Heatley

 

If you are in a tight league where every little stat matters, making the smart adds/drops could determine whether you are the league champion or just another one of the nine, 11 or 13 disappointed losers. At this point of the season it’s not about what your players have done for you all season long, it’s all about what your player will do for you in the next four weeks that will determine your fantasy fate.

 

*I didn’t notice this until I looked it up for myself. Did you know that Yahoo! H2H finals are just one week (seven days) long? They stretch from March 28 to April 3 and aren’t the traditional two week format of the past.

 

 

Without a doubt


Jamie Langenbrunner


The Stars have a very favourable schedule this week with a 4.14 rating according to “Looking Ahead” as written by Dave Poleck. Langenbrunner seems to the main beneficiary of the James Neal deal, as he’s garnered plenty of ice-time alongside superstar playmaker Brad Richards during the last three contests (82.69 percent of his overall shifts). If you’re looking for across-the-board help (points, plus/minus, PIMs, SOG and HITs) then the 28 percent Yahoo! owned Langenbrunner might be a great late-season option.

 

 

Antti Miettinen


Following along the same lines as Langenbrunner, if you’re after the scheduling factor then picking up a few Wild players probably isn’t a terrible idea (4.32 rating according to “Looking Ahead”). Minnesota has lost eight consecutive contests, but the offense hasn’t exactly been atrocious (12 goals in the last six contests). During the losing streak, Miettinen is averaging two SOG along with 1.25 HITs per contest, so it’s not like he’s completely useless from a fantasy perspective. I’d much rather roll the dice with him than a few of the righties mentioned below.

 

 

Andrew Brunette


See above but without the HITs aspect.

 

 

Michal Handzus


The injury to Anze Kopitar sent shockwaves in many fantasy leagues this weekend (including two of my most attention grabbing leagues that I participate in.) When one door closes, another one opens, (or so the saying goes), so I guess Handzus’ door just swung right open for the next seven to 10 days. He saw plenty of ice-time alongside Dustin Penner and Oscar Moller in the third during Kopitar’s absence, which has resulted in some great news from the Handzus front. Coach Terry Murray has given it the thumbs up to attempt to keep that line intact, which should give him a slight boost moving forward. With three games this week, Handzus will certainly garner plenty of opportunity to prove that he’s a legitimate top-six forward in the NHL.

 

 

Trevor Lewis


Another member of the Kings that you might want to keep an eye on is Lewis. I haven’t really followed his career all that much, so I don’t know his full pedigree, but the Kings’ play-by-play commentators had plenty of nice things to say about his game during the last few contests. He saw a bit of ice-time alongside Dustin Brown and Ryan Smyth in a top-six role and responded with the two-point effort on Saturday afternoon. Jarret Stoll and Handzus will most likely get the first shot at a top-six gig, but if you’re looking for a dark horse candidate then Lewis might just be your guy.

 

 

Matt D’Agostini


Since mentioning D’Agostini a couple of weeks ago I find myself going back to the well once again. In the last six contests, he’s posted seven points along with 16 SOG. D’Agostini isn’t garnering a large amount of ice-time (16:06 per contest), but a significant portion of that ice-time has been on the top-line alongside Andy McDonald and David Backes (75.81 percent). Generally speaking, if you spend that much quality time alongside talented players, the numbers will eventually reflect it. If you are looking for a hot pickup of the week, the eight percent Yahoo! owned D’Agostini should do the trick.

 

 

Jose Theodore


The Wild are essentially out of the Western Conference playoff race, so now might be a great time for management and coaching staff to start evaluating for the future. With four contests this week, two of which are back-to-back, we’re bound to witness Theodore appear in at least one contest. Minnesota has a Saturday afternoon affair with the Lightning in which he maintains an 11-6-2 record along with a career 2.13 GAA and sparkling .931 save percentage against TB. If you’re desperate for a spot start in the goalie slot, I’d strongly consider snagging Theo for Saturday’s matinee affair.

 

 

 

Outlook not so good


Dany Heatley


Heater has gone ice-cold during the last six games while registering only three points and is currently in line to finish with the lowest point-per-game pace of his NHL career. The Sharks have a pretty tough schedule with only two contests this week, both of which are against pretty formidable defensive opponents (DAL and ANA), so it might be a smart idea to swap Heatley out for a potentially higher yielding alternative.

 

 

Anze Kopitar


Kind of an obvious selection here, but I’ll chuck it in anyways. Monday’s MRI results showed that Kopitar has torn ligaments in his ankle and will be out of the line up for the remainder of regular season and playoffs. He essentially has zero fantasy value in leagues this season, and I’d probably start to shop him in keeper leagues just to gauge what trade value he actually maintains. Ankle injuries tend to linger and I wouldn’t be surprised if the injury continues to affect him in the long term. If you receive a solid offer, I’d take the bait.

 

 

Alex Burrows


Despite spending close to 66 percent of his overall ice-time alongside the Sedin twins, Burrows has hit a bit of a rough patch lately while registering just a lone point along with four SOG during the last four contests. The Nucks essentially are just one win away from clinching the President’s trophy, which means that the Vancouver coaching staff/management might be inclined to “rest” the Sedin twins for the post-season. 84 percent of Burrows’ points scored this season have been while he was on the ice with one of the Sedin twins. If the Nucks do decide to bench the superstar duo, Burrows’ fantasy value could plummet dramatically, so I’d definitely tread carefully with Alex moving forward.

 

 

Shane Doan

 

Much like a few of the candidates mentioned above, the reason why I’m adding Doan to the list is not due to his propensity to put up points, but it’s mostly due to the scheduling of this week. The Coyotes face only Dallas and Colorado, which will severely limit the amount of scoring opportunities that Doan will receive this week. I wouldn’t mind utilizing Doan up until Friday night’s contest against the Avs then look for a weekend replacement.

