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Notable RFAs still un-signed - Hodgson, Stepan, Kadri, Pietrangelo.

 

The Rangers are in a bit of a bind. They don't have much cap space but would love to lock up Stepan long term. With the cap temporarily dropping this year, I could see them trying to give Stepan a one-year "prove your worth" deal. If it goes well (like 2013 did), he can expect a big pay day next summer.

 

Similar to Duchene this year, and PK Subban next year. However, I imagine Stepan and his reps are seeking a four or five year deal in the neighbourhood of $5 million per. Pay for potential.

 

Pietrangelo's potential deal is the most interesting one to me. He's still young and the team would have to go really long term to buy up any UFA years. Giving an RFA a contract worth $5 million equates roughly to $7-$7.5 million for a UFA on the open market.

 

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Mark Fraser is back with the Leafs - one year and $1.25 million. Fair deal for a rock solid bottom pairing defenseman.

 

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The Sharks have re-upped their American Army Knife - Joe Pavelski. Five years, $6 million per. Fair deal for both sides - his offensive production depends a lot on where he plays (third line C and first line RW have different roles and requirements). Even so, he will see a ton of time on the PP.

 

Pavelski and Couture are the future of the Sharks, and his fantasy hockey value is finally starting to catch up to his "real life" value.

 

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The Rangers have signed winger Mats Zuccarello to a one-year deal worth $1.15 million. Derek Stepan remains an RFA....

 

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From NHL.com - eight players who saw their fantasy stock rise due to impressive postseason performances.

 

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The Jets sure aren’t afraid of giving big money and long term deals to their core players.

 

Zach Bogosian is the latest – a seven year deal worth a total of $36 million (a shade over $5 million per season).

 

Thoughts? Definitely a pay-for-future-performance contract, as Bogosian hasn’t proven to be worth that money up to this point in time.

 

But his upside is immense, and the production will come if and when the Jets start to give him more offensive responsibility.

 

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Some good insights from a DobberHockey reader in the comments section of my Drew Shore column:

 

On Shore:

 

As an AHL off-ice official, I saw Shore play in San Antonio, He also has a knack for being in the right spot; it's like the puck bounces right to him frequently. He is often close-in, pounding away at the goalie, which could be one reason for the low shooting percentage. He was clearly the best SA player on the ice every night and will be really solid with some talented linemates.


On Howden:

 

Another guy I like Howden - that dude can skate like the wind! Young and raw, I'm surprised he stayed up, but Florida was desperate last year, and he can forecheck with his speed. He needs to work on his shot and on positioning, but his speed is unreal.


On Markstrom:

 

I got to see Markstrom a lot the last couple years - he doesn't have many holes and IMHO will live up to the hype.


And on Alex Petrovic and Colby Robak (defensemen):

 

I'm not real high on Robak. He was minus-23 last year, although he was often teamed with Nolan Yonkman, who is a slow-moving, obsolete battleship (minus-34!). Robak is a better scorer than Petrovic right now, but is inconsistent and doesn't have great shot selection.


San Antonio's power play was horrible overall, but Robak didn't do much to make it better. Petrovic has more potential at the NHL level. Even if his scoring doesn't develop, he has size, toughness and plays stronger D. He was plus-8 on a terrible team. If he can get some scoring going, he could complement Campbell and Gudbranson nicely.


Fantastic insights (he’s an off-ice AHL official who saw a lot of San Antonio games).

 

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Why trading Cody Franson would be a bad idea for the Maple Leafs.

 

One reason:

 

Franson finished eighth in points among defencemen. To give you an idea of how crazy that is, every other person in the Top 40 other than Brent Burns (who spent this year as a forward and does not count) played at least two more minutes per game than him, and he was scratched for three games.


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Paul Stastny is a talented offensive center who is playing the role of a shutdown center in Colorado. That probably won’t change with Duchene, O’Reilly, and MacKinnon all on the roster, but if he ever gets dealt (or if one or two of those three struggle), expect his production to increase dramatically.

 

 

It’s hard for Stastny to be as productive offensively as he could while he is up against elite talent on every shift (and starting most of those shifts in the defensive zone). This is an example of the important context that advanced stats can provide. Stastny isn’t “struggling,” he’s simply playing a much tougher role than he did back in 2009-10 when he produced 79 points.

 

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I'm not sure there is a UFA who signed this summer that will have as big an impact on his new team as Mike Ribeiro will in Phoenix.

 

Here is a post on dispelling the notion that Ribeiro is strictly a contract year player.

 

One of my favourite shootout goals ever:

 

 

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Why hasn’t Vinny Prospal signed anywhere yet? He has led Columbus in even strength production per 60 minutes in each of the last two seasons (a great indicator of a player’s offensive ability).

 

There probably isn’t room in Columbus for him, but I can think of more than a few teams that could use a playmaking winger in their top six/nine.

 

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Is this season Jordan Caron’s last chance in Boston?

 

Fancy stat primer – understanding PDO.

 

30 Teams in 30 days – a look at Philly’s OHL prospects.

 

Drayson Bowman checks in at number 22 on the top 25 under 25 in Carolina.

 

Andrej Sekera is a good hockey player - from Shutdown Line.

 

My latest fitness post - how to use a Voodoo Floss band.

 

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I’m off to San Francisco for a week tomorrow. I have done the major touristy things there, but any good food/bar spots to check out? Or any other recommendations?

 

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Oh yeah - the fantasy guide is out in TWO DAYS!

