Chara US PRESSWIRE

 

The panel is back! Over the last four years, our record as a consensus is an impressive 46-14. Last year, we went 12-3 as a group. Gates Imbeau led the way individually, correctly selecting the winners in 12 of the 15 series. Read on to find out who we like in the first round, as well as our picks for the Cup winner, runner up, the Conn Smythe winner, and the top five scorers.

 

In the first round, the panel squeeked out a 4-4 record. Tim Lucarelli and Brendan Ross were the only members to correctly predict a LAK upset over VAN.


Expert NSH vs. PHX STL vs. LAK PHI vs. NJD NYR vs. WSH
Dobber NSH in 6 STL in 5 PHI in 4 NYR in 7
Jeff Angus NSH in 7 LAK in 7 PHI in 6 NYR in 6
Peter Harling NSH in 6 STL in 4 PHI in 7 NYR in 6
Ryan Ma NSH in 6 STL in 6 NJD in 7 WSH in 7
Chris Nichols PHX in 7 STL in 7 PHI in 6 NYR in 7
Ian Fergusson NSH in 7 STL in 6 PHI in 5 WSH in 7
Gates Imbeau NSH in 6 STL in 7 PHI in 6 NYR in 6
Marty Kwiaton NSH in 6 STL in 7 PHI in 6 WSH in 7
Anthony Lancione NSH in 6 LAK in 5 PHI in 6 WSH in 6
Steve Laidlaw NSH in 6 STL in 6 PHI in 5 NYR in 7
Glen Hoos NSH in 5 LAK in 7 PHI in 5 NYR in 6
Tim Lucarelli NSH in 6 STL in 6 PHI in 6 WSH in 6
Dave Poleck NSH in 6 STL in 7 PHI in 6 NYR in 7
Chris Wassel NSH in 6 STL in 6 NJD in 7 WSH in 7
Brian Kom NSH in 6 STL in 7 PHI in 5 NYR in 6
Michael Amato NSH in 5 STL in 6 PHI in 5 WSH in 7
Brendan Ross NSH in 6 LAK in 7 PHI in 5 WSH in 7
Consensus NSH in 6 STL in 6 PHI in 5 NYR in 7

The why...

 

East: (1) NYR vs. (7) WSH



Tim Lucarelli on Washington -



You successfully picked Washington last round, and now you have picked them again. Discuss!

How much ice time do you see Ovechkin getting per game?


Lucarelli : I picked Washington for one reason - Nicklas Backstrom. With him back in the lineup, the Caps are a different team. Most people forget to take into account the fact that he missed 40 games when they put together their predictions.



Beating the Rangers will definitely be tough, but they have the tools to do it.



Ovechkin SHOULD be playing 18-20+ per game. The more Hunter snubs him, the hungrier he will be down the road. He will eventually be playing so well that Hunter has no choice but to play him more.

Glen Hoos on New York -



How will the Rangers avoid pulling a Boston-like fate?

Who is the X-factor in the series? (Other than the tenders.)


Hoos : Boston just hasn't been the same team the past few months. The big rematch with Vancouver in January seemed like a turning point for the worst (for both clubs). They didn't show the same hunger that they had last season, a common struggle for defending champs of late. The Rangers, on the other hand, have the hunger. I think the close call against Ottawa will only make them more focused this round, and they will look more like the team that finished first in the East.



My picks for x-factors would be Dan Girardi and Ryan Callahan. Girardi is a shot-blocking demon, and surprised with his offensive contributions in round one. Callahan is everything you want in a playoff competitor, and will lead by example.


East: (4) PHI vs. (6) NJD



Dobber on Philadelphia -



Predicting a Philly sweep? What makes this match up so unbalanced?

What will be the biggest story of the series?


Dobber : I don't believe in Martin Brodeur and I do believe in the Philly offense. In hindsight, I should have went with five games and assumed that Johan Hedberg gets involved. Brodeur has been getting win facing lower quality shots than most other goaltenders. That stops now.



Biggest story will be the Devils getting lit up like a Christmas tree. Not as bad as Fleury was, but still pretty significant.

 

Ryan Ma and Chris Wassel on New Jersey -



Pretty bold picks in selecting a Devils victory, how do you think they'll pull it off?

What's going to be the biggest story of the series?



Wassel :
Philly lets down a bit in Game 1 especially due to rust and a goalie who can get "lost" at times.  Philadelphia's PK was so-so in Round 1 and could have been exploited worse.  Martin Brodeur just needs to stay focused knowing its okay to give up a few in each game.  Coach Peter DeBoer at some point breaks up Zach Parise and Ilya Kovalchuk.  Kovalchuk tends to work better with Adam Henrique.  The fourth line has been great but if the other two lines do something then the Devils have a shot to really pull this one off.



What will be the biggest story?



It is going to be a guy like Adam Henrique or David Clarkson.  These are guys that just get muddled in on ice battles but they also get in those scoring areas.  Clarkson has been far more snake-bit and mostly everyone is drawn to the top lines and rightfully so.  However, this is a series where the marquis may have a different stage in mind so expect it.



Ma : I just think this is their year… In terms of depth I think they have surprisingly good depth…

 


You got your big three of Kovo, Parise, Elias… then you kinda got good support with Zajac, Sykora, Zubrus, then you got timely scoring from Henrique, Clarkson, Poni, Gionta… So I mean they’re not as superstar (Giroux, Briere, Jagr) status as the Flyers, but I think they got good timely depth in the bottom 6 (Rinaldo, Wellwood, JVR, Talbot, Couturier) than the Flyers.

