|Fantasy Indicators of Success - Page 2||Tweet|
|Written by Ryan Ma|
|Tuesday, 11 November 2008 04:44|
Page 2 of 2
Visnovsky and Souray dominate the ice-time for the Oilers. Both are nearly averaging five minutes on the power-play and 25 minutes of ice-time each contest. Both D are also good for penalty minutes as well as shots on goal with out a big hit to the plus/minus category. Vizzy and Souray should be owned in most if not all fantasy leagues. Gilbert is the surprise factor as he has seven points in 14 contests this season. The Oilers have a very well balanced team as they have had 14 different goal scorers this season, which means that Gilbert will be able to pick up random points here or there just from random goals. He’s only 5% owned in Yahoo leagues, but if you are in a deep league and is scrounging for D, you might want to consider Gilbert.
Minny’s D are all over the shop. Johnsson leads the team in ice-time but doesn’t have that big of a role on the power-play. Burns has been sidelined with various injuries and has not really found a groove this season. Zidlicky just returned to action, so it’ll take him a few more weeks to get back into mid-season form. Bergeron is largely considered to be a one-trick pony. I think the D that you need to keep an eye on is Zidlicky. He’s only 44% owned in Yahoo leagues, mostly due to the fact that he missed the first few weeks of the season due to injury. Zidlicky is only three years removed from being a 49 point scorer, so he definitely has the talent to succeed, only problem is will playing for the defensive minded Wild stifle his point production?
Vancouver is also all over the shop as well. The Canucks are ranked fourth overall for the total number of power-play opportunities given and have experimented with all of their defensemen to see who best fits the role. Bieksa seems to have taken the lead in that race as he has picked up 11 points in 12 contests. He spent most of last season recovering from a freak accident that sidelined him for most of the season. He looks like he’s returned back to 100% form and is ready to improve upon the 42 point season that he had two seasons ago. His 75% owned in Yahoo leagues is certainly surprisingly low, as Bieksa is a great across-the-board D to own. Ohlund and Salo always seems to get time, but always seems to managed to let fantasy owners down some way some how.
The Ducks seem to enjoy a roller coaster season. They have had some brilliant outings, and they have had some really ugly outings. One thing remains to be the same, Neidermayer, Beauchemin and Pronger will continue to get plenty of ice-time for the Ducks. I’ve been harping about Beauchemin for a number of weeks now, and he is ready to bust out. He’s getting more ice-time than Pronger, and is quarterbacking the Ducks second unit. Neidermayer and Pronger continue to be fantasy hockey beasts as they have combined for a total of 24 points, 80 shots on goal, and 38 penalty minutes in 17 games for the Ducks this season. Niedermayer and Pronger will finish in the top 10 for fantasy defensemen production this season, so make sure you hang on to them if you own them, or make a strong push to acquire them while their value is at the lowest at the moment.
The Stars blue line corps will look quite a bit different in a few weeks time, once they make a few adjustments. Zubov returned after recovering from off-season hip surgery that sidelined him for all the early part of this season. He might be the main reason why Marty Turco struggled so much in the early part of this season. Since his return, Turco has only allowed three goals in two contests, compared to 51 goals in the first 12. Zubov should take over as the main power-play quarterback and help kick start the Stars’ 14.9% power-play into gear. He’s only 81% owned in Yahoo leagues, and that number will rise to near the 100% mark by the end of the season. If he’s still available on the waiver wire pick him up. Zubov’s return will greatly affect Robidas’ fantasy value. Robidas pretty much was the go-to guy while Zubov was hurt, with Zubov’s return you can kiss the 24:06 and 5:01 numbers goodbye. You can probably still keep him on your roster, but as the season progresses and new breakouts appear, you may want to consider dropping Robidas later on.
The young blue-line corps of the Kings are holding the fort nicely even without the young budding star Jack Johnson in the lineup. The acquisition of Kyle Quincey has really helped solidify the D for the Kings. The power-play duties have been split between Preissing and Doughty with a smidgen of Quincey dashed in there somewhere. They still lack a true power-play quarterback, but I’d expect Quincey to assume that role by the end of the season. I’m going to go out on a limb here, but I potentially see Quincey having a mini Mike Green-like season this year once the offense sorts themselves out. He’s only owned in 2% of Yahoo leagues, so if you are looking for a gamble, look at Quincey.
If you haven’t read Status’ column on JovoCop , do so! It explains a lot of what I’m about to say in greater detail. He’s only 66% owned in Yahoo leagues, and that’s an alarming surprise given his history. Reasons why he should be picked up, 1) He picked up 50 points last season, with a less talented Coyotes team. 2) He’s averaging three shots per contest, they’re bound to go in some time. He has a career 6.3% shooting percentage, if he continues at a three shots per contest rate that should translate to 15 goals. 3) He’s averaged 65 penalty minutes per season over the last four seasons. 4) He’s averaging 4:18 minutes on the power-play per contest. 5) Are you really going to expect Keith Yandle and Zbynek Michalek to outscore Jovo? The other surprise D that might stand out is Yandle. He’s on his way to cementing his spot on the Coyotes blue line permanently as he now has six points in nine contests for the Coyotes this season and has continued to gain Wayne Gretzky’s confidence with each game. He’s probably not worth owning now, but keep an eye on the youngster as he might be due for a large increase in ice-time which usually equates to more production fairly soon.
Whoa...did you read that right? Yes M.E. Vlasic actually gets more ice-time than Boyle and Blake, which is what makes him a solid pickup for your blue-line. Vlasic has eight points in 16 contests for the Sharks and should continue to pick up the minutes pairing up with Boyle on the blue-line on even strength. Ehrhoff continues to be a surprise with 12 points for the Sharks, but I wouldn’t expect him to keep it up as his career-high has only been 33 points. Blake is on pace for 41 points, which isn’t too bad if you managed to pick him up on the waiver wire for free. He’s not getting power-play time on the Shark’s top unit, which is why you see Boyle’s totals much better than his. If the Shark’s decide to unite Blake with Boyle on the top power-play unit, I’d watch out.
If you still don’t trust me from the example up top, take a look at example number two,
Once again not much of a difference between the two teams, but imagine if you threw in better offensive players to Team B, the numbers would probably be skewed a lot more towards the stronger D side than the stronger O side. Try this as an exercise. Compare your team with the team that’s leading your fantasy pool. Add your top four offensive players plus your defensemen in your league’s settings, and compare them to the leaders. How many categories are you losing to the league leader? Is his D better than yours? Many battles will be won and lost because of D, are you going to be on the winning end or the losing end?
|Last Updated on Tuesday, 11 November 2008 05:03|