Benn USPRESSWIRE

 

This week we look at one of the best young players in all of hockey and ponder just how good he could be when he hits his prime. Jamie Benn was selected 129th overall in the 2007 NHL entry draft by the Dallas Stars, coming out of the Victoria Grizzlies system of the BCHL.

 

It wasn’t just the Stars organization that noticed Benn and he would soon join the prestigious Kelowna Rockets of the Western Hockey League. The Rockets NHL alumnus consists of players like Luke Schenn, Duncan Keith, Alexander Edler, Tyler Myers, Shea Weber and Sheldon Souray.

 

Benn wouldn’t disappoint the Stars after they selected him, putting up 33 goals and 32 assists for 67 points in the 2007-2008 season with Kelowna. In 2008-2009, Benn took his production a step further, scoring 46 goals and adding 36 assists for a career best 82 points.

 

After impressing in training camp, Benn made the Stars roster in 2009-2010 and finally scored his first goal of the season on October 11th. Benn’s first NHL goal came against Vancouver Canucks netminder Roberto Luongo and he would go on to play all 82 games with the Stars. Benn finished with 22 goals and 19 assists for 41 points in his rookie season.

 

He finished fifth in rookie scoring with 41 points, just behind Matt Duchene of the Colorado Avalanche (55 points), John Tavares of the New York Islanders (54 points), Tyler Myers of the Buffalo Sabres (48 points) and Niclas Bergfors of the Atlanta Thrasers (44 points).

 

Benn is improving with each year of experience, as you can see below.

 

09/10: 22 G, 19 A, 41 PTS

10/11: 22 G, 34 A, 56 PTS

11/12: 26 G, 37 A, 63 PTS

 

Benn got to play around some great veteran teammates, like Brad Richards and Mike Modano, to name a few. For a 23-year-old, he’s already 205 pounds and he’s not even finished developing physically. When you combine his outstanding skillset with his ability to play a physical game, you have a dominant player on your hands.

 

Benn made the switch to centre during the 2011-2012 season and moved up to the top line with Loui Eriksson and Michael Ryder. Ryder piled up 35 goals and 27 assists for 62 points, while Eriksson finished with 26 goals and 45 assists for 71 points. You can bet that playing with such a dynamic player in Benn helped out their numbers. Ryder’s 35 goals was actually a career high for him, the most he had before that was 30 (in both the 2006-2007 and 2007-2008 seasons).

 

The Stars effectively handed the reigns to Benn after they traded playmaker Mike Ribeiro to the Washington Capitals in exchange for young centre Cody Eakin and the 54th overall pick in the 2012 draft (Mike Winther).

 

If not for an appendectomy which caused Benn to miss 11 games, Benn would’ve likely finished with nearly 70 points or possibly more. Looking at the situations he was put in with Dallas, its Benn’s time to shine and he will get every opportunity to have a big year with the Stars whenever the NHL resumes its regular schedule.

 

21.95% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 21 ERIKSSON,LOUI - 73 RYDER,MICHAEL
12.51% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 29 OTT,STEVE - 73 RYDER,MICHAEL
10.75% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 21 ERIKSSON,LOUI - 29 OTT,STEVE
7.64% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 16 BURISH,ADAM - 29 OTT,STEVE
5.90% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 10 MORROW,BRENDEN - 29 OTT,STEVE
5.69% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 29 OTT,STEVE - 81 VINCOUR,TOMAS
2.65% PP 14 BENN,JAMIE - 21 ERIKSSON,LOUI - 73 RYDER,MICHAEL
2.21% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 21 ERIKSSON,LOUI
1.81% PP 14 BENN,JAMIE - 21 ERIKSSON,LOUI - 29 OTT,STEVE
1.55% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 21 ERIKSSON,LOUI - 81 VINCOUR,TOMAS
1.35% EV 14 BENN,JAMIE - 16 BURISH,ADAM - 23 WANDELL,TOM
1.18% SH 14 BENN,JAMIE - 21 ERIKSSON,LOUI

 


The only thing that can hold Benn back is his health, if he can stay out there on the ice, the numbers will come and he will continue to improve. 

