing is Malkin and Crosby come with an injury concern (in a short season that could cost them), so I would have picked stamkos above them in a heartbeat. Oveshkin or Giroux were my forecasted 6th pick (I predicted Lundqvist/Stamkos/Crosby/Malkin to be gone in top 5). Oveshkin could be the top forward this year under Oate and playing in KHL will ensure he comes ready when season starts. He’s LW too (probably the reason Rikkitikki took him over stamkos). But he was so bad last year, he comes with a risk too. Stamkos is projected as the best player by Dobber guide in that format (157 HPG). For me a #1 overall forward pick, no brainer. I would have selected Lundqvist at #1 too if I drafted in that position. Glad I got #6. I had Giroux next if you are wondering.
Dereck Stepan (C) - (9-125) Another great value pick. I had him ranked top 80 easy.
Jonathan Huberdeau (C) (12-174) Great for a third center. Don’t know about drafting him in round 12 but potential 60pts center with peripheral stats were getting scarce.
Patrik Berglund (C) (16-234) Great Value pick at that point. Didn’t need a center but couldn’t resist.
Dustin Brown (LW-RW) (4-54) Can you believe it! Brown still available in Round 4. I had him ranked 10 overall (not counting goalie). Backes at 50 was also a huge steal for Pad My stats. He was raked 9 in my overall ranking. Hartnell went in round 3 (same type of multi cat gem) but I do not believe he’ll do as good this year as last. Brown on the other hand is a sleeper as per the guide for 65 points. This season Hartnell.
Nick Foligno (LW) (10-144) I wanted both Foligno’s. I tough Marcus would go later but I missed on him. Both are great multi-cat players. +/- may hurt but other cat contribution will largely make up for it. Let’s pray for no sophomore slump.
Matt Martin (LW) (15-215) #1 Hit-men. Missed out on Pts/PIM guys like Ott and Clutterbuck so I had to go Martin for the hit to complement Brown. Being LW is a nice +.
Jussi Jokinen (C,LW) (18-264) descent value pick at that point. He will have to share points with newly arrived Semin and Staal but he will play with quality linemates.
Ryane Clowe (LW-RW) (7-95) Great Multicat guy. If he stay’s healthy for the season a steal in the 7 round yet I’m pissed I missed out on Ott (huge HPG). Would you have taken Ott over Clowe?
Troy Brouwer (RW) (14-204) Could be a good value pick, multi cat player and with Semin gone there are some points to be shared in the top 6. Either way playing with Ribeiro or Backstrom can only mean a better season than last year.
Cam Atkinson (RW) (19-275) Tricky pick, will definitely produce but may kill my +/- (although he was a positive player in CLB last year) but by that point I needed RW and weirdly this year RW was scarcer than LW…
David Jones (RW) (23-335) Big Money means ice time, sure he’s unlikely to repeat but who knows
PK Subban (D) (5-65) Home team pick (MTL native although I currently live in dubai middle east…). I like the PIM/Hit and 45 poitn potential with PPP he brings to the table. May be 1 round too early. But I missed out on Karlsson, Letang, Byfuglien, Chara, Weber so he was the next best thing.
Brian Boyle (D) (6-84) I promiss my self I would get a top 5 D-men in my ranking, when I missed on Top 5, I had to get a second Top 10 (subban is the first top 10).
Keith Yandle (D) (8-114) Not my plan to go D but he was still there and he’s a Dobber favorite. Mine too. Another top 10 in my D-men ranking. Potential trade bait for both Coyotes and me given my strength in D. FYI goalie went fast, but after goalie D-men were the fastest position to go.
John Carlson (D) (13-185) So D-men went fast but I nab him just in time. I like him for a great season now that Wideman is out, Oate is in and Green is injured (I know not yet for the last one…).
Dan Hamhuis (D) (17-245) great for peripheral cats that my other D don’t contribute too. Love the +/- too.
Dereck Engelland (D) (22-324) Not much left in D at that point but he’s good with PIM, Hit andwon’t hurt in +/-
Mike Smith (G) I had Smith pretty high, I was surprise to see many other goalie go before him. Like Rinne, Smith benefits of a system. He was top 3 fantasy wise last year I think. As long as the system is there, it doesn’t matter how good he is. Probably won’t repeat last season but he’ll be close. I hope. Goalie is not my strong suit in fantasy hockey. Drafted Crawford in 2 leagues last year…
Roberto Luongo (G) (3-35) Most difficult pick of the draft for me. Could be a steal in the 3rd. Could cost me the season if he split time in Vancouver. I nab Theodore later so I’m pretty happy in retrospect. Nice high risk/high reward pick. And he is very solid in regular season. He just sucks in Games 7 ;-)
Jose Theodore (G) (11-155) Always go for the 3rd goalie high. If you don’t need him he’s great to trade if you do need him, your happy to have him cause no one good will be left later. I have Luongo too so it make sense to draft his potential back-up and current starter on a well-coached and managed team
Danny Cleary (LW-RW) (20-294) decent backup plan for a winger, won’t hurt any cat, won’t make miracles
Zenon Konopka (C) (21-305) top 3 PIM producers
Michael Frolik (C,RW) (24-354) My long shot. If he’s traded that’s a good steal
Shane O'Brien (D) – (25-365) could have found a good sleeper (Thomas went in that round, great pick as if he doesn’t play easy to find someone on the waiver, Pouillot was another good waiver pick) but needed a 7th D-Men in case of IR. He seemed to do the trick.
I feel very strong at Center and Defense (although my D is not multi cat oriented... I could use a chara or Byfuglien...).
Goalie could (and I stress on the could) be very good as both Smith and Luongo have low GAA and a good 60-65 start (provided luongo is traded) so save could be top 5 . If he's traded to Florida, no ptroblem! I got Theodore as third string. Worse case scenario Markstrom takes number 1 in florida and Luongo split start or back up Schneider in Vancouver... Best case scenario I'm top 2-3 in not first in GAA, top 3-5 in Save and wins.
Appart from Huberdeau, Atkinson and to a certain extent Carlson, Foligno and Jones I feel all my pick are proven producer (I got burned with picking to much unproven high potential player too early last time I participated in dobber league a few years back, I was also victim of drafting first and did not go with a goalie).
Only 2 BAB! out of 25 I like that! Short season means injury are less likely to happen but a bad injury to a roster has more impact on the overall season in roto in my book.
Obviously no one is going to come close to me in hits, I own this cat, PIM likely too... Brown, Brouwer, Martin, Foligno, Clowe, hamhuis, engelland are all 120 or more hits... and others will pitch in too.
I probably need help in PPP as all my gritty guys are secondary PP players. Not sure were I stand In Goal and Assist. Probably top 5-7 will need to improve these 3 cats.
As per the guide I got a few sleepers on my roster (I can count more than 5). That should help a lot.
Finally only 2 players on my rosters have negative HPG using dobber prediction for those who use Hockey pool geek (Theodore and 1 other I shall not name). And with stamkos & Brown my team HPG is through the roof... Let's hope dobber predicted right!
Last edited by PsykoPucKiller; 10-10-2012 at 05:24 AM.