 

FG

 

The beauty of an online (PDF) release, and what separates us from the competition, is that we are able to update the DobberHockey Guide throughout the rest of the summer and right up to puck drop in early October.

 

Other guides released in magazine format have to be written and submitted for publishing in late June with quick updates on free agency in early July. 

 

As we all know, a lot can still happen in August and September. How about a strong training camp from a bubble player or a rookie? How about a late summer trade or signing?

 

The fantasy impact(s) of these moves can be significant, and we will have you covered.

 

Pick up the 2013-14 Fantasy Guide here. 

 

Support the website and win your pool. I’d call that a win-win.

 

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Write comment
Comments (10)add comment

donpaulo said:

donpaulo
... I think we see Stepan sign a bridge deal
July 30, 2013
Votes: +0

rataylor22 said:

rataylor22
... Dunnder you should only be worried about the Stepan situation if you are a Ranger fan. Even if he is traded he will be fine. A trade to a different team would be a much much bigger hit to the Rangers than Stepan's fantasy value.
July 30, 2013
Votes: +0

thinice said:

thinice
... San Fran: Try Greens restaurant (famous veggie restaurant overlooking the harbour and Alcatraz) and head over the Golden Gate to Sausalito and check out Heath ceramics (http://www.heathceramics.com/). May not be everyone's cup of tea, but the factory (and the factory store) were fascinating (in my opinion). Also, Chez Panisse in nearby Berkeley is world famous (http://www.chezpanisse.com/) and although I have never gone would be worth a trip if you can fit it in.

Not very sports oriented, but we all have interests other than hockey, right?
July 30, 2013
Votes: +0

Dunnder said:

Dunnder
Stepan Hey Jeff,

Wondering if you can dig up and share any info on Stepan and where talks are at with the Rangers... any danger of a trade forthcoming? Ive tried to find news on Twitter and some of the blogs i read and it seems VERY quiet on the Stepan front. I cant find a single rumor about him regarding possible signing or trade, and as a Stepan owner I dont know if I should be worried or not.

Unlike the Pietrangelo situation in StL, the Rags lack of cap space has me concerned about their future (or current??) #1 center.

Thanks in advance.
July 30, 2013
Votes: +0

Savvy1982 said:

Savvy1982
... Not sure if you're a big Beer guy, but San Fran is a beer mecca - I spent a week there in February just checking out the better beer spots. A few to check out:

Magnolia Brewpub - Really solid brewery up in the Haight District - Good beers, and THE best food I've ever had in a brewpub.

Toronado - Super-famous beer bar, has been a Craft Beer Bar longer than there has been a Craft Beer Movement in North America. Also up in the Haight District, this is one of the very few places that consistently has Russian River beers on tap, and always has them cheaper than anywhere else. Despite it being a total dive bar, this is a must-stop every time I'm up in San Francisco.

Of course if you really want to go to Beer Mecca, you should go North of the city itself and head up to the Russian River Brewery in Santa Rosa, - IMO the single best brewery in the world right now - IPAs, Sours, offbeat weird stuff - just a phenomenal place. I live in Canada but I've made the trek 6 times in the past 3 years, they really are THAT good! Plus Lagunitas and Bear Republic are also nearby in Petaluma and Healdsburg respectively.
July 30, 2013
Votes: +1

davidgoodburn said:

davidgoodburn
... A couple restaraunts you may want to check out: A16, which is a fun little Italian place with great food (awesome for a night out with a group of friends) and Incanto, which is Chris Constentino's restaurant. Also google "the best thing I ever ate" it was a food show on food network a few years ago that highlighted a lot of cool SF restaurants.

Also when we were there a few years ago, on Thursday nights the California Academy of Sciences did an adults only night. Center is fully open to explore and they have a Dj, drinks, food, dancing (and no screaming kids). De Jong Museum did the same Friday nights but it was a lot more formal there.
July 30, 2013
Votes: +1

angus said:

angus
... Thanks for the rec's!
July 30, 2013
Votes: +0

Loki said:

Loki
... It's been quite a while since I've been to San Fran but see if the Italian Restaurant "The Stinking Rose" is still operating.
Even the bread spread is pure garlic.
Your pores will reek for a week but it's worth the meal.
July 30, 2013
Votes: +0

donpaulo said:

donpaulo
... Jeff you asked about SF so I will give you some info

Try Mad Dog in the Fog at 530 Haight Street. They have a very fine English Breakfast comes with a Guinness too. Wander around Duboce triangle after your breakfast. Very typical SF neighborhood.

Crave some Mexican try Taqueria 2889 Mission
If you are over in Berkeley go to Juan's perhaps the best Mexican joint in the east bay

Dim Sum go to Koi Palace. Get there on the early side its a little out of the way but gets crowded quickly.

If you want a hike check out Buena Vista park. Really fantastic views as long as the fog doesn't roll in. Most people go to Sutro but Buena vista is far nicer.

You can also visit Anchor Steam Brewing company for a true taste of beer from SF.

or take a walk around Embarcadero maybe start around the Ferry building and walk back towards the golden gate. Drop in at Levi Plaza and walk up to Pioneer park or continue around and grab the cable car over on Taylor and Bay. That line will drop you off right near North Beach where you can enjoy a fantastic meal at Fior d'Ialia or continue riding over to China town.
July 30, 2013
Votes: +0

Axeman33 said:

Axeman33
... Sekera is a guy I have been targeting in most of my pools to acquire. I think he could easily be one of your sleeper picks for this upcoming season.
July 30, 2013
Votes: +0
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