 

 

Jordan Eberle

 

It’s kind of hard to expect huge numbers from rookies, but with the ice-time that Eberle is receiving during the last nine contests, it’s a bit disappointing that he’s recording just a 0.33 point-per-game pace. The fact that he’s also garnering plenty of PP time (3:19 per contest) only makes matters worse. Eberle’s showing up on 41 percent of Yahoo! rosters, but that’s just too high of a number for the amount that he’s currently producing. The Oilers’ season is essentially done, so don’t let him ruin your fantasy season as well.

 

 

Jack Johnson

 

With Kopitar and Justin Williams out of the line up, it’ll surely create a large scale changes to the Kings’ roster. One major change that will send major ripple effects will be on the PP. 56 percent of LA’s overall power play points occurred with Kopitar on the ice. Just 11 percent of the overall power play has transpired without Kopitar or Williams on the ice, which shows you just how dependent upon the two they really are. The Kings are currently operating at a 17.1 percent efficiency rating, but that’ll surely drop in the next seven contests. JJ will be the one of the main fantasy falloffs, so take note if you are an owner.

 

 

Miikka Kiprusoff

 

Kipper has been atrocious since the middle of March with a dismal 2-3-1 record in his last seven starts. What’s also revolting is the 3.85 GAA and .864 save percentage numbers, which are extremely detrimental in H2H playoff matchups, that he’s displayed during the slide. He’s on pace for a sixth consecutive 70+ start season, and surely being overworked/fatigued has got to be one of the main reasons which has lead to the decrease in his late-season stats. If you are a Kipper owner I’d definitely wouldn’t want to roll the dice with his services heading into the final week.

 

Remember at this stage of the season, it’s not about when you drafted a player back in September, nor is it about a player that has potential point-per-game status sitting on your bench with DTD status. It’s all about what a player can do for you in the next six days. Don’t let “big name” status get in the way of you winning a fantasy championship, it’s all about the numbers from here on out.

 


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Comments (10)add comment

horrorfan said:

horrorfan
Re: H2H Finals Ryan - strange, I played in a custom Yahoo league last year and it was also one week. I don't play public leagues so wouldn't know about them.

But yeah, it does catch some people by surprise, however I find that many 'casual' players don't read the rules in advance and complain (see the boards) at this time of year - not just finals week, but max games, playoff brackets, tiebreakers, etc.

But I digress.
March 31, 2011
Votes: +0

jff100 said:

jff100
Burrows I disagree about Burrows. Last year AV played the Sedins heavily down the stretch so Henrik could win the scoring race. I expect the same this year, and Burrows will be a beneficiary.
March 30, 2011
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
... RE: H2H Finals

Was it just 1 week last year? My bad, last year I only played in custom leagues and the finals were 2 weeks... This year was the first time I played in a public league and just noticed that finals were just 1 week and that caught me by surprise.

Either way if you are a smart poolie you'd adjust your roster accordingly. But I know the "casual" fantasy hockey fan probably will be playing public Yahoo! leagues so I thought I'd give them a heads up.
March 30, 2011
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
... RE: Burrows

Sorry forgot to add that Burrows production pretty much comes hand in hand with playing with the Sedins. No Sedins and Burrows isn't much more than a third line checker IMO.
March 30, 2011
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
... RE: Burrows Yesterday

Swing and a miss on my part. But with the President's trophy pretty much locked up, I wouldn't be surprised to see AV bench the Sedins to keep them fresh in the next couple of games. Also the Kops situation brought up a lot of worries in people's mind. You don't want something stupid happening to your star players in pretty much "meaningless" games.

How much would Nuck fans riot if one of the twins pulled a Kopitar? They'd have AVs head on a stick...
March 30, 2011
Votes: +0

Aaron said:

goose191919
Heatley Here is my take on Dany Heatley this year: http://www.bayareabias.com/sha...actor.html

Also, hockey on Yahoo is like the red-headed stepchild. Their response is always the "we will look into it" BS and it is always the last to receive any updates to it. Baseball is always first, then football and then hockey. So any new features you see in baseball (like finally trading draft picks) you will see next year in hockey.
March 30, 2011 | url
Votes: +1

horrorfan said:

horrorfan
Re: H2H Playoffs Glenn, I run a league and you are right there were options on which week to make the finals week. However, making it two weeks was not an option, unfortunately. When I noticed this, that's when I contacted Yahoo and they gave the response I mentioned below your post.
March 30, 2011
Votes: +0

Glen Hoos said:

angelofharlem
H2H Playoffs Hey Ryan, just to clarify the Yahoo thing, the commish had several playoff options to choose from when setting up the league. I can't recall if a two week final was an option this year, but not all leagues have their final from Mar. 28 to April 3. In my league, our final runs Apr. 3-10.
March 30, 2011
Votes: +0

horrorfan said:

horrorfan
H2H finals Nice work Ryan.

As for the H2H finals, this is the second year where it's been one week long. I questioned it last year and got an ignorant response saying that they'll look into new features blah blah. I told him it had been two weeks for years and they just changed it, but didn't get a response.
March 30, 2011
Votes: -1

Shoeless said:

Shoeless
Burrows You don't bench your stars, Ryan - they may see less ice time to the end of the regular season to back off the workload but you need them ready for the playoffs and that means playing games - you seem to forget that Daniel is chasing an individual trophy or two here and I don't see him getting benched because of that. Soooo, I think you might expect Burrows to be at his same old pop stand and scoring a few (like yesterday).
March 30, 2011
Votes: +0
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