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Justin Goldman fielded questions from readers for ninety minutes on Tuesday. Here is the transcript.

 

Dobber's note: The chat service company is now charging for the code. Which is fine, but to suit the needs of a website of this size I would need to pay about $500/year, which is up substantially from…zero. I put a value on it of about $10 per month that I'd pay. I absolutely believe that you should be paid for your work online (of course). But in my opinion, they priced themselves too high for my particular needs.

As such, the "free" portion of the chat was filled within thirty minutes. The chat continued with the 35 readers who managed to get in. I have copied the transcript and have pasted it here for all to review.

12:11

Comment From Hawksfan

with a new coach will Caps give Holtby the reins or does Neuvirth platoon?

12:11

TheGoalieGuild: Holtby was the AHL Goalie of the Month in December ... He'll not only earn the role in camp but he's clearly the better goalie right now. Neuvirth struggled overseas during the lockout.

12:11

TheGoalieGuild: Holtby 90% odds to start opening night and play close to 28-30 games.

12:12

Comment From Mike

Who do you see the long term number 1 in Ana? Obviously, Gibson is the top dog but it looks like Andersen may provide some competition.

12:13

TheGoalieGuild: Depends on what you mean by "long term" but I suspect Gibson will start in the AHL next season, need at least 1 year, most likely 2 years, before he's ready to fight for an NHL gig. But he is the Ducks prospect most likely to be that "long-term" starter everyone covets in a keeper league.

12:13

TheGoalieGuild: Andersen is a very good prospect but until I see him put together a full season in North America, it's tough to really quantify or qualify his long term upside. He has all the assets, just need a bigger sample size of play in North America.

12:13

Comment From Hawksfan

Does Crawford have the #1 spot secure or will Hawks look to acquire someone and who's out there?

12:15

TheGoalieGuild: It's secured but only because nobody else is threatening that throne. If I were the Blackhawks, I'd be very worried about goaltending. They don't have anyone legitimate in their top-4. Hutton had a nice run last season but I saw him play live here in Minny for an AHL game and he did not impress or stand out. He could fill the backup role behind Craw but he's not a top-tier #3 goalie like a Lehner or anyone like that. Chicago has goalie issues in my opinion...and I wouldn't want Crawford in my fantasy league because of 12 back-to-back games and a brutal travel schedule.

12:15

Comment From Bill Dado

Hey Justin, after Lundqvist who are the 4 or 5 next best goalies for a one year league that counts W/GAA/SV%

12:16

TheGoalieGuild: I would say you have to look at Ryan Miller, Pekka Rinne, Jon Quick, and even though these might not be super popular, Cam Ward and Niklas Backstrom. I want to put more stock in Carey Price but the team was bad last season and with all the new faces in the coaching staff and management, it's tough to put Price up in the Tier-1 fantasy guys. Backstrom and Ward are two guys that will play a lot and have great support in front. But yeah, Lundqvist easily my #1 fantasy guy.

12:16

Comment From John

Justin, always appreciate your insight into goalie matters. What are your thoughts on the development of Markstrom & Lehner? What do you see them achieving this year and in the next 3 years?

12:18

TheGoalieGuild: Everyone wants to freak out about Markstrom and yes he has been inconsistent, but that doesn't mean he's any worse of a goalie technically speaking. It's tough to stay patient when you've had a taste of the NHL, so mentally speaking, I think he's fine and he'll get a chance to fight for a job in training camp this week. Lehner is an absolute stud and even with a 2-way deal, he's going to make a statement in Sens camp. I see both goalies being very close to "starters" in the NHL in three years. Both could potentially work their way into starting roles next season. That's easy to see in FLA, but with Lehner, the Sens need to move Bishop, which they might very well do because three's a crowd. Lehner has come a VERY far way with his maturity since the summer. He's easily one of the Top-3 Top-5 keeper league goalies to own IMO.

12:18

Comment From Bill Dado

After Lundqvist who are the 4 or 5 next best goalies in a one year league that counts W/SV%/GAA

12:18

TheGoalieGuild: repeat

12:19

TheGoalieGuild: Hey Dobber I didn't see the Hiller question ... can you re-post?

12:19

Comment From Guest

Sorry Justin, I added a hiller question higher up that you missed

12:19

Comment From Gramps

Does Halak have it in him to be a #1 in St. Louis and what are your expectations for Harding this year?

12:20

TheGoalieGuild: Halak definitely has it in him ... maybe a little rusty out of the gate, and his high ankle sprain should be 100% fine with no worries or issues (high ankle sprains are terrible for a goalie ... they take forever to heal). I still think because of STL's schedule and knowing every team will want to use two goalies (if they're playing well) I only give a slight advantage to Halak for the workload at like 28-20. Elliott is going to play and that defensive system means both goalies will have good stats, but not as sharp as last season.

