| May 26, 2012 | Tweet |
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| Written by Ryan Ma | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Saturday, 26 May 2012 02:03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Huge and exciting overtime win for the Devils to clinch the series against the Rangers. They’re off to face the Kings for the Cup starting Wednesday night, which would have given the Kings eight days off.
I think it’s too much time to “rest” and right where “rust” will set in.
The Devils, with the better regular season record, will have home ice advantage over the Kings in the series, which might be the edge needed to get the Devils over the line.
I went out on a limb to pick the Devils to win the Stanley Cup as part of the Dobber “Expert” Panel from the very beginning and copped a bit of flack, especially from Dobber. So far I’m looking like a genius! I also told him that if the Devils win, I’d fly to his house ring his doorbell to point and laugh. Dobber Nation want to sponsor me a plane ticket so I can rub it in his face?
Here’s how I broke down the series.
One of the differences for me heading into the series was that the Rangers had the edge on the blue-line. However, Marek Zidlicky and Bryce Salvador really stepped up and held their own as they both averaged 23:09 and 21:49 in ice-time respectively during the series. Del Zotto had a great first three games, but both he and Marc Staal were virtually non-existent in the final three contests.
With the superstar power status of Ilya Kovalchuk, Zach Parise, Patrik Elias, Travis Zajac and Bryce Salvador, Adam Henrique has been the most “clutch” player for the Devils. He’s registered two series clinching goals (one last night and one against the Panthers) this post-season.
Dominek Hasek, 47-years young, is planning a return to the NHL. As great of a goalie he is, are there going to be any teams willing to give him another shot? Is there even any room for him anymore? There would certainly be a few people out there that would condemn Martin Brodeur for returning back next season even if he wins the cup, what would they think of a Hasek return?
With a decent amount of “youngsters” ready to challenge for a full-time NHL gig, plus Tomas Vokoun, Cristobal Huet, Dwayne Roloson, Antero Niittymaki, Chris Mason, Michael Leighton, Dan Ellis, Jonas Gustavsson, Johan Hedberg, Scott Clemmensen, Alex Auld, Martin Biron, Ty Conklin, Cedrick Desjardins, Andrew Raycroft, Al Montoya, Brent Johnson, Marty Turco, Justin Peters and Brodeur all under UFA status in the off-season, does Hasek even stand a chance given that he couldn’t even land a KHL gig last season?
When teams decided to circumvent the CBA by completing a plethora of popular long-term (10-15 year) contracts to reduce salary cap hit, I was quite indifferent. On one hand, I thought it was an ingenious plan, but on the other I was quite skeptical because they were giving players such a giant “free pass”. The plan looks inventive if things are “going well”, but when things turn sour like a “Jeff Carter, Rick DiPietro or even Roberto Luongo” situation it becomes a massive headache in order to offload such an albatross of a contract. This stickler is exactly the roadblock that’s preventing TB from acquiring Luongo. TB doesn’t need a goalie to hold the fort for the next 10-years, especially one that is as volatile as Luongo. So what does Vancouver do if it can’t find a suitor? Do they bite the bullet a la Dany Heatley and just get whatever they can for him and move on? Or do they hold onto him and hope that he regains his form? Or do they pay him $6.714 mil to play backup to Cory Schneider? What about trading Schneider instead and giving Luongo what he wants? Either way they’re in quite the pickle.
According to the column, it appears that Steve Yzerman is after a “younger” goalie like a Jon Bernier or Anders Lindback instead.
Lots of news regarding the Justin Schultz situation, I echo what Chris Nichols said yesterday, basically best plan of option for him is to wait till July 1 and test the free agency market to see which teams are willing to make him the best offer. Why short change yourself and just take only what Anaheim is willing to offer?
Rick Dudley joins the Habs as an assistant GM to Marc Bergevin. If you look at his previous track record with the Lightning, Panthers and Thrashers, it’s probably not a good sign for Hab fans moving forward.
Last week, I came up with of an alternative to get NHL players “interested” in the WC. The WJHC generated at least $22 mil in profit. We are a nation that lives and breathes hockey! However, what grounds would we stand on if we finish seventh in the Olympics, or continue to careless about the WC tournament? Surely landing gold at the Sochi Olympics which leads into being able to host an Olympic event down the road would generate 10 times that amount in terms of tourism and infrastructure. Vancouverites, did the Olympics make your city better?
The Oilers’ head coach gig is still up in the air. Many think that Brent Sutter is the likely target, while Oilers Nation throws their hat in the ring to nominate Ralph Krueger, and others are recommending Todd Nelson.