 

To quote Anaheim Ducks coach Bruce Boudreau, “I thought (Benn) was a pretty good player, but I didn’t think he was going to turn out to be the player he is,” Boudreau said. “I think he’s one of the finest young players in the league that nobody knows about. If this kid was in Toronto, they’d be making statues of him.”

 

Benn is eligible at centre and left wing in Yahoo leagues, ranked as the 76th overall player. ESPN has him at number 47 overall and he checks in at 12th overall in CBS formats.

 

Enjoy:

 

 

Previous Forensics:

 


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Comments (13)add comment

InnocentBystander said:

27Blue
... 84 points isn't unreasonable.
there is a lot of luck that goes into a players stats each year.

a player has his own skill set, but the coach determines the role each player will have on a team - this influences a players numbers... but pure luck also plays a factor.

saying benn is a PPG player is a good assumption based on his skills and projected role on the team. with a few good breaks during the year, he could get up to 85 points, with a few bad bounces he could drop to 75 points...
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

Jake44 said:

Jake44
... LOL.....yeah, that 84pts prediction also included a little bit of "hope". I just feel Benn is sometimes underated.....much like Eriksson....must be a Dallas thing. I feel with the new supporting cast (regardless of their age and overpaid salary lol), Dallas is going to put up some #'s this year. I think what will secure his PP1 status besides his play will be the big $ they sign him to.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

InnocentBystander said:

27Blue
... right on P7...
and I can't see any way that Benn doesn't get prime PP minutes.
in my mind, it is a given.
lots of great points brought up and about a dozen other key points have been brought up in the forums in other discussions...
benn is for real, and his time is now.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

Pengwin7 said:

Pengwin7
Benn Benn is one of my favourite players to watch.
I think PPG is a pretty elite club and people should really hedge from predicting anybody for 82+pts.

That said, there are some very nice things about Benn that (surprisingly) haven't even been touched on in either the article or comments.

The main thing is how poor the Dallas PP was last year.
Was it Souray? Was Goligoski off-his-game?
Here's the Dallas Stars top PPP for last year:
15: Ribeiro
12: Eriksson
10: Benn
10: Ryder
9: Goligoski
...
6: Souray

The Stars powerplay was absolutely dismal last year. In fact, they finished last in the NHL at 13.5%. Does PP efficiency vary from year-to-year? Yes, yes it does. Nashville, for example, finished last year as the #1 PP team (21.6%). But the previous year they finished 26th (15.2%). I've learned that powerplays can fluctuate wildly year-to-year, so it's best not expecting the NHL's PP leader (Giroux) to put up the same totals as last year. It's also fair to expect the NHL's most dismal PP (Dallas) to improve. Or at very least, you can be sure that they have put a lot of work into correcting it.

Speaking of PPs, I don't care how old players are... PP efficiency is all about "hands" and "vision". That's why Jaromir Jagr was so valuable to that Flyers PP last year and to Giroux's totals. He'll be a big help on that DAL PP.

My big concern for Benn is whether he gets that precious PP1 time.
The top PP unit could be Jagr/Whitney/Eriksson/Goligoski/(other D).
If Benn ends up on PP2, his stats may not rise.
If you told me Benn would be on PP1 all year... oh, I'd peg him for 80pts.

The thing to REALLY like about Benn is the fact that he put up 52 even-strength points in 71 games. 0.73 ppgES. That's better than Giroux, Tavares, and the Sedins. 0.73 ppgES is top 10 in the NHL (I believe).

Anyways - to shorten... these are the kinds of numbers that Forensics should really be exploring when speaking about Benn's potential for further statistical improvement. (moreso than extracting "First Goal against Luongo" from something like wikipedia - which really lends no value towards statistical forensics - sorry, just saying).

Benn also was a complete beast in the 2010 AHL playoffs after 82 games with Dallas. This is important because it shows how well he can quickly adapt to playing with a completely new set of linemates & team. This would have been something good to note as well (though it can't be found on wikipedia).