12:21

TheGoalieGuild: I can't really predict anything for Harding because of the MS in a condensed schedule. He is one of the most amazing "battlers" I've ever seen. He plays with tremendous pride and has to be scraped off the ice when he plays through nagging pains and aches. I see him doing well in 12-15 games.

12:21

Comment From Steve

how do you think the short season effects tandems? more games for backup because of b2b's or less because of fewer games?

12:21

TheGoalieGuild: I think it depends on every team's situation, but for the most part, you'll see more backups playing more games (especially in the west where the travel is much tougher!!!) and you'll also see another 10-12 AHL starters or #3 goalies getting opportunities and soaking up some starts.

12:22

TheGoalieGuild: The numbers work like this...

12:23

TheGoalieGuild: In 2009-10 there were 82 goalies that played a regular season game. In 2010-11 there were 87...and in 2011-12 there were 92 goalies total. So you do the math and with a condensed schedule you're looking at a total of 75-77 goalies playing ... roughly 15 goalies from the AHL will potentially get some NHL action. That's significant in a 48 game season. HAVE #3 GOALIES READY TO GO and keep track of the top prospects out there!

12:23

Comment From SabreMatt

How much do the Hawks trust Crawford? Short leash? Would Emery be the other "guy"?

12:25

TheGoalieGuild: I can't say how much a coaching staff trusts a goalie. In the media they have to trust their goalie....they won't throw a guy like Crawford under the bus. But from scouts I talk to and what I've seen ... Crawford is one of the weaker starting goalies out there. His technique and overall game needs to improve like...right now. But he does work hard and has a very good demeanor ....I just worry in this type of situation that he is going to struggle ... there are so many unknowns, and as a fantasy manager, I want goalies with TONS of experience and TONS of reliability. I have low confidence in Crawford AND in Emery because I don't know how he holds up. He is great in short spurts, like 3-5 games, but not durable enough to carry a heavy workload. Pressure is on Crawford for sure!

12:25

Comment From Chris Stewart

was is the best fantasy goalies this year

12:26

Comment From SabreMatt

Assuming Luongo goes to the Leafs, (which may or may not happen) do you expect a drop in production, or will he put up his old Florida-esque numbers?

12:27

TheGoalieGuild: Drop in production, but still good enough to give the Leafs a really good chance to make the playoffs. I know the Leafs are trying to implement a more defensive-oriented system with Carlyle, but I don't think that happens overnight and I think a lot has to do with chemistry on all 3 D pairings........so if he does get traded, it's an adjustment coming into the weekend and a lot more unknowns. But Luongo is still a very good goalie especially in the regular season and from like games 25-50. Here is a real good article by Cam Charron on the subject...

12:28

TheGoalieGuild: http://canucksarmy.com/2013/1/14/the-case-for-roberto-luongo-as-the-canucks-starter-in-2013

12:28

TheGoalieGuild: I am now thinking that the Canucks are going to be forced to keep him because there are no legit UFA backups available, Lack is hurt, Climie isn't signed to an NHL contract, and every team DESPERATELY needs two good goalies this season.

12:28

Comment From Jason

Do you think Viktor Fasth will get many starts? Does him being sent to Norfolk hurt his chances?

12:29

TheGoalieGuild: Fasth was only sent to Norfolk in order to get some game action. He'll play one or two games and either join Anaheim in Vancouver or meet up a day before. It's a very smart move, although does come with a few risks, the pros outweigh the cons. He's a 30-year old mature goalie with a fierce competitive edge. I really like Fasth, but not over-expecting results in a condensed chaotic season.

12:29

Comment From Guest

Are Neuvirth, Khabibulin and Harding worth keeping as #3 and #4 goalies for this year? Which one would you drop?

12:31

TheGoalieGuild: I would easily drop Khabibulin. Neuvirth will have chances to be a starter elsewhere....I think Holtby is going to win that job and Neuvirth will be moved at some point. Not this season because WSH needs two good goalies ... but Holtby is a very elite young talent with unreal upside (Lehner-esque) so I would keep Neuvirth around. He is still a very good goalie, just being squeezed out of action due to someone that's a bit better. Khabibulin is also not 100% game ready yet...so who knows there.

12:31

Comment From Mike

In your opinion, who are the top NCAA goalies this year? Do you see any of these goalies making the NHL? Thanks for your insight.

12:33

TheGoalieGuild: Some of the better NCAA goalies that I've seen and like are Adam Wilcox, Juho Olkinoura, Casey DeSmith, Sean Bonar, Chris Rawlings, Matt O'Connor, etc. These are not the top-ranked or best statistical goalies, but goalies I think can play at the pro level. There are many others.......oh and Jared Coreau is making a name for himself as well. Very good low-tier ECHL/AHL goalies in the NCAA that can turn into solid NHL goalies over time. Play the patience game with them. But watch for Rawlings, Coreau, O'Connor to get chances at the pro level.