I probably wouldn’t recommend the last option. If you look at the recent list of AHL to NHL coaching transitions comparing them to their successes, it doesn’t paint a rosy picture.
At best, you’re essentially 50/50 in landing a coach that will be effective at translating success from the AHL level into the NHL level.
I’d go with someone with tons of experience who has been there and done it before. Jacques Martin (613 career wins), Mike Keenan (672), Marc Crawford (549), Paul Maurice (460) and Ron Wilson (648) would be the guys on the top of my list.
Seems like there is a bit of a power struggle between club president John Davidson and GM Doug Armstrong in St. Louis with the owner stuck in the middle of it. If the Blues’ owner decides to let him go, the Oilers could certainly use someone of his mindset in upper management.
Scott Mellanby is “moving on” to “explore other career opportunities”. He’s always been a favorite of mine, who has always demonstrated strong leadership skills along with a solid work ethic. If he lands a coaching gig in the AHL he could become a Dan Bylsma in a couple of years’ time.
The Wild signed Mikael Granlund to an entry level contract the other day, Mike Russo debates whether Granlund or Charlie Coyle is the Wild’s top prospect. Either way with Granlund, Coyle, Jason Zucker, Jonas Brodin and this year’s seventh overall pick at the entry draft, the Wild could be a very solid team in two year’s time.
Should you be so inclined, follow me on Twitter if you think that my article/tweets are useful.
Henrique's Overtime Scramble goal.
Beautiful tick-tack-toe passing from the Devils on the PP!
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Comments (28)
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messierforlife
said:
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Hasek Hasek actually was not unsuccessful at landing a KHL gig this past season. He merely engaged in his latest retirement session. In terms of him wanting back in the NHL amongst a litany of other youthful options & UFAs; The Dominator at this stage would not be expecting a guaranteed starters gig. He’d likely settle with the backup role. Recall the 2008 playoffs, when he happily raised the cup over his head as a ‘team guy’ despite being supplanted by Ozzie as the #1 guy well earlier, during the Nashville series. I’m sure that by next fall, now 5 seasons removed from that cup triumph, that he would not have ‘raised’ expectations. He would simply be a complimentary option—and who’s to say that the legend himself could not outduel Joey Mac/Conklyn for the #2 role. I wouldn’t put it past him. |
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Rollie1967
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Tampa goalies Both Tokarski and Janus will be 23 this Sept.while goalies take longer to develop- the fact they havent had a shot yet, when Roloson and Garon both struggled makes you wonder if Tampa management has much faith in them. Yzerman has even talked about bringing Helenius back to NA. Both goalies are listed at 5ft11, going against the trend of bigger goalies, personally I dont see either as much more than a decent backup, but either way- their window is closing fast- ideally they both would want 15+ games in the NHL next season (and play decently) or theyll be seen as more suspect than prospect. I dont think Tampa wants to take that risk. Id think theyre looking for a goalie capable of playing 50+ games with Garon as the backup for 1 more year- then sliding one of Tokarski/Janus/Helenius as the backup the next year.They could include Garon in a trade- but again only if theyre getting a Luongo. As much as i like Lindback and Bernier- there is still some risk as to whether or not theyre ready to be #1's. If saving $2-3mil is worth that risk (vs Luongo at 5.3) and you have time to possibly allow them a year to really grow into the top spot- then theyre the wiser choice. To a certain extent 2 teams are under the gun- Tampa: because theyre only a few pieces away from contending now,before a good portion of their players get much older. Toronto: getting a proven goalie might save Burke (i dont see him lasting if they dont make the playoffs). whether Luongo has the right mental makeup to survive in Toronto is big ? for me- but younger goalies can be just as suspect. Out of curiosity....if Luongo was a UFA this year- what do you think he would command? I would think he would get more than his current 5.3 caphit- and 7-8yrs wouldnt be out of the question. One thing that may determine where he goes..the capfloor will be rising and there isnt much out there UFA wise, so Im sure there will be some large overpays. |
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repenttokyo
said:
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i like the chances of more recent choices i just don't like the ones that have sat on the shelf for a long time, you know? |
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repenttokyo
said:
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the thing is.... those coaches are unemployed / have been unemployed for a long time for various reasons. past success is not a guarantee of future results particularly as the league moves forward and evolves. old hands aren't necessarily going to be able to repeat their past performances. |
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Rollie1967
said:
