Steve Laidlaw checking in once again to free up Dobber to continue working on the Prospects Report. So hopefully his work on the always fantastic Prospects Report makes up for you guys being stuck with me.

 

*

 

A couple of 2-1 hockey games tonight in the NHL. Doesn’t get much tighter than that.

 

*

 

Let’s start with Boston-New York. I didn’t watch the game so you’ll have to bear with me on some of these observations as they are mostly based on highlights.

 

All three goals came off of long shots with a ton of traffic in front of the net. With Tuukka Rask and Henrik Lundqvist in net you pretty much have to blind them to get one past them, the best of the best right there.

The game winner was a truly weird one. Follow the bouncing puck:

 

 

It’s important to note however, the importance of the faceoff win by the Bruins to get that in zone possession and then once again the traffic in front of the net. Pretty simple stuff when you boil it right down. Little battles win games come playoff time and the Bruins are great at winning those little battles.

 

It was winger Shawn Thornton who won that faceoff. That’s right, Thornton, he of the career 45.2% faceoff success rate on just 168 career draws. Shame on Derick Brassard for losing that one. It happens, of course, but that’s still one you’ve got to win.

 

That’s really a faceoff your big money centerman should be taking but the descent into irrelevance for Brad Richards continues. He skated just 8:10 on Tuesday, a new low for these playoffs. He’s obviously banged up and it wouldn’t shock me if it was something pretty bad. Good on him for continuing to battle. I actually think this makes him a solid buy low for next year because a lot of people are going to have a real hard-on for Derek Stepan and even Brassard after these playoffs.

 

But really, Richards had a decent season. I know he struggled a lot in the middle of the season but between the compacted schedule (limited practice time/no training camp), his new teammates (Rick Nash) and just general ups and downs you can start to explain away some of his scoring issues. Ultimately, he still got 34 points in 46 games. He seems a pretty good bet for 60 points again, at the very least.

 

Of course, the Rangers could buy him out with their second amnesty buyout and use that cap space to re-sign Stepan and fellow RFA Ryan McDonagh. Both of those guys need big pay raises but no matter what happens, Richards is still a top six center and at just 33 years old I refuse to believe that he is completely done. He’s got too much hockey sense to not Selanne his way to a second life as a sneaky veteran producer.

 

*

 

As for Stepan, yeah, he’s the bomb, those hard-ons are so worth it. He’s meshed brilliantly with Rick Nash and Ryan Callahan as that line is playing heavy minutes for the Rangers. Stepan managed five shots on goal and dominated the faceoff circle. I’d imagine that Nash-Stepan pairing remains a thing well into the future because it’s worked too well for it to not be.

The one thing that concerns me is that Stepan isn’t necessarily a star. His 44 points in 48 games this season certainly give one the sense that he has that potential and I’m not saying that he doesn’t have that potential but sample size alarm bells are going off in my head. I also look at his high shooting percentage this season (16.7%) and envision regression.

 

Furthermore, for all his skill, he’s still a dependable defensive player and relies a lot on high effort/lunch pail play to generate his opportunities. I just wonder if that play doesn’t take a physical toll on him so he never reaches his maximum potential. And the Rangers’ human shield defense certainly doesn’t help matters. You could be looking at the next Shawn Horcoff or Ryan Kesler – just something to consider.

 

*

 

And as for Brassard, I still want to see what kind of minutes he gets next season before really falling hard for him.

 

*

 

Oh and one more shout out to Ryan Callahan, because one isn’t enough – he was scoreless on Tuesday but fired four SOG and landed seven hits  – what a dreamboat. His goal on Sunday made me absolutely melt.

 

 

*

 

This isn’t based on anything I saw in Tuesday’s game but rather just a general observation – how much longer do you think Jaromir Jagr can keep playing?

