The Sharks have acquired Brad Stuart in exchange for Andrew Murray along with a conditional seventh round draft pick in the 2014 NHL entry draft.

 

“Stuart played more short-handed minutes than any other Red Wings defender this past season. San Jose had the second-worst penalty-kill unit this season, a major factor I their first-round exit from the playoffs against St. Louis.”

 

“Stuart, 32, had six goals and 15 assists in 81 games last season. He had a plus-16 rating and led the Red Wings in hits with 177 and was second in blocked shots with 115.”


If he re-signs with the Sharks, it should really bolster that defensive unit. The Sharks' blue-line corp were fine on the offensive side of things, but in terms of physicality on defense they couldn't hold up to the Canucks/Blues/Preds. Stuart should add a bit more of the physicality back onto the blue line.

 

The Devils went from 3-nil down (1.8 percent of winning the series), to 3-1 down (9.5 percent) and are now down 3-2 (21 percent) thanks to an exciting 2-1 win over the Kings in Game Five. The making of the greatest comeback in history? Game Six heads back to LA on Monday night. UPDATE: The lady behind the Devils bench will be back for Game Six in the exact same seat. Focus DeBoer, focus... 

 

According to NorthJersey.com, in this year’s playoffs, the Devils were 4-8 in Games 1 through 3 of their four series and 9-1 in Games 4 through 6. Make that 10-1. 

 

Jersey is the trying to become only the second team in league history to come back from 3-0 down to win the Stanley Cup. The other team to do it was the 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs.

 

Six of the last 10 SCF have gone to Game 7. 

 

Goalie comparison between Jon Quick: 1.13 GAA and .947 SP vs. Martin Brodeur: 1.87 GAA and .921 SP. Slight edge to Quick at the moment, but you’ve got to think that it’ll be closer to 50/50 if Brodeur wins Game Six.

 

Another interesting stat to make a mental note of, Game One: nine for 10 (win), Game Two: 11 for 20 (win), Game Three: 10 for 15 (win), Game Four: six for 16 (loss) and Game Five: nine for 19 (loss). Those are the faceoff numbers for Jarrett Stoll. Maybe he’s the key to success for the Kings.  

 

The SCF is still not drawing great ratings, but is steadily growing game-by-game according to SBnation. It just highlights how, despite the monstrous growth in league revenue the game of hockey still isn’t garnering much attention out of the hockey “hot bed” cities. I wonder how much of “growth” is actually coming from the Canadian market being buoyed up by a strong Canadian dollar, as opposed to growth in casual “fanship”?

 

PuckDaddy comes up with five great reasons why viewership is down and I can’t argue with any of them.

      

What do you know, the Glendale City Council voted 4-2 to approve the sale of the Coyotes to the Jamison group. Glendale will actually pay Jamison $300 million over 20 years or $15 million a season to “manage” the arena. Now the interesting question is whether or not it’ll be enough to convince Shane Doan and Ray Whitney to re-sign in the desert or will they leave for greener pastures?

 

With the limited crop of UFA available and plenty of teams with sufficient cap space on July 1st, you would have to think that they’ll be in new uniforms next campaign.

 

The Coyotes experienced limited attendance with a “competitive” side. I wonder how those figures would change if they were to lose both Doan and Whitney and ice a “terrible” side. How much of that $15 mil will cover the financial losses that the Coyotes might experience if that happens. I sure hope that Jamison has deep pockets…

 

The Goldwater Institute tried it’s best to block/delay the vote, but to no avail.

 

The Devils, who were in financial trouble at the start of the year, seem to have resolved their problems. Making the SCF surely helped in that department. Jeff Vanderbeek is looking to be firmly in charge as the majority owner after finding a new investor group to join the Devils’ ownership to help solve the debt woes.

 

Will it be enough to keep Zach Parise in New Jersey?

 

NHLnumbers.com has a great write up about the bias of the HIT hit category in home arenas and could be something that you’d like to factor in for your leagues this season.

 

Team

Largest Home Mark ups

Chicago

154%

Phoenix

144%

Florida

139%

Toronto

136%

Washington

135%

Detroit

130%

Dallas

129%

LA

124%

Vancouver

123%

Philadelphia

123%

 

Angus brought this up yesterday, but I thought I’d give it another plug. Remember when you were growing up and there would always be that one kid that never left the ice and just kept on skating and skating. Alex Radulov is that kid according to ontheforecheck! They also speculate that might be one of the reasons why the Preds want him out of town.

