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Teddy Purcell’s breakout campaign last year helped the Tampa Bay Lightning to an Eastern Conference Final’s appearance.  This season he has proven to be anything but a one hit wonder.  After a 51 point year in 2010-11, the undrafted right winger from Newfoundland is now a 20 goal man and on pace for a career best 60 plus point season.

 

Purcell spent the first two and a half seasons of his NHL career with the Los Angeles Kings before heading to the Lightning midway through the 2009-10 campaign.  During this stretch he played sparingly and never recorded more than 16 points in a season.

 

A key step in the improvement of Purcell’s production has been his time on the power play.  This season he has recorded 17 points with the man advantage and is averaging 2:27 of ice-time per game in that area.  He also plays on the top power play unit with Martin St. Louis and Steven Stamkos.

 

The importance of this for Purcell is amplified when you consider his ice-time at five on five.  He is averaging just 16:01 per game at even strength which sits ninth overall on Tampa Bay.  When you consider how little he plays compared to the rest of the team and still sits third on the Lightning in scoring, that’s pretty impressive.

 

The increase in production this season can be attributed to a couple of factors.  The first of those being his line mates, as last year he rarely saw time with the Lightning’s big guns at even strength.

 

 

Frequency

Strength

Line Combination

15.76%

EV

12 GAGNE,SIMON - 4 LECAVALIER,VINCENT - 16 PURCELL,EDWARD

7.23%

EV

6 MALONE,RYAN - 19 MOORE,DOMINIC - 16 PURCELL,EDWARD

5.4%

EV

10 BERGENHEIM,SEAN - 19 MOORE,DOMINIC - 16 PURCELL,EDWARD

 

While he did spend some time with Vincent Lecavalier and Simon Gagne, he saw minimal time with St. Louis and Stamkos.  This season that has all changed however.

 

 

Frequency

Strength

Line Combination

17.96%

EV

16 PURCELL,EDWARD - 26 ST. LOUIS,MARTIN - 91 STAMKOS,STEVEN

13.83%

EV

12 MALONE,RYAN - 16 PURCELL,EDWARD - 91 STAMKOS,STEVEN

8.25%

EV

9 DOWNIE,STEVE - 16 PURCELL,EDWARD - 91 STAMKOS,STEVEN

 

You can see this year he spent the majority of his time with Stamkos and St. Louis, and is almost always with Stamkos in some capacity.  One could make the argument that it would be hard to find two better players to play with when you factor in Stamkos’ explosive scoring, and St. Louis’ rock solid consistency.

 

While playing with the Lightning’s premier forwards may be an obvious indication of a production increase, his shots on goal numbers are perplexing.  This season his goal and point totals have risen, but he has taken a significantly less amount of shots.  In 2010-11 he posted 196 shots on target, but this year that drops to 142 with just a few games left.

 

Perhaps the most interesting stat for Purcell is how his production spiked when Lecavalier went down with a hand injury on February 18th, which saw him sidelined until March 29th.  This graph shows Purcell’s numbers and consistency shoot up during that time.

 

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In fact he had an 11 game stretch in there where he recorded 22 points.  Now these numbers are most likely a reflection of Purcell seeing an increased role as well as more ice-time.

 

The great thing about Purcell as a fantasy performer is he seems to produce well despite not receiving a ton of ice-time and shooting the puck selectively.  This either means that given an increased role his numbers will continue to climb, or he is the product of playing with Stamkos and St. Louis.  Either way Purcell owners are being rewarded.

 


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Tim Kozlow said:

kozzie
... LOL
I drafted this guy in my keeper a few years ago and I held on to him all this time. I came close to dumping him several times but glad now I didn't.
Patience payed off.

I have learned in a dynasty league that patience is everything. This was a prime example.
April 04, 2012
Votes: +0

salami palmer said:

dbrzrk
... was in second place in my pool in mid feb.... picked this guy up off the ww and had a double digit point fantasy week in the first week i had him...needless to say, am in first and will win my pool.... i'll always remember and honor the name teddy purcell!!!
April 03, 2012
Votes: +0
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