|June 24, 2012||Tweet|
|Written by Ryan Ma|
|Saturday, 23 June 2012 19:10|
There were many of us that thought the Islanders snagged a great deal acquiring Lubomir Visnovsky from the Ducks for a handful of draft picks, but the latest rumblings have Vissy considering a couple of overseas contracts (one from the KHL and the other in his home country of Slovakia) and that he might remain overseas and not return to the NHL next season.
Ramblings up a bit early tonight.
Mike Ribeiro is the newest member of the Caps. He was acquired for Cody Eakin along with a second-round pick. This finally solves the second-line center woes that the Caps have been dealing with in the past couple of seasons. But something could still be off if they lose Alex Semin to another team through UFA.
Potential depth chart for the Washington Capitals:
Filip Forsberg is under contract in the SEL for next season, so he won't be crossing the pond.
This would be an opportune time for Evgeni Kuznetsov to cross the pond and walk straight into a top-six NHL role, but earlier reports have him remaining in Russia for another two seasons. Maybe he'll reconsider...
The biggest trade of the day of course was the Jordan Staal to Carolina deal.
Career offensive numbers:
Per game offensive numbers:
If you compare the two players from an offensive perspective, then Staal definitely has a big edge over Brandon Sutter, but you also have to keep in mind that he did get ample opportunity to play with two of the league’s best in Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, while Sutter really only had the help of Eric Staal.
However if you look at the defensive “real-time” numbers, they’re much closer in that respect than most people give credit for.
Career defensive “real-time” numbers:
Per game defensive “real-time” numbers:
Besides Staal’s edge in the hit department, essentially all of the other “real-time” stats are fairly comparable.
Since the Penguins have Crosby, Malkin, James Neal, Chris Kunitz and possibly Zach Parise to take care of the offensive stuff, taking a downgrade on the offensive front from Staal to Sutter shouldn’t make too significant of an impact to the team. Plus they got the eighth overall pick in Derrick Pouliot as well as Brian Dumoulin in return as well. Great trade for the Pens!
I’m going to throw a third name into the mix when comparing Sutter and Staal above.
Defensive “real-time” numbers:
If you look at the defensive numbers, they definitely aren’t comparable to Staal or Sutter, but offensively speaking, player X is a better offensive option and probably is a decent fit as a second line center on any NHL team. If he gets the right line mates and ample ice-time, he could be a very decent offensive option. Player X is Sam Gagner. With Nail Yakupov, Taylor Hall, Jordan Eberle, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Ales Hemsky and Shawn Horcoff occupying the Oilers’ top-six. Would now be a great time to include Gagner, Linus Omark and Magnus Paajarvi in a package to a rebuilding team for a quality number one D in return? What about those three to Phoenix for Keith Yandle?
It could be a win-win for both teams, those three would help restock the Coyotes offensive cupboards, and they’re all young(ish), so that Dave Tippet can mould them into strong defensive players. In his system, he doesn’t require 100-point scorers, he only needs a couple of 45-55(ish) point producers who are willing to play a two-way game to get the job done. Moving Yandle would also rid Phoenix of a high-priced $21.5 mil four-year contract off their hands. This past season saw Oliver Ekman-Larsson take a larger role in Phoenix and essentially unseated Yandle as the number one blue-liner in Phoenix. With the return of Michalek, plus Rostislav Klesla, Derek Morris, Michael Stone, Dave Schlemko along with David Rundblad, Brandon Gormley, Connor Murphy, Chris Summers and Maxim Goncharov in the pipeline, there isn’t an immediate need for the Coyotes to be forced to keep Yandle in the mix. The Oilers would also get their highly coveted number one D. Seems to make perfect sense to me!
The Oilers’ left me scratching my head. I was ecstatic with the Yakupov pick, and overnight I was thinking hey we could also land a very solid pick in Matt Finn (who was on many first round mock drafts lists), as well. Second pick the Oiler select Mitch Moroz… I’m sitting there thinking wtf? Don’t the Oilers have a glaring need on D? You have Finn sitting there right in front of you and you pass? Yet you take a Derek Dorsett type? CoppernBlue echoes the same concerns as me.
The next two NHL Entry drafts will remain within the Atlantic division as New Jersey and Philadelphia will host the draft for the 2013 and 2014 Entry drafts respectively.
On the forecheck, takes a deeper look at travel schedules for NHL teams. I took it a bit further to see if there is any correlation between total points and travel distance. In three words, there isn’t any!
