|Holiday Sale Shopping||Tweet|
|Written by J Status|
|Tuesday, 16 December 2008 15:50|
Tis the season for fantasy savings. This time of year can be a joyous yet stressful time for you when you are shopping for the right gifts to put under your tree. In this economic environment, it is important to get the most out of your investments. The same holds true for your hockey squad. You may be feeling the heat as your team is underperforming and needs a jolt. This is the perfect time to go shopping for sales for your fantasy team. The right gift bought at the right time can get your team from the cellar to the cup.
Why is this the season for fantasy values? Well, most owners are at their wits end when it comes to being patient with their underachievers. We are about 30 games into the season and the leash can't get any longer. Right before the midway point, it is time for a change according to most owners. Take advantage.
At the same time, with the holidays and everyone being so busy, many leagues are going into slumber mode but some active owners may be looking to spice things up just for the sake of change. These anxious, hyperactive owners will make some concessions at this point in the season just because trading is entertaining. Looks like a sale price to me.
So, with so many games under the belt, what players are still underachieving but have a chance to turn it around in the second half? We will take a look at the Buy Lows aka value and sale gifts perfect for your fantasy stocking. On the other hand, what players should you be returning in the Sell Highs before they go and break on you? You knew it was too good to be true, and they will soon be discarded in the fantasy closet with injury or slump if you aren't careful. Then, what oldie but goodie can you pull out and reuse when all the new shiny gifts just aren't cutting it? The Resurrection will give you an idea. Finally, the Flashback will give us some time to reflect on our great holiday memories and how things change.
Anyway, enough talk. In this season of traditions, I present a classic Status Report.
The Status Report:
There is a chink in the armor this season. This mega star may finally be obtainable for a fairly reasonable price. I'd take that gamble that he returns to form despite the teams struggles. Dany has never been JUST a point-per-game player in the "new" NHL like he is right now. Three more games with no points helps that image to buy him cheap. Pay a little more than fair and just keep thinking about his consecutive 100-point seasons and the fact he is only 27 and entering his prime. History is on your side.
Brandon Dubinsky, C, NYR
So a player enters the league. He scores 57 points in his first 121 games. Good debut right? He is still only 22 years old. Really good right? Well, it is all about perspective and Dub has accomplished this solid start is such a fashion that it currently has a bad taste in his owners' mouths. Currently, without Jagr around, Dubinsky is producing at a slightly better rate than he was last year when he scored 40 points in a full seaosn. He is also shooting much more while raking up more penalty minutes. Overally, he is showing progress. Still, currently he is slumping significantly. He has only produced 5 points in his last 25 games after a rocket start. Even worse, he only has one point in his last nine contests. THis is an opportunity to get a really good price. 12 points in 13 games made stardom seem near. It may take a while, but that potential is still to take flight in the next few years.
Fedor Tyutin, D, CLS
Pascal Leclaire, G, CLS
Call me crazy, but I am buying this guy right now in my keeper leagues. Why? Dirt cheap. Good thing they don't trade players in Wal-Mart 'cuz this sale might cause a stampede and get someone trampled at his price. Yeah, like that would ever happen... ha... ha. Anyway, dark humor aside, he has only started three times in the last month with the injuries and arrival of young star Mason. Does that make Leclaire incapable of being a star starter again someday? Not necessarily. The picture isn't rosy right now with 16 goals allowed in his three starts, but someday soon he will get another shot. Whether it be with Columbus or another club, I want to own him when that happens. He did boast a 2.25 GAA and nine shutouts last season after all.
Sam Gagner, C, EDM
Gift Returns (Sell High):
David Backes, RW, STL
Backes is having a great year so far. Much of the value you are seeing in his ranking is related to his penalty minutes. In his career, he has had double-digit penalty minutes in only five games. In November he had three of those. In those three games he had half of his 81 minutes with 40 of them. He will have a career high in the category as a result, but you can't expect this to be something you can count on regularly. As a result, I'd just cash in while his value is high. Plus, though he only has 14 points on the season, he has six of them in the last six games. That little streak boosts his image temporarily as well.
Shane O'Brien, D, VAN
Another penalty minute purchase, O'Brien is leading the league in that cat. Although it is great, you can't expect it to continue. He will be good but not at this rate with 110 already. It makes him look great at a thin position, but he can really hurt you in points and shots with only five and 17 of each. He also doesn't score many goals and none this season. He was a great late snag, but now is the time to get some trade value out of him. This is one of the few times you will be able to use O'Brien as a trade piece to legitimately sweeten deals in the eyes of some owners. Take advantage and replace him with a more balanced option afterwards.
Mike Ribeiro, C, DAL
No Morrow, no more star Ribeiro. Now the question is, can you still get the price you want for him. With only four points in his last 12 games, time may be getting short. The issue is, years of underachieving have caused some owners to be overly biased against Ribeiro in trades despite his last 100 games of success. Still, if you find someone who has liked what they've seen in the last year, and hasn't realized how quickly his value is dropping for this season, make the move if you are playing for the short term. If you are in a keeper, you might just want to wait until Morrow returns. If you don't have him, wait another month and hopefully he will be on sale by then. When Morrow comes back, I would then trade him when he is a point-per-game player again because his sidekick's absence shows that he is dependent and thus a risk if they are ever separated.
Oldie but Goodie (The Resurrection): The player who may have some value after all.
|Last Updated on Thursday, 18 December 2008 02:32|