Welcome to Deadline Day 2013! How close were we to not having this day? Remember that lockout thingy?

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Wade Redden to Boston for a seventh rounder that becomes a sixth rounder if he plays one playoff game. Hopefully Boston can somehow keep both Redden and Chara #2005Tweet

Phoenix also sends Matt Lombardi to Anaheim for Brandon McMillan

Where it all began - New Jersey has acquired their former prospect... Steve Sullivan from Phoenix for a seventh rounder.

Ryan O'Byrne from Colorado to Toronto for a draft pick

Raffi Torres to San Jose for a third rounder.

Blake Comeau to Columbus for a fifth rounder.

Some huge news could be on the way, per TSN...

1. Marian Gaborik to Columbus for Derick Brassard and John Moore, now official

2. Matt Hackett and Johan Larsson to Buffalo for Jason Pominville

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Philadelphia has acquired Steve Mason from Columbus. Dear Flyers' fans - I am so sorry about your season, and your day. If there's anything I can do...

Per TSN - Ben Bishop has been traded to Tampa Bay for Cory Conacher and a fourth rounder

Big news out of Florida - Michael Russo reports that Nick Bjugstad has signed a pro contract with the Panthers. No college for him next year and we should get a look at him this month. He joins Trouba (noted below) as two great prospects I look forward to seeing shortly.

Winnipeg has claimed Mike Santorelli off of waivers.

The Penguins have acquired Jussi Jokinen from Carolina for a draft pick.

Jeremy Rutherford reports that Ken Hitchcock put TJ Oshie's injury at "week to week"

Sharks acquire Scott Hannan from the Preds for a draft pick (conditional seventh).

Oilers acquire Jerred Smithson from the Panthers for a draft pick (thought to be a fourth).

First deal of the day - Boston sends Max Sauve to Chicago for Rob Flick. Woo hoo!

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Keith Yandle's name being bandied about this morning. That would make the entire day - rumor has Phoenix asking for Sean Couturier. As with all rumors, bet on this not happening and then love it if it does.

Joni Pitkanen's injury noted below that takes him out for the year - a broken heel.

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'Always Believe in the Big 3', I added to my ramble on that below

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I won't be breaking trades. Never claimed to. But I will be the best at giving you fast, solid analysis of each trade from a fantasy hockey standpoint. As I have for you every year for the last seven.

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What we're watching for today:

Ryane Clowe to Vancouver, Philadelphia, Minnesota or New York?

Miikka Kiprusoff or Roberto Luongo to Toronto or Chicago?

Mark Streit on the move?

Other names - Ales Hemsky, Steve Ott, Mikhail Grabovski, Jason Pominville, Drew Stafford, Dan Boyle, Ben Bishop, Ryan Miller, Mike Ribeiro, Mike Cammalleri and Ryan Whitney.

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A minor deal yesterday evening - the Kings trade Drewiske to Montreal for a fifth rounder. Drewiske became expendable when they acquired Regehr.

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DobberProspects will have the profiles of any fantasy relevant prospect who is traded ready with an update. So check out that site throughout the day and follow DobberProspects on Twitter (Brendan Ross and I run that account).

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Some great feedback in my Jaromir Jagr trade impact analysis, with several people arguing that the inconsistent Nathan Horton will be removed from the second line and Jagr will replace him. And it will be Horton who is stuck on the third line. They have a right to their opinion. I stand by mine. And here is why:

Jagr has 26 points in 34 games. But - 22 points in his last 33 games. That's the stat I will go with, which is an underwhelming stat. He's also averaging 18:18 per game but it's actually more like 19 minutes per game when you factor in the game he left early on with a groin injury. Will he get that in Boston? Nope. He won't even get 18 minutes. And 17 will be a stretch, but let's say 17 minutes. Will he get 3:22 in PP time the way he is in Dallas? NO! The Top forward in Boston for PP ice time is Krejci at 2:23. So Jagr's PP time is down by a minute at best. His ice time will be down, his PP time will be way down, and when his production drops accordingly he's out of the top six - assuming he gets into the top six in the first place.