The interesting stat is in the back-to-back games. Here are the stats in teams playing in B2B games, but it is from a “gambling” website, so I can’t vouch for its validity. Teams were just 170-245 (41 percent win rate) in B2B games. The schedule this year is much more “even” than it was last year. The range was huge last year with the Sabres copping the short end of the stick (21 B2B games) with Calgary, Colorado and TB with the lowest at 10. This year the range is much closer as Columbus, Chicago, New Jersey and Islanders have the most at 16, while the Sharks get a reprieve at just nine.
Artic Ice Hockey, chimes in with the worth of Ondrej Pavelec. They opine that he’s roughly a $1.5 to $2 mil guy rather than $4 mil. The question is if they pass on Pavelec and let him walk to the KHL, who’s the replacement? Roberto Luongo? I mean if Pavelec wants $4 mil a season, Luongo’s cap hit is only $1.33 mil more than Pavelec and that to me seems like a much better deal.
Shane Doan “frustrated” with Coyotes situation, but has stated that he would love to remain in Phoenix. He also mentions that Phoenix has lost many free agents due to the unstable ownership situation. Prospective owner Michael Jamison could potentially be a solution to problem, but I don’t know if he can fully solve it.
Terry Jones thinks that Ralph Krueger is positioned to be the new head coach of the Oilers.
According to Swiss media reports, Swiss league leading scorer and one of the top performers at the recent WC, Damien Brunner, is slated to sign with the Red Wings. If it was any other clubs I wouldn’t pay too much attention to it, but the Red Wings have weaved plenty of magic snagging Europeans and turning straw into gold.
According to Ansar Kahn of M!Live, Jiri Hudler won’t resign with the Wings and will head into free agency on July 1st. He is a victim of point scarcity in Detroit, with Pavel Datsyuk, Henrik Zetterberg, Johan Franzen, Valtteri Filppula and Todd Bertuzzi all competing with Hudler for points and ice-time, there’s only so much that he can really do. If he goes to a team willing to openly give him 18 or 19 minutes per game in a top-six role, he has the talent to be a point-per-gamer next season.
Scott Cullen of TSN does an awesome job of breaking down player production by draft position. There are a couple of very interesting points from the column. First, second and third usually have a pretty high success rate (not surprising), in a providing a productive NHL career. What’s surprising is that after that there’s a huge dramatic drop off. Fourth, fifth and sixth have roughly a 40 percent hit rate, while seventh, eighth and ninth have roughly a 25 percent hit rate. The major surprise, the 10th overall pick, seems to be an Achilles heel for all teams with a miserable 5.9 percent hit rate, so good luck to TB with Slater Koekkoek with that pick.
Surprisingly “lucky” pick number 13 has been almost as productive as a fourth, fifth or sixth overall pick, so Radek Faksa of the Dallas Stars could have a very industrious career ahead of him. 18th, 20th, 21st and 23rd have also been relatively productive with a low 20 percent rating and given their respective draft positions, are generally where most “steals” happen. Good luck to Teuvo Teravainen, Scott Laughton, Mark Jankowski and Michael Matheson.
It also kind of explains how teams that have been perpetually stuck in that “four through 10” spot like Columbus, Minnesota, Carolina, Islanders, Florida and Atlanta/Winnipeg have never really gotten a lot out of their first round draft picks and brings us back to the if you’re going to lose, you’re better off “tanking” and “loading the dice” (74.1 percent chance of landing a quality NHLer), by getting picks one, two or three as opposed to finishing with a half decent record and playing the odds by picking four through 10 while frolicking with just 28.6 percent odds.
A thought crossed my mind yesterday, comparing the Islanders team today with the Chicago team that won the Stanley Cup back in 2009-10. If the “highly touted” prospects ever live up to their expected standards, they do bare similar resemblances to each other plus or minus a few pieces.
A couple of quality re-signings by the Stanley Cup winning Kings as they re-inked Jarret Stoll (three years), for $9.275 mil and Colin Fraser (two years), for $1.65 mil.
The Avs also extended Matt Duchene’s contract for another two-years for $7 mil. What I don’t get is why they give a longer and more expensive contract out to an unproven David Jones, but then pull off a brilliant contract on Duchene.
Latest out of the Bobby Ryan camp is that he’s “frustrated” by Ducks management and would welcome a trade anywhere.
He does mention that the Flyers would be his first choice. So Dobberities, put yourself in GM Paul Holmgren’s and put up your best offer for Ryan.
This one gave me a bit of a chuckle. Hours after the NHL Entry draft the Jackets fired four of their amateur scouts. Certainly brings a lot of confidence in what they did for this draft doesn't it? Rossy go put your resume in!
Pretty slow news day, if you have any fantasy questions that you want answered post them here and I’ll get to as many as I can.
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Luke Schenn: The Human Eraser
Arm Chair GM said:
|Last Updated on Sunday, 24 June 2012 08:05|