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... Luongo has to regain his form? if a .919 SP is a bad year- than Id take the risk! Thats a smaller risk than saying Harding will stay healthy, that Lindback will be a true #1 without Suter/Weber infront of him, or that Bernier is ready. With Vinnie,Marty,Malone,Brewer all on the wrong side of 30, winning now is their best option. Luongo gives them the best shot at that, and his contract is really only for 7 years- as the last 3 are very small dollars. His cap hit is the 8th highest for goalies, and could drop further when Price resigns. The only way they trade Schneider is if his salary demands skyrocket or he refuses to sign with them. For Tampa- anything is better than Roloson, even trying Hasek for a year at minimal cost would be better.Not sure why you said that Tampa doesnt need a goalie for 10yrs though- even if they draft a future #1 star this year- most likely theyre going to be 3yrs minimum away from starting (more likely 4/5). Their current goalie prospects arent considered top notch (Helenius,Tokarski,Janus) Justin Schultz as others pointed out, only gets to chose who he plays for- the $ is limited by the CBA, not sure why he doesnt like Anaheim- but its his choice. Sucks for the Ducks though. I cant see the Oil hiring any of Crawford,Keenan,Wilson ever! none exactly known for working well with young players. As for the power struggle in St.Louis- which one is more likely to lose out? Davidson? If so, I would think he could pick/chose who/where he ends up- but I doubt he would play 2nd fiddle to Tambellini- and Tambs would be a fool to hire him- unless he wants to give the owner an easy decision to replace him. |
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letnry
said:
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... Ryan, you are easily the most active writer here that follows up extensively in the comments. I for one, really appreciate that!! I obviously enjoy your ramblings as well. Keep it up. |
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repenttokyo
said:
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flawed analysis on AHL to NHL coaching success what you didn't mention was that coaching changes do not occur with successful teams. AHL coaches are almost always brought in because the NHL franchise is losing. Sometimes, the coaching change has no effect because it's the players, not the coach, that was the problem. I think a more in-depth look at the success rate of AHL coaches that controls for more factors is in order before any conclusions are drawn. |
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bullwinkle
said:
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Hasek Is this guy suffering from Alzheimer's already? He wants to play for Buffalo, Detroit, or Tampa Bay. Good luck with that. Call me crazy, but somehow I think that guys like Miller, Howard, and even Roloson are preferable. |
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shovelguy
said:
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Schultz While Justin Schultz is making himself a UFA, he will still be limitted to how much money he can make. I believe the best offer he can sign is 2 years at $900,000 no matter what and his bonuses are limited to as well. The only advantage he is edging towards is signing in a city he wants to play in. And any one of us would do the same. As for the Oiler head coach, it's a four man race between Sutter, Krueger, Nelson, and Maurice. Forget everyone else. |
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Southpaw20
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Minny in 2 Years Don't forget to give some love to Minny's second 1st rounder last year Zack Phillips (good ol New Brunswick boy). Looked good at times during the Mem Cup action this past week. Great vision and seemed to be the only guy that could deal with Chaput (Shawinigan) at the draws last night. But yes getting him there in 2 years could be a stretch compared to the arsenal of prospects coming through the system. Great read today Ma! |
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Jethro
said:
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Justin Schultz I don't understand how he is getting away with this. He gets drafted, goes off to school and gets an education, becomes a UFA, and then sign for the most money or with any team he wants. What's stopping every kid out there from doing the same? |
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slufoot
said:
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Oilers coach There should only be 3 candidates: Sutter, Martin, Maurice. In that order. Bringing back Renney would have been better than any other options. |
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slufoot
said:
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Dudley Not sure you can say his arrival is not a good sin for Habs fans. The last 4 1st round picks he's had input on were Burmistrov, E.Kane, P.Kane, Toews. He had a few bad darfts in TB when he was gambling on Russians - but he virtually stole Dan Boyle. And nobody in their right mind would have argued Bouwmeester was a bad top-3 pick at the time - that was as no-brainer as they come. Hindsight is 20-20. The Habs need some experienced, knowledgeable hockey people in charge for a change. Dudley is that. |
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Shoeless
said:
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Profile of Ralph Krueger http://blogs.edmontonjournal.c...h-krueger/ At the bottome of this article are links to several other profiles of candidates for the job. |
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iggyformayor
said:
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David Putty is painting his face for sure... Gotta support the team... Bad pinch by Callahan facilitated the beauty tic tac toe. Hey Ma Bear where do you see Kreider's upside for next year and in keeper leagues? |
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