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Winnipeg's star prospect Jacob Trouba has turned pro, signing a contract with the Jets. He is one to watch, and is a must own in keeper leagues.

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Oh, also there were hockey games played last night.

Marc-Andre Bergeron was traded to the Hurricanes for Adam Hall and a seventh rounder. Hall was claimed from Tampa off waivers, so Carolina gave TB their own guy back and got a PP QB out of it. The reason for the deal? Joni Pitkanen is out for the season. Well, not really. I have no idea why they brought in Bergeron - but good thing they did because Pitkanen is actually out for the season. More on that later.

Bergeron has a habit of impressing his new team. A lot. The exception being Anaheim. But otherwise, he goes to a new team he often posts decent numbers. Then he wears out his welcome because he is so one-dimensional. But as far as the stretch drive goes - he'll help your fantasy team, no question. With 13 games left I wouldn't be surprised if he got 10 points. He assisted on a power-play goal last night and logged over 21 minutes of ice time.

As for Pitkanen, he left the game last night after crashing into the boards. Video below. Hybrid icing anyone?

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Jarome Iginla scored his first goal as a Penguin. He played with Neal and Malkin, but Kunitz picked up the assist on the PP goal. Tyler Kennedy saw some action in Crosby's place at center. That's an experiment doomed to fail. I'd try Sutter or Jeffrey there over him. Doesn't look like the Pens will do that.

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Mike Green has quietly picked up five points in his last three games. His numbers are quickly turning around - your 'buy low' window has closed, unless his owner is panicked about his injuries.

And Alex Ovechkin has 34 points in his last 28 games. Always believe in the Big 3. No matter what.

'Always Believe in the Big 3', to respond to comments wondering why I have Ovechkin fourth - my keeper league rankings not only track a player's long-term upside, but also his immediate return... as well as his perceived value by other GM's. I may feel that a player should be 50th, but perhaps he's 40th because he gets a bit of a bonus for what fantasy GM's think of him. Right now, the consensus among millions of GM's is that they would rather own Steven Stamkos. I would not. But if Stamkos currently holds more value - he currently holds more value. Whether you or I like it or not. I hope this clarifies the issue, and sorry for the confusion.

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The flavor of the month in Nashville is Taylor Beck. The rookie has six points in eight games, including four in his last four and his ice time was 17:23 last night. The Preds are starved for offense, so as usual Barry Trotz leans on a new mix of players. Name one Predator forward on the roster or IR who has not posted a strong 10-game run at some point in the last three years. They all do. They all convince you that they could be 65-point guys. But every one of them become 40- to 50-point players or worse. It's like a freakin' conveyor belt. Anyway, ride the Beck Express as long as you can.

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T.J. Brennan picked up two points last night and has four in eight games with the Panthers. Three of those points came on the power play.

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Cory Conacher has six points in his last 16 games. Alex Killorn has 10 in his last 16. So what should you do? To me it's not a big enough differential to warrant dropping Conacher, but if you're in a one year league - Killorn is a safe pick for at least five points in the final 13 games. His range is probably five to 10 points. Conacher's range is three to 12. A lot more fluctuation there. In a keeper league there is no question that you go with Conacher though.

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Interesting AHL stats, as the junior players join the ranks:

Reid Boucher has four points in two games for Albany. His fantasy profile is here.

Ryan Strome - two points and plus-2 in his AHL debut. His fantasy profile is here.

San Jose prospect Matt Nieto turned pro and in his first game he picked up an assist with three shots for Worcester. His fantasy profile is here.

In four games with Grand Rapids, Calle Järnkrok has zero points and plus-2, four shots.

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Pitkanen injury:

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Matt Duchene end to end:


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Comments (19)add comment

Ken Shultz said:

kshultz
Long Ovechkin Where Stamkos and Ovechkin are relative to each other doesn't matter much to me because chances are I'll never have to choose between them--unless I'm the first or second pick on draft day in a one year league.

