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Any fantasy hockey questions on your mind? Post them in the comments and I'll try to get to them for tomorrow's ramblings.

 

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I interviewed Flyers strength & conditioning coach Jim McCrossin earlier this week. That piece was published over at Broad Street Hockey.

 

In your time with the Flyers, who have been some of the fittest players you have worked with?

 

McCrossin: "Rod Brindamour, Mark Recchi, and Braydon Coburn. There have been many."

 

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My latest for the Hockey Writers | Business - the financial risks of a new arena in Seattle, and how Chris Hansen and the city are trying to overcome them.

 

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Don't forget to check our lockout tracker - featured in the top panel on the home page. It lists the locations and a link to the stats for players in the AHL, Europe, and elsewhere around the globe during the lockout.

 

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My profile of Canucks defenseman Jason Garrison – could he be a benefactor of the Sedin effect? Christian Ehrhoff certainly was a few seasons ago.

 

You can count the number of defensemen who have been better than him in the defensive zone since 2010 on two hands. He likely won’t score 16 goals again, as the Canucks don’t have a playmaker like Campbell on the back end. However, Garrison’s value comes more from his ability to eat minutes and shut down opposing stars and less from his ability to light the lamp.


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Mike Colligan takes a look at the cost of insuring Sidney Crosby during the lockout.

 

Hint: it would cost a lot.

 

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Don’t forget to bookmark the DobberHockey lockout player tracker.

 

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I contributed to a panel on ESPN ranking the best and worst free agent signings. Rob Vollman of Hockey Abstract put them together. The best and the worst.

 

Worst:


Dennis Wideman, Calgary, five years, $5.25 million per year


Approval: 6.5 percent


Concern: Not a two-way, top-pairing defenseman


Despite similar deals being received favorably -- such as 56.5 percent approval for Matt Carle's six-year, $5.5 million contract in Tampa Bay or 63.0 percent approval for Jason Garrison's six-year, $4.6 million deal in Vancouver -- Wideman's final agreement with Calgary received almost unanimous condemnation among our advanced stats gurus.


Why the negative analysis? Simply put, Carle and Garrison are seen as two-way players and top penalty-killing options who can line up against the league's top lines and shut them down, all while generating only slightly less offense than Calgary's newest power-play quarterback.


Best:


Dustin Penner, Los Angeles Kings, one year, $3.25 million


Approval: 91.3 percent


Attraction: Poised for a bounce-back season


While the price may seem like a lot for a 30-year-old coming off a 17-point season, this deal ultimately proved the most popular because of strong indications that Penner is due for a rebound.


These low shooting percentages typically prove temporary, and a good postseason performance -- such as his 11 points in 20 games while winning his second Stanley Cup last season -- is a strong indicator of a bounce-back season. By signing Penner to a one-year contract, the Kings have a low-risk way of finding out if they got a bargain on a potential 30-goal, second-line winger.


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Some information on how the NHL players will get paid during the lockout.

 

A player making $1 million will lose about $77,000 per paycheque, starting in the middle of October.


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A terrific interview with Puck Daddy and Keith Primeau from yesterday.

 

The biggest misnomer is that there are different degrees of severity. A concussion is a concussion, whether they leave on a stretcher or whether he's just dealt a blow that causes a concussion. They're severe enough where they need to be dealt with in the same manner.


No more “minor” concussions.

 

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The NHL’s most underrated players of all-time, according to NHL.com.

 

Sergei Zubov


Want to win a game of hockey trivia? Ask friends who led the 1993-94 New York Rangers -- the team that ended the Big Apple's 54-year Cup drought -- in scoring during the regular season.


The answer is Zubov, whose 89 points made him the only defenseman in NHL history to lead a team that finished first in the regular season in scoring. He added 19 points in 22 playoff games as the Rangers won their first championship since 1940 -- but the Conn Smythe Trophy went to fellow defenseman Brian Leetch.


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The Oilers haven’t decided whether or not to send Nugent-Hopkins to the World Juniors (in the event of a lockout). Canada would be stacked up the middle with Mark Scheifele and Ryan Strome behind him.

 

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What’s an NHL GM to do during a lockout? According to Ken Holland, they become glorified scouts.

 

"Tomorrow our American League camp starts up," Tampa Bay Lightning GM Steve Yzerman said over the phone Wednesday. "I’ll head to Syracuse tomorrow, and I’ll continue to follow them. I’ll also watch our prospects in junior hockey, once college starts up, watch our prospects there, and then try and catch the top kids for the draft and get more involved there."