 

Top-10 Ice-Hogs of 2011-12:

 

Name

TOI/Shift

League Scoring

Ilya Kovalchuk

59 sec

5th

Evgeni Malkin

58 sec

1st

Martin St. Louis

57 sec

17th

John Tavares

57 sec

8th

Alex Ovechkin

56 sec

36th

Brad Richards

55 sec

33rd

Matt Moulson

55 sec

21st

James Neal

55 sec

7th

Alex Radulov

55 sec

378th*

Steven Stamkos

54 sec

2nd

 

Interesting to see the two factors of shift time and point production in relation to each other.

 

Last week, I brought up the point of player’s salaries “spiralling out of control” and had a strong debate with our fellow Dobberite Sentium. The David Jones signing proves my point. A four-year contract for $16 mil, which works out to be $4 mil per season for a player that’s never garnered more than 45 points in a season is a huge overpayment.

 

I’ve seen a few arguments to justify the contract, 1) that he’s a 20-goal scorer… 2) they need veteran leadership to help guide the “young kids”… 3) the UFA market is light this off-season, so he would have gotten more in the free market… 4) the Avs need offensive depth… 5) his $4 mil salary actually isn’t that bad, it’s only 5.7 percent of the salary cap, which is equivalent to a $2.2 mil contract when the salary cap was $39 mil…

 

Now for my rebuttal, 1) yes he is a 20-goal scorer, but at $4 mil you should probably be getting a consistent 30-goal scorer at that price not 20. 2) Can he really provide veteran leadership while playing just 15:45 per contest? I mean he hasn’t proven to be a favourite of Joe Sacco in recent years. $4 mil riding the pine is a huge amount of money wasting away. 3) UFA markets might be weak, but that still shouldn’t be a reason to overpay. Sometimes you need to weigh whether a price is too high or if it’s going to be an albatross of a contract in future years. I’ve never bought into the “percentage of salary cap” argument. 4) Offensive depth can come from playing the young kids, Joey Hishon and Micheal Sgarbossa could challenge for spots in camp, but with Jones signed, the youngsters would be hard pressed to get much development time. 5) Yes a 2.2 mil contract back in 2005-06 might have been expensive, but it was alleviated because the salary cap increased at such a high amount (80% in seven years), which rose player salaries at such an exponential pace as mentioned in last week’s ramblings. However, league revenue is beginning to stabilize and won’t skyrocket as much as it did from 2005-06 till now (I don’t foresee the salary cap rising to $102.2 mil).  So a $4 mil salary will essentially remain a $4 mil salary for the next couple of years, in fact if the league revenues drop, a $4 mil cap hit might actually prove to be worth more.

 

Capgeek has a list of comparable players at the $4 mil mark.

 

Teemu Selanne, Drew Stafford, Joe Pavelski, Brad Boyes, Jordan Staal, Derek Roy, Nik Antropov, Pierre-Marc Bouchard, Milan Lucic, Brendan Morrow, Patrick Sharp, Wojtek Wolski, Tuomo Ruutu, Scott Hartnell and Mike Fisher.

I wouldn’t take Jones over any of the players listed above especially given his injury history and lack of consistent offensive production.

 

The negative of this contract is that it does set precedence for later contracts to be inflated. Jones gets $4 mil, and other agents will be all over this and argue that their clients will be worth $6 mil, and then others will argue that their clients are worth $8 mil. Suddenly teams that are “small market” teams can’t even afford players like Jones anymore. All thanks to the NHL’s great plan of jumping the salary cap (10 percent) from $64.3 mil to $70.3 mil in one year. Exactly how many teams can spend up to $70.3 mil and still be in fine financial position?

 

Kate Strang who covers New York for ESPN, has stated “progress” in contract negotiations between the Rangers and Martin Biron. With Biron as the backup, look for Henrik Lundqvist’s workload to soften once again. Lundy had a 62-20 split with Biron and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it closer to 57-25 next year, which will seriously limit his fantasy value as the number one fantasy goalie heading into 2012-13.