Incidentally, I've got Crosby and Malkin behind both Stamkos and Ovechkin in my ranking just because us of the injury risk. I expect Malkin to miss a lot of games every year, and (like it or not) I worry that Crosby is one bad hit away from retiring.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +1

ddp said:

ddp
site I come back cause this site is FANTASTIC!
That doesn't change the fact my opinion is different from yours on many occasion.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

One Man Wolf Pack said:

One Man Wolf Pack
Flyers ugh...that is all i can say.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

Dobber said:

Dobber
ddp Two thoughts, ddp
1. I don't rank Ovechkin behind Stamkos. If my formula does, then it's a reflection of most GM's. You don't want my bias making too much of an impact on the rankings, trust me.
2. If I'm in a league where I win every year, I would quit by Year 6 and try to find a league where winning is almost impossible. All GM's need to be better than or equal to myself.

None of your comments made sense. Perreault on my bench? Not at all. O'Sullivan on my bench? Sure, for one season after he got 53 points as a rookie. Anyway, take care. I'm doing something right because you keep coming back smilies/wink.gif

April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

ddp said:

ddp
1st place nothing less. I past Ovechkin off after his 62 goal season and haven't lost first place once. Not saying I was smart for ridding of Ovechkin luckily at the right time, I'm just saying STamkos is taking me to the promise land and Ovie is driving all owners nuts. As for first vs 4th or 5th, I like to be first EVERY year by selecting players that are doing it now and not guys that MAY do it down the road. You can always find them...and you don't have to suffer with O'sullivan's and Perraults on your bench waiting to do SOMETHING. Play it safe dobs, rank Ovechkin behind Stamkos...he's the much safer and younger bet. If ovie does ever beat or come close to Stamkos in pts/goals...it won't be by much anyway.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

angus said:

angus
... But he won't be a LW much longer!
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

angus said:

angus
... canada - breaking news, I am not always right. AO is definitely the best LW to own in fantasy hockey.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +1

Dobber said:

Dobber
HabsRule Keep playing it safe and wait to see the numbers first and you'll enjoy 4th and 5th place every year. Give me 1st one year and 10th nine years than mediocrity year in and year out. Roll the dice. Each player you list gave us at least one big year, so if you follow me you know when to bail on them. I never bailed on Ovechkin and hopefully you didn't either. Just sayin'
April 03, 2013
Votes: +1

SeaDawg said:

SeaDawg
Couturier for Yandle I've mentioned this in the forums, but a deal like that makes a lot of sense to me. I know some think trading a 3rd line checking centre for a PMD is crazy, but they are selling Couturier short. I firmly believe he can be a very solid #2 centre and he and Hanzel would make the 'Yotes very strong down the middle. Also, Couturier is from Arizona, so I'm sure adding the home-grown talent to the team would make both parties very happy. My only concern is the salary Philly would have to take on, considering they are already up against the cap. Still, if they are going to spend money (and we all know they will), they should spend it where they need it most (on a PMD).
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

canada said:

canada
... Thanks for the response.

I actually wasn't referencing (or complaining about) the rankings. Having been returning to the site long enough I've seen your response a number of times as people complain about them.

I was more referencing Angus putting AO behind Parise in his rankings of wingers and your own article on THN around AO.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

HabsRule. said:

ddp
truth is Dobs...if you take all your man crush keeper league players...perrault, Ovechkin, O'sullivan, Yandle and put them on a team against all the guys you say they are better to own than...you lose. Numbers don't lie. Just sayin'
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

repenttokyo said:

repenttokyo
Pitkanen is out for the season As per Canescountry
April 03, 2013
Votes: -1

Dobber said:

Dobber
... I added/clarified my Ovechkin note

Essentially, I don't look at 700 players every month and say 'hmmm, this guy is 85th...this guy is 107th, this guy is..." No, it's a formula. Part of that formula is "this year" (so obviously Stamkos ranks higher) and part of the formula is "GM's popularity" which adjusts for what keeper league GM's think of the guy - and that's a landslide in Stamkos' favor. I don't agree with it, but I'm a twig trying to stand up in front of an avalanche. The result - Ovechkin's keeper ranking is below Stamkos. That will change next season as GM's warm up to Ovy again.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

iamlilc said:

iamlilc
Ottawa vs Boston 97 shots combined - not sure when the last time that happened? Both Lehner & Khudobin were phenomenal.