 

Jagr is a great skater, keeps himself in fantastic shape and has one of the most dominant gluteus in the whole game. He gets the puck and then just plays keep away. It’s almost rude the way he can dominate the puck with his blend of size, strength, skill and edge-work. So long as he stays smart with his diet and exercise I bet he could play three more years like this easily. The team that signs him just has to acknowledge they can’t force him into 82 games a year if they want him there for playoffs. Look at Teemu Selanne this year.

 

Teemu almost has to be done after this season. Too many miles these past few years trying to pick up the slack for the maddeningly inconsistent trio of Corey Perry, Ryan Getzlaf and Bobby Ryan. They should have been sheltering Selanne, not the other way around.

 

Back to Jagr though. Treat him like you would a starting goalie. Give him 60 games a year to keep him in game shape and then bust him out for the playoffs. I would guarantee Jagr comes back for one more year at least so he stays in shape for the Olympics. That’s why I won’t write off Selanne playing one more year either but when it’s time it’s time. With these older guys sometimes their body just makes the decision for them

 

*

 

What the bleep is going on with Tyler Seguin? Seriously, I’m asking. He only played 10:41 on Tuesday. Again, I didn’t see the game but this is now the second straight game where he’s had his ice time severely cut. He’s basically a glorified fourth liner now. I know he’s been snake-bitten but to me it hasn’t been from a lack of generating chances. He actually managed four SOG on Tuesday so even with the minutes crunch he’s still firing the puck a ton.

 

Seguin has no goals and just one assist these playoffs but as I said he’s been generating chances. Through 10 playoff games he’s fired 39 SOG. You can do the math. He’s getting the puck on goal.

 

I think you are looking at a prime buy low candidate if there ever was one. Coming off a disappointing season (32 points in 48 games) followed by a disappointing playoffs, you know people are down on him but he’s going to be a centerpiece in Boston – his contract mandates that he will be if his talent doesn’t. And the talent IS still there.

 

*

 

Another guy to think about buying low on or maybe you won’t even have to buy at all but rather just take out a flyer on is Carl Soderberg. I don’t know if he’ll be a success or not but he signed a three year deal and it seems like he’s going to give the NHL a real shot. What I do know is that he came over into a situation where he would almost certainly fail.

 

Soderberg has spent over a decade playing in Europe, learning how to play the game their way on big ice. There was always going to be an adjustment period. I don’t question that Soderberg learned a lot of valuable things playing in Sweden and certainly he knows what it takes to be a pro but no doubt he learned some habits that may not even be bad in Sweden but won’t play the same in the NHL. He needed a good training camp and then some to really learn to play over here for the Bruins. Instead he got thrown into a playoff race. It’s of no shock to me that he’s yet to play a playoff game.

 

So like I said, take a flyer on him now that his owner has soured on him or whatever the case may be.

 

*

 

On to the late game, which I did get to watch.

 

*

 

Martin Havlat sat out again… injured… what else is new? This guy bores me.

 

*

 

Brent Burns scored a goal and leveled six hits, including a massive one on Brad Richardson. No Youtube video up yet so here’s one on Ovechkin from a couple of years ago instead.

 

 

Ray Ferraro keeps harping on and on about how these ass-checks by Burns remind him so much of Rob Blake. He’s right, that’s exactly who I think of every time I see Burns throw one of these hits but maybe stop saying every time Mr. Ferraro? We all get the reference now and if we don’t then it’s probably because we were too young to remember Rob Blake and his devastating ass-checks.

 

I do wonder though, if the ass-check isn’t the new way we should be teaching hitting. I don’t love the aspect of it that you can go too low and take out a guy’s knees but it’s a great way to make sure you remove the head from the equation as the principle point of contact. There are still going to be whiplash effects so you won’t remove the concussion risk completely but at least it’s a way to level a big hit legally in the NHL.

 

I also like the aspect of it whereby you maintain a low center of gravity through the hit making it much more likely that you, the hitter, will stay on your feet. That makes the check more purposeful as it allows you to then pursue the puck now that you’ve separated the opponent from it.

 

Anyways, that’s just my little crackpot theory that I’d love to hear your take on. Surely, “more ass-checks” isn’t THE ANSWER when it comes to concussions but I just like the idea of it gaining more prominence in the game.