       

Mike Knuble, is done with the Caps, but opines that the next coach stop treating the “stars” like kids anymore and hopes that it’s someone who operates between Bruce Boudreau and Dale Hunter. Who would fit the bill?

 

The B’s are close to re-signing Chris Kelly and Gregory Campbell. It’s a good depth move to help out the fourth line.  

 

Paul Maurice, who I thought was a great candidate to get another gig at an NHL head coaching job, is off to Russia. He’s taking over Magnitogorsk in the KHL. He’ll take former Penguin goalie, Tom Barrasso with him as an assistant coach.

 

Elliott Friedman stated on the Satellite Hotstove that he received an e-mail from a fan that Ondrej Pavelec has received a lucrative offer from St. Petersburg in the KHL. Timmy Thomas taking a year off and Pavelec possibly leaving is throwing curveballs for a few keeper league owners out there.  

 

Ryan Batty of CopperNBlue, doesn’t understand the length of the Steve Tambellini’s contract extension. In three words, neither do I…

 

Derek Zona also of CopperNBlue, analyses the Oilers’ PP from last season and wonders if it was the “kids” that made it better or variance?

 

Ryan Murray tours Edmonton. Could it be a sign of things to come? He’s already made stops to visit the Islanders and Canadiens. Another interesting tidbit near the end of the column, the Jackets have not invited Nail Yakupov for a visit. Are they that turned off by Russians or do they think that he won’t fall to them at number two? Lisa McRitchie thinks that they are far more interested in Murray than Yakupov.

    

I’m a huge fan of John Davidson and what he did with the Blues. He’s a great hockey mind and knows what he’s doing. Columbus interviewed him for an executive-level position last week, and would be a huge asset to the organization if he joins. He would at the very least provide some much needed guidance to GM Scott Howson, who hasn’t exactly experience much success since taking over the Jackets’ GM position in 2007.

   

Ian Laperriere is set to announce his retirement after the Stanley Cup Final. He was never a huge point getter but his 1956 PIM ranks him 56th amongst all players in league history.

 

Congrats to the Norfolk Admirals for winning the Calder Cup! They were a ridiculous team winning 43 of their final 46 contests. Not at all surprised that they won the Calder Cup.

 

If you’ve been following Angus’ ramblings then you’re probably well informed about the players that could impact fantasy leagues down the road. Cory Conacher, Tyler Johnson, Alex Killorn, Mark Barnerio and Dustin Tokarski are your main impact players.

 

Thinking outside of the box here, another candidate that could influence fantasy leagues down the track is Admirals coach Jon Cooper.

 

Thanks to Chris Peters on Twitter.

 

“Jon Cooper's last 5 years as a coach: NAHL titles in 2007 and 2008, USHL title in 2010, AHL title in 2012. He was practicing law in 2003.”


Seems like a winner everywhere he’s coached, but I can’t keep the thought of comparing him to “Gordon Bombay” out of my head.

   

Still slowly chugging along my Projections, Projections, We All Love Our Projections article for later this summer and there have been some interesting finds.

 

List of average point production per team during the last three seasons:

 

Team

Highest

Team

Lowest

Vancouver

703

Minnesota

530.3

Chicago

692

Florida

538.7

Pittsburgh

682

New Jersey

547.3

Philadelphia

673

Edmonton

551

Washington

669

Montreal

565.7

Detroit

661.7

Columbus

573

San Jose

659.7

Islanders

575.3

Boston

629

Los Angeles

578

Buffalo

624

Calgary

578.3

Tampa Bay

624

Ottawa

586.7

Winnipeg

606.7

Phoenix

588.3

Anaheim

605.7

Toronto

590

Rangers

602

St. Louis

592.3

Nashville

601.7

Carolina

593

Colorado

598.3

Dallas

598

 

Any surprises from the list? With the third and eighth ranked teams making the SCF I have a feeling that teams are going to take a copycat approach and watch for the goals to plummet for a fourth consecutive season.

