Boyd

 

Same as what was posted here last week - but the chart has been fixed to better reflect what Tom Reeve was doing a year ago. If you are in a rotisserie league with weekly changes, this tool is priceless.

The number next to the team indicates the 'multiplier' to use on a player's point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week. Example:

For the week starting on October 1st the Vancouver Canucks have a rating of 4.10. That means that if you think Ryan Kesler is a 0.70 point-per-game player then you should expect about 2.87 points from him (4.10 X 0.70).
Anaheim has a 1.69 rating over the same period. If you think Ryan Getzlaf is a 0.95 point-per-game player then you should expect about 1.61 points from him. So even though Ryan Getzlaf is a better player you may choose to go with Kesler over Getzlaf.

 

Quick starts:

Last year the NY Rangers got off to a hot start playing more games early in the season due to their trip to Europe. As a result players like Aaron Voros looked to be performing better when in reality they had just played more games. Voros was the hot commodity last season and the return some GMs were getting was mind blasting. This year there isn’t one team that stands out above the rest but there are a few to keep an eye on. Calgary is the first to seven games and players like Nigel Dawes and Dustin Boyd could be this years Voros. Colorado, NYR, San Jose and Vancouver are the first to 15 games. San Jose and Vancouver are the first to 20.

 

Due to the Olympics the Canucks play the majority of their games at home and starting the end of January they start a record 14 game road trip. Towards the end of January start shopping Luongo and the Sedins as their numbers should be good having played more games than most teams and they may start to slump during such a long road trip.



Slow starts:

On the other side of the spectrum, no team will have played less games by November 13th then Atlanta. At times they are as many as six games behind the league leaders in games played. Between mid November and early December, start to target players like Antropov and Little as their owners may be frustrated with their play, when you know its actually due to the lack of games played.

 


Yahoo playoffs:

Round 1 (March 15-21): LA and Montreal only play two games. Every other team plays three or four

Round 2 (March 22- 28): Every team plays three of four games.

Round 3 (March 29 – April 11): There are six teams that play 8 games, fourteen teams that play 7 games and ten teams that play 6 games.

More detailed stats will be provided closer to the playoffs.


Five games in 7 nights:

Only 15 times does a team play 5 games in 7 nights.  It happens to Calgary, Los Angeles and St. Louis twice.

 

Please feel free to send a PM to crazynuck in the forums with any questions you may have or any suggestions/changes to improve the weekly article.

 

 