 

*

 

More on Burns – I harped on this last week but you really can’t give the Sharks coaching staff enough credit for rolling the dice and putting him up front. He’s been an absolute wrecking ball. You know that when GM Doug Wilson went out and acquired him and his big salary it was to chew 20+ minutes a night on the blue line. Instead the Sharks have gone with a committee approach on the blue line and Burns is up front wreaking havoc for like 17 minutes a night. I’m not sure that’s worth the nearly $6 million a year investment they’ve made in him but it’s working right now.

 

Digging deeper the Sharks are technically still getting a good return on their trade investment in Burns at the very least. Most pundits didn’t like the deal, even though Burns filled a huge need for the Sharks and they really must not like it much now that Burns isn’t even filling that need but consider who the Sharks traded for a second. In the Burns deal they dealt:

 

Charlie Coyle, Devon Setoguchi and the pick that became Zach Phillips

 

Phillips is still a ways off from NHL play, Setoguchi was obviously expendable and Burns is now seemingly the physical menace that Coyle projects to be. They essentially got an expensive advance on a position they clearly needed filled.

 

Of course, you could certainly argue that Ryane Clowe was supposed to be filling that void all along but he’s hurt and the Rangers are clearly missing him and I suspect the Sharks would be missing him too, had they not dealt him and replaced him internally (Burns) and externally (Torres). I am pretty sure Clowe was always hurt. It’s this suspicion that kept me from chasing him as a buy low candidate in several leagues this season. That seemed to backfire as Clowe was fairly productive down the stretch for my competitors. I take some solace in seeing his injury taking a toll now. My logic wasn’t entirely wrong.

 

*

 

I mentioned above that the Sharks have gone with a committee approach on defense. That includes Dan Boyle who saw just 19:53 on Tuesday. The idea being that they can get more out of him in fewer minutes than they would skating him 25+ minutes a night like you know they want to. On one hand this may reduce Boyle’s upside going forward, on the other hand, you have to like what it could mean for his longevity.

 

*

 

Ho hum, 27+ minutes for Drew Doughty. It’s annoying that his fantasy value has taken such a huge hit but he’s probably the best defenseman in the game so suck it up and put on your hockey fan hat and enjoy.

 

*

 

Slava Voynov skated just 17:36 on Tuesday. I don’t think there is cause for much alarm as this has happened on occasion. Voynov still regularly sees over 20 minutes a night for the Kings. I’ve got a Cage Match article featuring Voynov coming out today, suffice to say I’m a fan. Voynov would have had a goal (or an assist) but had it waved off by an official’s error.

 
Doesn’t get any more frustrating than that.

 

 

I’ll see if I can post the video later but I’m sure we can all agree there was no reason that goal shouldn’t have counted.

*

 

Mike Richards scored the lone goal for the Kings. That makes nine points in 10 games this post season. What a big game player. He’s always had the ability to flip that switch come playoff time but I think now more than ever that becomes important. I talked about how high effort guys can tend to break down, well he’s another one to be wary of. I wouldn’t be shocked if he never scores a point per game in a season ever again. He’s got to pace himself during the regular season or he’ll completely burn out. Come playoff time though, flip that switch and he becomes another animal. All these lengthy playoff runs won’t help him any either between the increased wear and tear and the shortened off-season. That’s why the Kings benefitted a great deal from this year’s shortened season.

 

*

 

Speaking of guys who can flip that switch – Dustin Penner was the guy who banged home that would have been goal/assist by Voynov. Would the Kings dare to keep giving him three million bucks a year to coast through the regular season, knowing what a menace he can be come playoff time?

 

With the cap crunch coming next season and extensions needed for RFAs Kyle Clifford, Alec Martinez, Voynov and Jonathan Bernier, I would guess that Penner becomes a casualty.