 

Rangers Blog, where I get a bit of my inside information on the Rangers, is going on hiatus and possibly for good, which falls in line with Dobber’s article from a few weeks back, so you want to become a fantasy hockey writer. Most of these blogs (including DobberHockey), are done for free and out of the passion/love of the game, so if you do value these sites and what they provide make sure you support their cause by purchasing any/all of the products that they provide. Much like any other business, if the provider gets burnt out or lacks the passion to do it anymore, they may very well disappear and you’ll lose a valuable source for information. At the end of the day if you purchase a package worth $50 dollars, it might look pretty expensive as an initial cost, but if you factor in and break down what it really provides you with, it works out to be 14 cents a day over a course of a full year. Think about it 14 cents for daily ramblings, an article a day, the best fantasy hockey forum and fantasy guides available, along with direct access to the most knowledgeable/passionate fans of fantasy hockey. Of course you can take the other path and say well I get it all for free anyways, so why would I be stupid enough to pay for it? But if everyone thought that way, Dobberhockey could very well disappear just like Rangers Blog, and that would be a sad day for all of us.

 

Should you be so inclined, follow me on Twitter if you think that my article/tweets are useful.

 


 

Think you're tough? Try blocking a shot with your face... 

 

 

"I don't score goals, I don't do those nice little things out there, I do all the little stuff that people don't see or don't see on the scoresheet but the fans in Philly don't miss it" Ian Lapierre

 

"He's got the heart the size of a lion."

 


Write comment
Comments (13)add comment

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
behindthenet and NHLnumbers are two great sites for that info.

They might come up with something later on in the summer.
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

DuklaNation said:

DuklaNation
... I always felt Detroit was too generous with assists and Florida overstated shot totals. Not sure what other trends there might be but if they crunched the #'s it may be interesting. How about rate of assist for home team goals?
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
Noma Isn't it relative? both are relative to the league? all those players are 1-10 in TOI/shift and the league scoring is relative to each other.

I don't get what you mean when it's not relative?
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
Inflation of salaries That's my point Bullwinkle and that's where I don't think the NHL did a good job of managing the situation.

They released the salary cap at such a massive rate jumping it up by 5/6 mil year after year, so no wonder the player salaries are increasing at such an accelerated rate to the point now that some smaller markets can't compete with larger ones any more.

Which will bring us back to the pre-lockout days of teams just trying to outspend each other to win the cup and player salaries spiralling out of control once again. And subsequently we'll lose another year of hockey to get it sorted out again.
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
Hartnell For what he's producing he's definitely worth his salary.

With that said, when Hartnell signed the contract back in 2007-08 his salary was 8% of a team's salary cap. What the Flyers had the luxury of is that watching the salary cap rise by 40% over the duration of Hartnell's contract.

Jones is at 5.7% now, but I don't foresee the cap situation panning out like Hartnell's where the salary cap continues to rise 40% until the final year of Jones' contract.
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
Salaries in context I do agree with you Jer_33 to some extent, but then that leaves it up to interpretation, you could argue well Philly is a big market team so they can spend up to the cap so $4 mil to them isn't that much. Colorado a smaller market team can only spend up to $50 mil, so technically $4 mil is worth more to Colorado than Philly...

So I mean there's a million ways to interpret contracts in context depending on who determines the context.

For me I like to simplify things, Jones will make $4 mil this season, Hartnell will too, so will a few other players, which will all take up the same amount of cap-hit for a team's $70.3 mil cap. That to me is what makes it comparable.

How much would he have gotten in free agency, I don't know? all it takes is for one team to take a leap of faith on him and his salary would have skyrocketed. To me for what he's shown in the past couple of seasons, he wouldn't be what I would expect of a $4 mil guy. This to me breeds a lot of similarities to the Dustin Penner signing... Could be an albatross of a contract if he continues to be hurt or unproductive.
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

Noma said:

Noma
... Shouldn't the league scoring column be relative too when TOI/shift is a relative stat? Kind of wrecks the point of that chart when it isn't.
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

bullwinkle said:

bullwinkle
Salaries One thing you didn't consider. As the salary cap goes up, there is more money to spend per average on each player. Consequently where 4 million used to buy a 30 goal scorer, it now only buys a 20 goal one. With more money comes inflated salaries.

Also - I'm confident that LA will win the Cup Monday. First time, in front of your fans - priceless.
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

jer_33 said:

jer_33
Salary Cap vs. Contracts Each contract needs to be investigated in context, everyone gets too hung up on pts/$. Just out of curiosity Ryan, how much do you expect that Jones would have gotten in free agency? Also, did everyone think that Hartnell's contract was "value" when he signed it?
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
Long Ramblings Yeah long weekend here in Aus, so had a bit of time to research and dig up stuff...

