Subban

 

Last week we looked at some quality players who are either hot or heating up who are worth keeping on your roster. This week we’ll take a look at a few Eastern Conference players who might be better off on your opponent’s roster. Let’s take a look and keep in mind, these comments are for one-year leagues.

 

Marc-Andre Bergeron – Bergeron has always been an offensive defenseman who can heat up at times, but his lack of defensive acumen typically sours his value in the eyes of his organization. That often leads to specialized ice time (power-play minutes and non-critical moments). In short, Bergeron is typically a feast or famine type of player.

 

Bergeron began the 2011-12 season as one of the hottest scoring defensemen and is still putting up points, but at a slower pace than at the start of the year. In his last nine games, Bergeron has four points, all assists. In addition, Bergeron was averaging 22:09 in the first six games of November (lowest ice time 20:59), contrasted by an average of only 17:25 in his last five games (highest total 19:16).

 

Wayne Simmonds – Simmonds is now in his fourth NHL season. His sophomore campaign is what caught the eye of poolies, as he posted 40 points, a plus-22 rating, and 116 PIM. After a trade to Philadelphia, there was hope that Simmonds would develop into a player scoring more points and adding more penalty minutes.

 

Despite skating primarily with Daniel Briere, who Scott Hartnell developed so much chemistry with, Simmonds has only eight points in 22 games. By contrast, rookie Matt Read has stepped up with 14 points in 20 games. While Simmonds might eventually develop into a scoring grinder, he is not there yet.

 

P.K. Subban – After a promising rookie campaign, expectations were high for Subban. While he has performed well at the Junior and AHL levels, Subban appears to need more time before he is dominating the NHL. Most young defensemen take longer to consistently produce than do forwards and it appears Subban is no exception.

 

While he does have 10 points in 24 games, his value for this season is in his mufti-category presence. Thus far, Subban also adds 31 PIM, 27 hits, and 37 blocked shots. Unless your league counts all of these, you may be better suited with another defenseman. Additionally, of his 10 points, only two have come on the power play. By contrast, Yannick Weber has five of his eight points on the power-play.

 

Drew Stafford – Stafford was one of my sleepers for this season, mostly because of his 69-point pace that he maintained a year ago, but this year is proving to be much different. Jason Pominville has been electric while wearing the C on his chest and Stafford is struggling to score in the shadow of the top line.

 

Most recently Stafford suffered an undisclosed lower-body injury. At this time it is not believed to be a serious injury, but it doesn’t exactly help, considering the slow start Stafford has had. If you’ve managed to be this patient, as 52% of Yahoo fantasy users are, it may be time to look elsewhere for offense.

 

Originally I had Eric Staal and Alex Semin on this list, but with the coaching changes last night, I would not advise moving either of them. While I do suggest moving the players above, it’s important to use discretion and not sell just for the sake of selling. Thoughts? Comments? Let me hear below.

 


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B. W. said:

SavageGardener
Trading MAB = Losing proposition There's almost no way to get "fair value" for a player like MAB. When he was red hot early on, you'd think his value would have so-called peaked, but then your rivals would point to his career stats and say "look at that, it's a flash in the pan". He cools down back to a sustainable "point-every-other-game" level, and the rivals say "He's on a slippery slope down to oblivion again".

I still see him for who he is - a career PP/offensive specialist, on a team loaded up front but devoid of someone else like him. In a points-only league, that's most of what you care about.
November 29, 2011
Votes: +0

Pengwin7 said:

Pengwin7
Smart I really like this list.
You've hit all the key player points with good insights.

Also - bonus points for removing Staal & Semin.
Great article, A+.
November 29, 2011
Votes: +0

Killer67 said:

Killer67
Subban The problem in Montreal is that they have so many injures/new guys on D that PK has been asked to do more than he is ready to handle. Therefore his numbers suffer for it. If they can get a couple healthy vets back there, I think you'll really start to see him shine. Just my opinion obviously, but that's how I see it.
November 29, 2011
Votes: +1

drchubtown said:

chubtown
p.k. subban Subban had only 9 points at this point last year so not quite the regression suggested here. that being said, would obviously like to see improvement on last years numbers. let's wait and see how/if Markov's arrival impacts PK's #'s
November 28, 2011
Votes: +0

Wrist_Shot said:

Wrist_Shot
One more thing... If I see this goofy picture one more time I'm gonna....smilies/tongue.gif
November 28, 2011
Votes: +0

Wrist_Shot said:

Wrist_Shot
Good stuff Tim.. I own PK Subban in my one-year league and I drafted him fairly high (3rd rnd) as many probably did considering his production last season.

I don't get to watch many MON games, but I wonder what has changed in PK's game this year? I know he's taking a ton of shots and doesn't have a lot to show for it at this point. What, in your opinion is the cause of his downturn after his great numbers last season?
November 28, 2011
Votes: +0

Tim Lucarelli said:

duballstar014
... I think you've got the honeymoon stage wearing off for Bergeron. Short term, Brewer has been taking PP minutes and Clark and Gilroy have shown flashes of success in a PP role as well. In Norfolk, you've got a young offensive defenseman in Mark Barberio who has 15 points in 19 games (2nd overall in AHL scoring for defensemen) and even if they don't want to bring Barberio up just yet, they could easily acquire a defenseman via trade.

All I'm saying is...do you think Bergeron's value is going to get any higher throughout the remainder of the year? He's peaked. If you don't move him now, you might not move him all year long and you definitely won't get the kind of value you could have received if you moved him now (or even two weeks ago).
November 28, 2011
Votes: +0

B. W. said:

SavageGardener
No one else in TB! Every pundit (esp. every pundit on this site) has doubted MAB. Obviously he's been too hot to have this sustainable pace, and he is by no means a stud defenceman. But honestly, is there anyone else in Tampa Bay that the Lightning coaches have to turn to for offense from the back? Kubina/Hedman/Clark/Brewer? No way. So just because of his skill set + the perfect opportunity, wouldn't it make sense for MAB to at least continue at a 0.5 PPG pace, feeding the Big Three up front or blasting from the point?
November 28, 2011
Votes: +0
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