 

The big kicker is probably the lack of offensive-defensive depth, which will be what determines this series. If the Flyers make it run-and-gun like they did with Pens, they’ll win. If the Devils make it tight-close checking like they did with the Panthers, they’ll win.  The thing is if you look at the D, Zidlicky has done his job as the offensive QB, while the bottom/2nd pairing have gone defensive and perfect for defensive playoff hockey. Salvador (19 Hits, 10 BS), Volchenkov (15 hits, 10 BS), Greene (14 Hits, 6 BS), those guys have kinda all played their roles. If they can keep the Flyers at bay, they’ll have a good chance of winning, but if Flyers run-and-gun it’ll be over in 4…

 

Another big factor for me is goalies… Brodeur (2.06 and .922) has been solid in getting the job done. The Panthers were close because of Theo/Clem stealing a couple of games for them. If Bryz/Bob  play like how they did in the first series (4.33 GAA, .856 SP), Kovo, Parise, Elias will have a field day on them. The Devils won’t fall into the trap like the Pens of trying to out gun them. They’ll stick to the 2-way tight checking game.

 

Shot differential is another big one I looked into, Brodeur faces such a low amount of shots per game cause of the tight checking D of the Devils… The Flyers are good at scoring if they can get the puck on net, but the problem is can they do that against the Devils?

 

Biggest story I think will be Brodeur vs Bryz… or the collapse of Bryz. He got bailed out of the first series cause Fleury was terrible, I don’t think Brodeur will bail him out for a 2nd consecutive time… It’ll make all the fans in Philly really re-think whether or not Bryz is a good playoff goalie (career 2.77 GAA and .909 SP) and worthy of the contract that he received or whether he was a good goalie based on systems hockey…

 

 

Chris Nichols on (3) PHX vs. (4) NSH

 

You were the lone panelist to pick Phoenix. How will they complete the task of beating the Preds?

 

Nichols : The fact that that I'm the only one of the 17-member panel to pick Phoenix to win surprises me. I respect the depth of the Preds, their cycling ability and all of the usual points (Coaching, Weber & Suter, addition of Radulov, blah, blah, blah). You know what though? I love me some Dave Tippett.

 

His system and Sean Burke's teachings have channeled some serious goaltending mojo for Mike Smith, who has been one of fantasy's best stories this season. In a hard-fought series, sometimes a guy like Smith standing on his head is all that matters. The gut said Phoenix in a tight series. I don't argue with the gut. I just feed it.

 

By the way, this is much longer than my initially-considered response to the question, which was simply 'Mike Smith'."

 


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Comments (6)add comment

mabus said:

mabus
Vegas Odds Can you include a link in the predictions as to who the favorite is. Vegas odds or something like that would help. When you average enough people's picks together, eventually you just end up with the favorite. Since the favorite wins more often than not, touting the record isn't much benefit. It would be nice to see on times where you disagree with Vegas, how often is this group right, vs. wrong. I suspect that in series where there is no obvious favorite, your record is horrible. In the obvious ones (aka the first round) you do much better. Just a hunch though. Put this round into the "no obvious favorite" and "horrible results" category.

Mabus
May 09, 2012
Votes: +0

Renaldo? said:

Teh Doktor
correction Sorry. I meant Couturier, not Cloutier
April 29, 2012
Votes: +0

Renaldo? said:

Teh Doktor
Playoffs Ha!

I picked every winner in the west and didn't pick any in the east. Though at least three of the series, the series I had no rooting interest in smilies/smiley.gif, went to seven games.

The Flyers looked like world-beaters in the first round and in their three wins, but here's some things to consider:

1. The Flyers lack defensive depth. The Pens never made Phili pay for playing game 6 shorthanded defensively.
2. Bryz was awful. The only reason he was bailed out was the collapse of the Penguins penalty killing and the play of Fluery.
3. How many rookies are the Flyers playing at forward? They did a good job, and a veteran team like the Pens looked awful against them. They may be good, but the Devils vets should be able to neutralize so many rookies, as good as they are.
4. Coach Bylsma did nothing to get the Malkin line away from Cloutier. While the leagues leading scorer and second leading goal scorer on a line with another 40 goal scorer SHOULD be able to score against rookies, if they're not it's incumbant upon the coach to do a little line matching and get them away from that line. Bylsma did not do that. If nothing else, he should see that the Flyers coach wants to do something and should try to frustrate him.

My 4 cents.

Keep up the good job guys.

I picked StL to play Pittsburgh in the finals by the way.
April 29, 2012
Votes: +0

Ryan said:

RYENFORCERS
... COYOTES in 6...That so many experts continue to pick against the Coyotes is simply shocking. But the fact that they are picked to finish near the bottom, to not make the playoffs, to not win the Pacific, to not beat Chicago, to not beat the Preds, bodes well for them. I have watched them all year and they are a seriously good team...
April 28, 2012
Votes: +0

Ian Nifty Mittens said:

Nifty Mittens
... Rangers in 7
Flyers in 6
Blues in 6
Preds in 7
April 28, 2012
Votes: -2

Austin said:

austeane
... GIven the playoffs so far, my only prediction is that you guys will be wrong!

Seriously, I don't really like making a ton of predictions but this is the time to do so...

Nashville will win in 4-6 games.
Philly will in in 4-5
NYR-WAS will go to 7... I am going to say Washington takes it, barely.
STL will either win in 5 or lose in 7... It all depends on the Canucks, ironically enough. If they really were that bad, STL will win but if the Kings were that good they should lose in 7. (I choose to remain oblivious to a middle ground)
April 27, 2012
Votes: +1
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