See I don't buy that logic... At the end of the day the salary cap is a salary cap, so when you say Hartnell's contract was signed three years ago and that took a larger amount of cap space back then than it does now, I would argue so what? Hartnell's salary cap hit this season is still $4.2 mil and so will be Jones. Both teams will still be under the same rules of the same cap... It's not like Philly will be using the $50.3 mil cap that they had back in 2007-08 to pay their players, they use the same $70.3 that the Avs will be using this season... So when you compare players, why wouldn't Hartnell making $4.2 mil and Jones making $4 mil be comparable?

So what if Hartnell's salary was 8.3% of the team's cap 5 years ago? It'll drop down to 6% this season, so what? He's still getting paid $4.2 mil which is in the same ballpark as what Jones will be making. This season both players will take up 6% and 5.7% of their team's salary cap respectively, why isn't that comparable?

The league making more and more money has nothing to do with it being "healthy". It's about having a sustainable model, and at this current rate it's unsustainable. Yes the league is making money, but if you break it down it's not every team making money, it's the about 6 teams that's making a whole heap of money, while another 6 is staying afloat and breaking even, while the 18 is losing money and being propped up by "revenue sharing".

The salaries are starting to inflate because the salary cap has increased 80% over the last 7 years. There are numerous teams now getting priced out of the market. Nashville is a perfect example, the cap may be $70.3 mil next season, but they have an internal budget of roughly $50 mil, which is why they're going to lose their "star" players like Suter to big market teams like Detroit. Isn't the salary cap supposed to be a levelling field for parity? How does having a cap that's above and beyond what the average team is able to spend going to create parity?

It's been widely documented that a "healthy" system operates close to a 50/50 player salary to league revenue ratio. At 57/43, it's getting into that range where it's unhealthy and unsustainable for the future. It might be ok now, as a one off Jones getting $4 mil per year contract, so what happens on July 1st when Penner gets $5 mil, Whitney gets $5.5, Doan gets $6, Samuelsson gets $4? Then it rolls into next season when Getzlaf could get $7.5, Perry gets $8, Lupul gets $6.5, Hartnell gets $7, Staal gets $7.5... If the cap continues to grow at a rate of 10-15% per season, how are those small market teams going to keep pace with the teams that have money? Markets like Toronto, Vancouver, Edmonton, Boston, Philly, Winnipeg, New York and Chicago probably can jack up ticket prices to accommodate for the increase in player salaries, but do you think markets like Phoenix, Nashville, LA or Columbus could jack up their ticket prices 10-15% year after year?

So yes it's currently making money, and if you use that as a measuring stick to measure "healthiness", then yes it's doing fine, but will it be doing fine 3 years down the road? 5 years? 10 years? 20 years?

HIT - bad habit... hard to break. I'll change it just for you.
June 10, 2012
Votes: +0

sentium said:

Dakkster
... I can't remember a bigger chunk of ramblings in a loooooong time. Awesome digging smilies/smiley.gif

Two things though.

1. We had a debate? I made one comment and never even clicked on the page to read any responses. But okay... as far as you making a list of other 4M players, you're using faulty logic. Those contracts were signed when the cap was lower and therefore those 4M took up less percent of that year's cap. That means that a 4M contract three years ago, such as Hartnell's, isn't comparable to a 4M contract this year, since the cap has gone up by several million. Anyway, you can't persuade me that the contracts are spiralling out of control when they all fit under the cap and the league is making more and more money than ever. The league, as a whole, is healthy. Are some teams losing money? Yes. Does the league have a revenue sharing system? Yes. Case closed.

2. I'm still wondering why you persist in capitalizing HIT. It's not an abbreviation and therefore it's stupid to capitalize every letter. It's a proper word. Hit. Try it on for size.
June 10, 2012
Votes: +1

Ryan Ma said:

June 09, 2012
Votes: +0

SharkMeat said:

SharkMeat
Great Job!!!! Nice work Ryan...I especially like being on the West Coast and getting the news first...
June 09, 2012
Votes: +0
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