A lot of it depends on how he is deployed - so good defensively, which may impact his PP time negatively.

Assuming MDZ is the primary PP QB in NY - where does McDonagh fit in? Could he hit 45 points even in more of a defensive role?

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If the over/under is 45, I take the under. He has not been a good offensive player at any level and his 32-point season stands out from the rest of his college/AHL/NHL career. Some people see upside because of the season he had and his age, but I think 32 will be close to his max.

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I'm thinking that 40 is his upside, where he hits that in his best season offensively. Overall I think you'll see him settle in at the 28-35 point range pretty consistently. He'll get the ice to put up 25+ but I don't see the offensive instincts or the PP time to rise above 35 other than maybe a couple of times.

Yeah, I agree that 40 points is his upside.

He's become a fantastic defenseman in the NHL, but his offensive upside is limited IMO.

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I see him as the same. Fantastic NHL defenseman but a solid fantasy d-man. Now that could change with more PP responsibility, especially if MDZ is offer-sheeted and let go.

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This is where 'upside' and '3YP' come into play. In a perfect storm he could certainly hit the 40-45 range. I just find it unlikely that he will do that. I think he will fall in the 25-35 range every year. He never did anything outstanding offensively prior to entering the NHL and I believe it is the system and favorable environment that pushed him over 30 points.

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Count me in for a solid 30-35 consistently. I'd put him in the same class as Brent Seabrook or Dan Hamhuis. Might fluke to a 40+ season every now and then because of massive amounts of ice time and a high octane offense, but if your expectation is 35 points, you won't be disappointed.

McDonagh is a player I'm really keen on. I'd be willing to bet he becomes a consistent 40+ point d-man, who provides solid +/-, ranks top 3 on NYR in hits and top 2 in blocked shots. Really I think Duncan Keith is a more accurate comparison than Brent Seabrook. Now, I'm not naive enough to say McDonagh is going to be as good as Keith is, a Norris trophy winning defenseman...but in terms of playing style, McDonagh matches up better with Keith than Seabrook.

One, while it might be a stretch to claim his hockey sense is "off the charts" its probably his best asset(besides his superb skating ability). Hes already one of the best skaters in the NHL. He doesn't get much credit for it but he actually has a nice hard accurate shot. Not a blistering bomb like Chara, Weber or Buff...buts hes good at finding the net through traffic.

Hes an above average passer and on the defensive side of things, one could make an argument he was the Rangers best overall d-man last season...everyone was singing Dan Girardi's praises, which is fine, hes a solid vet and has come along way, any team would be happy to have him...but seems to me I watched McDonagh bail Girardi out in tough spots more often than the other way around. Really McDonagh's biggest weakness is his size, not the biggest d-man out there(6-1, around 215 lbs) but that certainly didn't stop him from shutting down other teams best scorers last season. He did all that as a 23 year old in his 1st full NHL season(played 40 games prior last season). Hes also received much praise from John Tortorella which doesn't hurt either!!

I know I've made this post a lengthy one, but the point is, he really impressed me quite a bit last season, and not someone I'd underrate.

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i see him reaching 40 points only if mdz doesnt sign with the nyr. he doesnt get too much offensive opportunity. he does get good periferials stats though.

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Montreal drafted him for his offensive upside, no?