12:33

Comment From Guest

Would you consider a TOR goalie if could be had in late rounds?

12:33

TheGoalieGuild: If you're asking me who I would take, it would be Scrivens over Reimer in the latest round possible. I am personally not a fan of inexperienced Leafs goalies. I do love Jussi Rynnas though ... he is a very very good long-term prospect.

12:34

Comment From Eric

What do you think of anton Khudobin

12:35

TheGoalieGuild: NHL-ready goalie that has done very well in the limited NHL action he's had. I think he earns a few starts just by sheerly performing above expectations and could play in as many as 16 games. That may seem a little high because I do think Rask could be a sleeper for a Top-5 or Top-7 fantasy goalie this year, but Khudobin will make due with his chances. He has really improved his technical game and isn't as "spazzy" as he was a few years ago. Much more refined and consistent.

12:35

Comment From Guest

so what do you think the top 2 goalies will be this week

12:35

TheGoalieGuild: Ah geez....no idea....experience is everything this season so I'll go with Lundqvist and Miller.

12:35

Comment From Kevin

How do you see the next three years unfolding for Lack and Mrazek, given the goalies in front on them?

12:37

TheGoalieGuild: Tough to say obviously ... I can project the future without taking into consideration other goalies, so this is a tough question. Lack will be a full-time NHL goalie regardless, and I think Mrazek has come so far in such a short amount of time that his progress will slow down at some point. He needs to get through the potential sophomore slump and stay patient with the development process if he's going to be a Red Wings goalie (that's their MO ... slow and steady development) so in three years I want to see him as an NHL backup as well. A lot can happen in that time frame, but I think he's so athletic and competitive that he is where he is for a reason...moving forward and not looking back. I'll go out on a limb and say he's a full-time NHL goalie before 2016. .

12:37

Comment From Eric

Entering a deep league and with many of the of the known starters taken, what back ups could be an option down the road for success. I think khudobin and hackett

12:39

TheGoalieGuild: Hackett isn't a backup but yes he's a top prospect. Thomas Greiss is a good one right now. I'm still not sold on Niemi having a long and fruitful NHL career. Keep an eye on Cristopher Nilstorp as well. He's only 28 and has tremendous skill and is already in Dallas' training camp. You obviously have guys like Bernier and Neuvirth and Khudobin and ... yes. .. Jonas Gustavsson. I think he is going to surprise a lot of people.

12:39

Comment From christap99

how do you use this chat it not working for me

12:39

TheGoalieGuild: yes it is :)

12:40

TheGoalieGuild: I take my time on answering stuff as comprehensively as possible, so thanks for being patient with your questions!!! This is the only way I know how to answer stuff.

12:40

Comment From Mike Hunt

No love for Rask in your top 5 in a one year league? With Boston only playing 7 back to backs you have to think he should start more than 32 games as you predicted in your workload article? Is Khudobin that good to take 16 starts?

12:41

TheGoalieGuild: I think he is very close to being a Top-5 guy like I said a ffew minutes ago. I think experience is a huge X-Factor in a chaotic condensed schedule, but the Bruins are clearly one of the top projected teams in the east, the schedule is in their favor. But Khudobin is no slouch and keep this in mind..........

12:41

TheGoalieGuild: ..........if the Bruins have a stranglehold on a home-ice advantage playoff spot, the last few games might be a perfect chance to rest Rask and give Khudobin a few games that other teams fighting for a playoff spot might not have the luxury. But that's just speculation, and one of the reasons why I have Khudobin listed for 16

12:42

Comment From Guest

Who is the one goalie that no one has heard of that folks should bury on their farm?

12:42

TheGoalieGuild: LOVE this question. OK let me think real quick. That NOBODY has heard of? I'll come back to this in a second, I need to pull up my rankings.

12:43

Comment From Dean Youngblood

Surprised to not hear Rask mentioned in your coveted keeper goalies!?! What do you expect from Tuukka?

12:43

TheGoalieGuild: Rask has been one of my top keeper goalies to own for the last two years haha. Remember I ranked him #1 for ONE-YEAR goalies last season??? That was a total fail, but the point being that I've been touting him as a long-term stud for years.

12:43

Comment From Victor

With Luongo still in town, does Scneider feel like a bust given peoples high expectations this year?

12:44

TheGoalieGuild: No, I think even if Luongo stays for the whole season, Schneider's stats in anywhere from 24-30 games will be solid. Depends on league settings.

12:45

Comment From Frim13

Do you think Bernier will be traded soon....and where....?

 

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