Thursday, October 1 to Wednesday October 7, 2009

Best Bets

Vancouver 4.10 - four games, two at home

Montreal 3.96 - four games away

Pittsburgh 3.18 - 3 games NYR, NYI and Phx

Toronto 3.10 - 3 games Mtl, Wsh and Ott

Carolina 3.06 - 3 games Phi, Bos and Tbay

Steer Clear

Nashville 1.03 - ONE game vs Dal

NY Islanders 1.05 - ONE game vs Pitt

Buffalo 1.08 - ONE game vs Mtl

Atlanta 1.23 - ONE game vs Tbay

Anaheim 1.69 - two games vs SJ and Min

Friday, October 2 to Thursday October 8, 2009

Best Bets

Pittsburgh 4.13 - four games, two at home

Philadelphia 3.87 - four games, two at home

NY Rangers 3.80 - four games, three away

Edmonton 3.32 - three games at home

St.Louis 3.27 - three games, two vs Det

Steer Clear

Florida 1.80 - 2 games vs Chi

Colorado 1.90 - 2 games vs Van and Nsh

NY Islanders 1.99 - 2 games vs Pitt and Ott

Dallas 2.02 - two games vs Nsh and Edm

Toronto 2.02 - two games vs Wsh and Ott

Saturday, October 3 to Friday October 9, 2009

Best Bets

Calgary 4.19 - four games, two in Edm

Edmonton 3.32 - three games at home

Ottawa 3.26 - three games, two away

Washington 3.20 - three games vs Tor, Phi and NYR

Pittsburgh 3.17 - three games, two away

Steer Clear

Florida 1.85 - two games vs Chi and Car

Chicago 1.89 - two games at home vs Fla and Det

Colorado 1.90 - two games vs Van and Nsh

Detroit 1.97 - two games at home

NY Islanders 1.99 - two games vs Pitt and Ott

Sunday October 4 to Saturday October 10, 2009

Best Bets

Ottawa 3.63 - three games, two at home

Carolina 3.36 - three games, two at home

Edmonton 3.31 - three games all at home

Pittsburgh 3.23 - three games, two on the road

Calgary 3.20 - three games, two at home

Steer Clear

NY Rangers 1.81 - two games on the road vs NJ and Wsh

NY Islanders 1.72 - two games on the road vs Bos and Ott

Florida 1.83 - two games vs Car and NJ

Colorado 1.79 - two games on the road vs Nsh and Chi

Atlanta 1.87 - two games on the road vs Stl and Ott

Monday October 5 to Sunday October 11, 2009

Best Bets

Ottawa 3.63 - three games, two at home

Carolina 3.36 - three games, two games at home

Edmonton 3.31 - three games all at home

Anaheim 3.39 - four games all on the road

Pittsburgh 3.23 - three games, two on the road

Steer Clear

NY Islanders 1.72 - two games on the road vs Ott and Bos

Colorado 1.79 - two games on the road vs Nsh and Chi

Florida 1.83 - two games vs Car and NJ

Atlanta 1.87 - two games on the road vs Stl and Ott

Detroit 2.03 - two games at home vs Chi and Wsh

Tuesday October 6 to Monday October 12, 2009

Best Bets

Ottawa 4.68 - four games, three at home

Edmonton 4.24 - four games, three at home

Pittsburgh 4.17 - four games, three on the road

Calgary 4.06 -  four games, two at home

SJ 3.93 - four games, three at home

Steer Clear

Columbus 1.81 - two games on the road vs SJ and Phx

Atlanta 1.87 - two games on the road vs Stl and Ott

Detroit 2.03 - two games at home vs Chi and Wsh

Buffalo 2.04 - two games vs Phx and Nsh

Vancouver 2.22 - two games at home vs Mtl and Dal

Wednesday October 7 to Tuesday October 13, 2009

Best Bets

Pittsburgh 4.17 - four games, three on the road

Calgary 3.89 - four games, three on the road

Colorado 3.73 - four games all on the road

Phoenix 3.70 - four games, three on the road

Ottawa 3.51 - three games at home vs NYI, Atl and Pitt

Steer Clear

Minnesota 1.74 - two games on the road vs LA and SJ

Dallas 1.86 - two games on the road vs Cal and Van

Montreal 1.86 - two games on the road vs Van and Edm

Atlanta 1.87 - two games on the road vs Stl and Ott

Philadelphia 2.10 - two games at home vs Pit and Ana


Write comment
Comments (8)add comment

Marcus said:

Crazynuck
... There was a mix up between home and away games. All changes have been made and should be posted later on today by Dobber.
October 02, 2009
Votes: +0

Sergio Leone said:

sergioel
... the same with Montreal. Oct 1-7 all games are on the road not at home.
Unless TSN has the wrong sched for every team!
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

Sergio Leone said:

sergioel
... Anahiem plays all 4 games on the ROAD, not at HOME during the week of Oct 5-11
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

paul mallia said:

hunga42
as usual great work great job, last years numbers helped me win two pools. one is the fanball pool, could you email the the points for the fanball week from oct 1st to oct 4th. is their also a way you could email each teams numbers as i am in two other challenges that vary there weeks by teams number of games.
thanks again
paul
September 25, 2009
Votes: +0

doulos said:

doulos
... Great debut Marcus, looking forward to seeing this each week!
September 25, 2009
Votes: +0

Oilers rock 99 said:

Oilers rock 99
a chart!! wow,

great info, would be nice to have this in a chart(downloadable)

September 25, 2009
Votes: +1

rticinelli said:

rticinelli
... Great analysis, Marcus. Thanks for doing the leg-work on this.
September 25, 2009
Votes: +0

J Cipp said:

kardjc
Montreal Best Bet Oct 1 - 7 Don't mean to poke holes in your suggestion to start Montreal players, but they actually have four *away* games from Oct 1 to 7, not four home games.
September 25, 2009
Votes: +0
You must be logged in to post a comment. Please register if you do not have an account yet.

busy