arnott dumont

 

In lieu of a lengthy analysis this week, I chose to post up a few thoughts (quick hits, if you will) of mine on the day that the puck FINALLY drops on the 2009-10 season!

 

Look for Nashville’s top line of Sullivan-Arnott-Dumont to return to their glory days. The three complement each other very well. All could hit 70 points.

 

Marco Sturm and Milan Lucic are two to watch. Hell, a plastic cone would get 20 goals playing with Marc Savard.

 

I have a hunch that Marty St. Louis is an angry man with the mess that Tampa was last season. Couple that with the incentive of donning the Maple Leaf in February… expect Marty to return to 90 points.

 

Don’t you just love the fantasy previews on TV? Sportsnet made some bold moves, predicting 9/10 of the top 10 in scoring last year to be there again. Way to go guys!

 

What’s with the conservative estimates for Tavares? He may not be a great skater or Bryan Trottier version 2.0 (neither is/was Jonathan Toews, for that matter), but he is flat out disgusting from the blue line in. Tavares will hit 30 goals easy.

 

Speaking of Toews, while he gets all the glory of being the two-way stud in Chicago, the title should go to Dave Bolland. Toews averaged nearly three minutes MORE per game of power play time compared to Bolland, and nearly two minutes LESS on the penalty kill. They saw IDENTICAL five on five minutes. Toews was markedly better on the draw, but Bolland is flying way under the radar.

 

Over-under on games Gaborik plays? I think he should be off-limits for me to draft or analyze. I am always thinking/hoping that THIS IS HIS YEAR! I’ll stand by my claim – Gaborik hits 60 goals if he ever plays over 75 games. Too bad the odds of that happening are worse than Andrew Raycroft starting for Canada in 2010.

 

Is it just me or is the Sabres roster very blah? I don’t see much/any of an identity there.

A little early… but who cares. Canada at the World Juniors… how about a top line of Cody Hodgson centering Nazem Kadri and Jordan Eberle?

 

Atlanta has a very under-the-radar team right now. Great talent, great role players, solid defense. Too bad they are relying on an overrated rookie and a washed up vet. Kari Lehtonen is about as dependable as a 20-year-old Ford.

 

Brad Richards makes $700,000 less than both Crosby and Malkin. So you can have Richards and Colton Orr, or you can take Sid and keep the $200,000 extra.

 

Mike Knuble could hit 40 goals. He is the ultimate garbage goal scorer. On a team with shooters like Ovechkin, Semin, and Green, you can expect a lot of loose pucks around the crease.

 

Brad Boyes will score 50 goals in a season very, very soon.

 

Nik Khabibulin needs to convince himself this is a contract year.

 

Jon Quick is the most underrated goalie in hockey. LA is very improved as well.

 

Imagine this scenario: Leafs somehow fall to last place in the league, and Boston selects Taylor Hall with the draft pick. There should be a firm rule in hockey for all GM’s to follow. THOU SHALL NOT TRADE MY 1ST ROUND PICK IF THOU EXPECTS TO BE A BOTTOM 10 TEAM. And that rule can be added on. In addition, THOU SHALL NEVER TRADE A FIRST ROUND PICK MORE THAN A YEAR AWAY (unless thou believes they are doing so to acquire the missing piece, aka Pronger/Flyers).

 

Teams I like this year: Vancouver, Chicago, Anaheim, Atlanta, and Philadelphia (in no order). Luongo could hit 50 wins and 15 shutouts. Optimistic? Probably. Homer-istic? You bet.


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Hardy Berger said:

Hardyvan123
... Lou gets 30-34 wins and maybe 5-6 shutouts, your prediction was very homeristic.

and as much as I hate to say it Toronto's pick in 2010 will not be in the top 10 so Taylor Hall will end up probably on the Island with Taveres
October 03, 2009
Votes: +0

kenneth said:

kech
... gabby will be fine this year to win the hearts of ny fans
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

KFV said:

KFV
... some of those are bold predictions but one I agree with is Boyes. I'm not worried about Oshie (third-liner) or Berglund (Boyes' centre) taking away goal potential from him, he is in a great situation this year playing with Berglund and a play-making winger in Kariya... I wouldn't be at all surprised if Boyes nets 50 THIS year
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

Brandon Landry said:

littleranger
Bold Predictions! - LOVE IT! This is why you go on Dobberhockey instead of watching sportsnet or tsn's season preview. The lines are so predictable on TSN like 'Penner needs to return to his old ways for the Oilers to find some success.'