Khudobin 4-1, Rask 1-3-1 in their last 5 starts. Something to watch, maybe?

Bergeron left after taking a elbow to the head - not good news with concussion history.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

Captain Krunch said:

Captain Krunch
... Nice one Canada!! I've always said that the #1 overall can be used on about 8 guys without argument. I just CAN'T buy into the necessity of just ONE guy. (WOW, when one of "these" guys performs, it's the standard by which others are judged, so that is undeniable.) Eric Staal has been lackluster the past couple seasons, but still worthy, because he's an all-stat guy. Perry is bonafide. Then your "Big 3" in net too! (HL, PR, JQ). That's 5 guys right there. Toss is Dobbers Big 3+, you've almost got an entire first round. The Sidney Crosby that plays Hockey is flat-out amazing. The single best package of hockey tools in a single package to be found in the game, no matter WHERE it is played. There's a key part to that statement. Ice time rules, right guys? You always say it doesn't matter HOW the injuries occur, they happen. Timing sucks. Welcome to the fantasy playoffs. Got YOUR guys? Here's to hoping. The hope is half the reason we play. Cursed Hockey Gods. I always trade out of #1 overall!

WHat do you think of the price that was paid for Clowe? Seems extremely steep for declining play. Granted, CLowe has earned his fantsy stripes & WILL be allowed one odd season. (as an owner who drafted him) But it would seem Sather should be the last guy who should acquire Scotty G/Captain America Drury 2.0 as his contract expires.

I like the returns they're getting out of Dallas. Such a misguided franchise without Modano, hopefully they can find some direction in the infusion of youth added their core. (Lehtonen, Eriksson, Benn, Goligoski) It's a shame to think how good Dallas would be with Richards. Too bad (or NOT) they couldn't/wouldn't afford him.

Jagr to the B's HAS to be the best deal so far!! That boy is a hockey player, every day, every minute, every shift, today & tomorrow! THe leadership & experience he will bring to the Bruins will be significant. These kids have been beating up on each other & Jagr is going to come in & show them old skool wins every time. Grit. These kids WILL be better for this deal. Jagr doesn't have to play defense (Which isn't an aspect I expect out of top-flight offensive talent).

Roy seems like a dinghy that has survived a storm. Against all odds, he's the little boat that still floats. A little beat up, worse for wear, but servicable. Perfect slot available if Kesler comes back without priority (see: slides over to wing). I realy hope VAN keeps both goalies. THey would be SO formidable for a few more years if they maintain that depth in net. They remove either one of those guys, they are a vastly different team, now AND later.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

gfunkb7 said:

gfunkb7
... "Always believe in the Big 3. No matter what." +1
Ovechkin ranked other than Big 3 on Top 300 list for the past few months, -1
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

Mac Vincent said:

dmvincent
... Via TSN Trade Centre app, a few minor deals were made.

To Tampa Bay: Forward Prospect Philippe Paridis
To Chicago: Defense Prospect Kirill Gotovets

To Dallas: D prospect Cameron Gaunce
To Colorado: F- Tomas Vincour

To Edmonton: D- Garrett Stafford
To Washington: F- Dane Byers

To Washington: F- Joel Rechlicz
To Phoenix: F- Matthew Clackson
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

rob2kx said:

rob2kx
... With Tavares playing like this, it'll be Big 5 soon.
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0

canada said:

canada
Big 3? "Always believe in the big 3"

Not to be a stickler, but it seems to be an outsider on your own big three right now (Crosby, Malkin, Stamkos).

Is it a big 4?
April 03, 2013
Votes: +0
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