Yzerman and Holland were both quick to point out they have no intention of suddenly overstepping their boundaries when it comes to their respective scouting staffs. But because they’ve got time on their hands, both GMs are planning on watching way more of the prospects.


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Justin Goldman produces a monthly goaltending prospects report for The Goalie Guild members. His eighth ranked prospect is Sharks goaltender Alex Stalock:

 

The high-energy #3 goalie for the Sharks is back to being fully-healthy, and he’s ready for Worcester’s training camp. I was able to watch him here in the Twin Cities during Octagon Sport’s pro camp, and he looked like he was in great shape.


If you want to have access to the PDF, you can join his site as a premium member.

 

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Evgeni Kuznetsov continues to make the highlight reels (and subsequently the DobberHockey ramblings). Check out his assist at the 3:45 mark.

 


Write comment
Comments (10)add comment

buck0198 said:

buck0198
fantasy question How long in the Swiss league before Rick Nash gets hurt?

oh wait....
September 28, 2012
Votes: +0

bballplyr321 said:

bballplyr321
... That is in a bubble sir. That does not take into account injuries and games played. A more accurate stat would be points per game played. As I stated, Penner is at .54 points per game played.

Number of forwards with greater than .54 points per game played: 151
Number of top 6 forwards in the league: 180
Much closer.

Other guys that are in that same point range
Stalberg - 875K
Brodziak - 2.83MM
Sykora - 650K (2012 salary)
Zubrus - 3.4MM
Bertuzzi - 2.075MM

So it would seem that 3.25MM would be on the higher end of the spectrum......not really a great deal for a player that you are HOPING bounces back to his career statistical norms when a player has seen a significant drop off since being traded to the team he just resigned with.

But that is the beauty of fantasy hockey. Everyone has a different opinion and places different values on players based on their perceived values.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +0

angus said:

angus
... NHL forwards with more than 45 points last season = 115
Number of top six forwards in the NHL = 6x30 = 180

I'd say that is very adequate production for a top six forward.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +0

bball said:

bballplyr321
... Respectfully, Penner was never a solid top 6 contributer. He has had one season in the NHL where he has scored more than 47 points. He has scored .54 points per game for his career. Expecting him to bounce back to his career norm, he would be slated to score around 45 points next season which by all accounts is not all that great for a top 6 forward. Since he has been moved to LA, it seems as though he has not been a good fit at all often times looking out of place and being outplayed by the youngsters on the team. He had to be THE MAN in Edm before he was traded but now that he is no longer counted on, it seems as though he has taken a step back. 3.25MM for 45 points and a lost little puppy is not going to cut it. And at 30 years old, he no longer has that same promise that youth brings. Let me be clear, he is not an OLD player but at 30 years old, you pretty much know what you are going to get out of a player. There are very few guys that blossom into something special this late in their careers.

I would submit, in his place, a player like Wojtek Wolski who scored half the number of points in a third of the games played and signed a contract to play in Washington for less than $1MM. That is an excellent signing and a very good $smilies/tongue.gifoint ratio.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +0

DuklaNation said:

DuklaNation
... Penner is a bum, that new contract will buy a lot of pancakes. Time to go long IHOP.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +0

angus said:

angus
... Penner's is based on past performance, though. He has a track record of solid top six production.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +0

UKflames said:

UKflames
Penner Angus, it is fine that he is due a bounce back season but I still don't see how that makes it a good contract. When fans are deciding whether a contract is good value or not they use past performance not what 'could' happen. Otherwise a lot of these bad contracts would be classed as good because of what could happen.
Wideman is the other comparison here and he 'could' come to the flames and set the league on fire banging in points every night, we don't know, we have to use past performance to decide.
You cannot judge one contract on past performance (Wideman) and another on what could happen (Penner)in the future, double standard.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +1

newfcollins said:

newfcollins
... I can't see Penned being a good signing. Even if he's due for a bounce back season, that's probably 35ish points. When he got his 30-goal, 60-point season, he was playing top line minutes on a bad team. Now he's at most second line, with less PP than he saw with the Oilers.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +0

angus said:

angus
... It is almost mathematically impossible for Penner to perform as bad as he did last year.

He is "due" for a bounceback season because it is almost mathematically impossible that he struggles continue.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +0

UKflames said:

UKflames
Good contract V bad contract So now Penners' contract is a now considered a good one because he is 'due' a bounce back season?? If I remember correctly everyone was screaming what a terrible contract it was after the points he had been putting up and how he was overpaid.
Seems strange that his contract can be considered in a positive light on a prediction rather than past history, which is the norm.
September 28, 2012
Votes: +1
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