Only thing I find contradicting is that you say 'Atlanta has a very under-the-radar team right now. Great talent, great role players, solid defense. Too bad they are relying on an overrated rookie and a washed up vet. Kari Lehtonen is about as dependable as a 20-year-old Ford.' And then a few paragraphs later you say you like them?
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

Jocular Hockey Manager said:

JHM
Boyes 50? Knuble 40? Mike Knuble could hit 40 goals. He is the ultimate garbage goal scorer. On a team with shooters like Ovechkin, Semin, and Green, you can expect a lot of loose pucks around the crease.

Brad Boyes will score 50 goals in a season very, very soon.


Well, did someone turn back Mike Knuble's clock? Is he now 27? Nope, still 37. Mike Richards & Jeff Carter weren't nice guys to hang their hats with? How about Joe Thornton, Ray Bourque, Wayne Gretzky, Brian Leetch, Stevie Y, Liddy, Fedorov (jeepers Knuble has some neat friends!). Anyway, at age 37, if Mike gets 25 goals and 50 points I think everyone best be happy. 40 is too optimistic.

Brad Boyes 50??? He set an NHL record for fewest shots on goal and a 40 goal season. 200 shots a season won't cut it if you want to net 50, and his patterns are fairly set at this point in time. 30-35 seems more likely, particularly with emerging youth (Oshie, Berglund, Perron) and the return of Kariya & McDonald.

Both are neat guys, don't get me wrong. Expect more of the same from both.

I'll wonder for 30 from Tavares. Lots of opportunity on the Isle. Assessing him on a couple of pre-season games? Not me. He's the most touted kid since Crosby, since Lindros, since Gretzky, since Orr. Ovy didn't have near this level of adoration. Malkin was virtually an unknown at the same age. I was able to draft him in the 3rd round of our Keeper pool. Tavares went 1st overall.
October 01, 2009
Votes: +2

Kevin G said:

TrueNorth
Gaborik Couldn't agree more with Gabby he is far form overrated, may be the biggest game breaker in the game when he is healthy I think 83 pts in 77 games in a lemaire system is pretty darn impressive. 60 goals in 82 games with Torts at the helm sounds about right to me.
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

Geoff Cooper said:

ReeferCowboy
... Angus, Gaborik is OVERRATED. You and all these other fools always say the same thing "if Gaborik played a full season, he'd have 60 goals" or "if Gaborik played a full season he'd have 100 pts", and those statements are conservative compared to some of the other crap that gets thrown around. His PPG #'s are always impressive, but calm down. He played 77 games a couple of years ago, and had 83 pts. WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! Big deal. Oh but I guess playing for Lemaire shaved 50-60 points off his potential. Angus, your info is invaluable, your opinions are just plain silly.
October 01, 2009
Votes: +2

Stuart McDonald said:

Slantman
... 40 goals from a 37 year old Knuble who has never scored more than 34 in a season?

As for Tavares - 30 goals easy? On that team? Good luck.

I like the rest of your predictions though - you're not afraid to go out on a limb unlike those wimps at TSN. I REALLY like your take on Boyes - you're bang on!!!
October 01, 2009
Votes: +2

Jeff Angus said:

angus
... Well I did put Raycroft and "starter for 2010" together so you are definitely on to something.
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

gmw said:

gmw
... the meat of a jeff angus collumn:

the sedins will each get 150 points.

you should all draft alex burrows in the first round

andrew raycroft could be a starter on any other team

Samuellson is obviously a top line talent, and will probably score 50

bieksa should gte you about 60..no..check that, 65 points.

etc, etc, etc. we get it guy.
October 01, 2009
Votes: -1

Larry said:

Rollie1967
Tampa dissarray to come... While i agree Lecavalier and St.Louis have too much talent to suck 2 years in a row- Im not sold on their goaltending,coaching (whats the line on Tocchet getting canned? smilies/grin.gif ) nor their defense- Ohlund had noticably slowed last year and it may be expecting alot from an 18yr old Hedman to lead the defense. It seems doubtfull that the owners will be able to play nice all season- so any adversity may send this team into another tailspin.

Rumour has it Burke offered a 3rd and a 4th round pick for the pylon. They still need to fill out their 2nd line smilies/grin.gif
October 01, 2009
Votes: -1

STONE. said:

STONE.
... If your Luongo prediction proves correct, I'll be the happiest fantasy owner around!
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

Mackie said:

BladesOfSteel
AMEN Amen to that! I'd also like to add that Vincent Lecavelier will join St. Louis in returning to elite-status and glory.
October 01, 2009
Votes: +2
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