Overall, decent article - could be much better.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

InnocentBystander said:

27Blue
... 63 points in 71 games doesn't mean he needs 20 more points to reach PPG status.
it means he needs 9 more points over last year's pace to reach 82 points in 82 games.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

cdubb said:

cdubb
... I dunno, watched him just a few times (had him on my team last year) and reminded me of Nash and Ryan in his highlights. Big guy who could pull off some fancy pull and drags, got a few highlight real goals.

PPG increase is 20 more points. I know he has a lot of hype on this board, but as Ryan said few players get PPG nowadays.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

InnocentBystander said:

27Blue
... doesn't matter who else is on the team, benn is a ppg talent going forward.
morrow, ryder and jagr might drop off, but not benn. no way. no how.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
Benn 84 points? Sorry Jake I think you're way over-inflating his point totals...

I'm not saying it can't happen, but when you consider that only 3 players (Malkin, Stamkos, and Giroux) in the ENTIRE NHL posted more than 84 last season, do you really think that Benn has reached that level?

I mean Spezza just hit 84, not Kovalchuk, Kessel, Neal, Tavares, H. Sedin, Elias, Hossa, Whitney, Thornton, Gaborik, Eberle, Kopitar, St. Louis, Pominville, Eriksson, Staal, Moulson, Sharp, Parise, Zetterberg, Hartnell, Iginla, D. Sedin, Seguin or Lupul hit 84 points last season, yet you think Benn will tally that this campaign?
October 12, 2012
Votes: +1

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
... Talent isn't the issue with Benn, the biggest thing for me will be depth charts.

18:04 and 2:17 with the Stars last campaign, but if you look at the main competition, he really only had Eriksson (19:45 and 2:3smilies/cool.gif and Ribeiro (20:02 and 2:51) who really challenged him for ice-time.

If you take a look at the off-season changes. They moved Riberio for Roy, so let's call that an even swap. They added Jagr (16:20 and 3:15), where he's going to eat up a lot of PP time. Whitney (18:38 and 3:46), once again someone who could eat into the PP time. Also you have to consider Morrow possibly getting a bit healthier than last season... Ryder is still a 30-goal threat. Throw in a bit of competition from Eakin, Nystrom, Fiddler and Wandell, I just don't know if there's a lot of room for Benn to improve.

The Stars averaged 2.49 goals per game which is a bit low, so if you say they improve to 2.65, that adds another 13 goals or 39 points to go around, but considering the additions of Jagr and Whitney... Those 39 points could easily be eaten up there instead.

Although I do think that Benn does have the offensive potential to hit point-per-game, with 7 potential 50+ point producers on the team, I don't know if his environment will allow him reach that, I don't think it's even safe to cement him for more than 70... The Stars are starting to resemble the Blues, where they have too much talent to spread around and the players will start to steal points off each other.

I'd keep his expectations of improvement in check.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

Jake44 said:

Jake44
... Regardless is Eriksson had 70 with/without Benn is irrelavent. Riberio was known for overstaying on his shift ie cutting into Benn's time playing with players like Eriksson. This year it's all Benn baby!! Benn didn't need Eriksson to win the skills competition last year at the All Star game did he?....lol

Don't get me wrong, Eriksson is awesome....I just think a full season together full time, the duo will be dynamite. Benn 84 pts, Eriksson 76
October 12, 2012
Votes: +1

cdubb said:

cdubb
Eriksson Nice article again. Just question whether in fact it's Eriksson who helped Benn. I think Louie already has two 70 pt seasons prior to Benn.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

Mac Vincent said:

dmvincent
... Thanks for reading, glad you enjoyed it!
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0

bluteau said:

bluteau
... Thank Mac Vincent that was a nice article and the tribute of Jamie Benn was AWESONE WOW what a player he hit, he fight, he have some really good hand and he is really fast, 4th year now should breakout I have him in my one year smilies/smiley.gif.
October 12, 2012
Votes: +0
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