 

I for one would welcome him back to Edmonton, just not right away. This team needs to get to the playoffs and to do that they need guys who can compete every night for 82 games. That’s not Penner. Once they get to that level though, I think his physical dynamic is one that every team can use come playoff time. So he is one UFA I am very much looking forward to tracking this summer.

 

*

 

For purely selfish reasons I am a bit disappointed with the direction the playoff series from Tuesday night are headed.

I picked the Rangers and with the Bruins up 3-0 that is basically over, barring a historic collapse, making my second whiff this post-season. My first miss was the Rangers-Capitals series. I suppose you could say these Rangers have just flummoxed me.

 

The reality is that I just overthought how physical the Bruins-Leafs series was and assumed the Bruins would be banged up. If they are they aren’t showing it. It’s the Rangers who are banged up and on their way out.

 

*

 

The Kings series is technically trending in my favour since the Sharks tied the series up at 2-2 but I find it hard to believe you could come away from these past two games thinking the Sharks were the better team. It’s definitely close between these two but the Kings seem to be controlling the play more, even if the results haven’t shown up on the score board.

The irony of course is that the one game I do think the Sharks were better in was Game Two, which they blew in tragic fashion. Imagine they won that game and then snuck out these two? No you’re right, hypotheticals are really stupid – don’t imagine they won that game.

 

*

 

I feel like I should mention something about the Memorial Cup and how dominant Nathan Mackinnon looks and really how dominant the Halifax Mooseheads look but I’m no prospects expert. Like I said in the outset, Dobber and the gang are hard at work on the Prospects Report. It comes out in a week and a half. You’ll get all the prospect information that you can handle and then some if you pick it up. I can’t recommend this product highly enough.

 

Okay, okay. One little blurb. For fantasy purposes I am treating Mackinnon like Jonathan Toews and Jonathan Drouin like Patrick Kane. Who you picking first if you get the chance?

 

*

 

Adding a couple of videos that I've promised. First the Brent Burns ass-check and you''ll see in this one that it is specifically more ass than hip, which is why I make that distinction. More on that in the comments.

 

 

And here is the disallowed Kings goal. Had this one counted their third period goal would have... blah, blah. Hypothetical, hypothetical... I promised you that I would cut this out. So just watch in horror.

 


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Comments (22)add comment

pbhockey4 said:

pbhockey4
I keep forgetting to post... Awesome ramblings Steve. Loved the insight on both Richards and the guy that always gets forgotten until the postseason, Dustin Penner. Thanks for the good and humorous read.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

pbhockey4 said:

pbhockey4
Right back at ya Koho Sandwich My "poisonous diatribe" was absolutely meant to bring you down, and while I may have gone overboard, I don't apologize. Looking back, I was emotionally heated because I didn't take your comment as joke. I took your comment the wrong way, but you also gotta realize how it can come off to other people. To me, 5hole's comment was a joke whereas yours just sounded hateful. So sure, I could've used some perspective when I was pissed at your comment and stepped back to think that you may have been joking...but you also need to take your own advice and have the perspective to realize that comments like yours don't come off as jokes to everyone. Tone of voice doesn't exactly come across crystal clear on Internet, so comments like yours can come across as hateful and bigoted rather than lighthearted.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

Koho Sandwich said:

Koho Sandwich
@pbhockey4 @pbhockey4: Get a sense of humour and a sense of perspective. Your poisonous diatribe just brings everybody down.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

kidd said:

kidd
no goal i'm so sick and tired of the ref's quick whistles. the goalie just has to act like he has the puck and they will blow the whistle. horrible

and well said pbhockey

May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

pbhockey4 said:

pbhockey4
@Koho Sandwich and @bullwinkle @Koho Sandwich-Dude, unless you're under the age of 14, you need to grow the f*** up. Seriously, you're absolutely pathetic. If you got uncomfortable by some of the man love thrown into today's ramblings, I suggest you go crawl into a bubble and remain there for the rest of your days. Or, you could grow a pair and stop being such an immature piece of s***. Your call.

@bullwinkle-I'm sorry, remind me when someone like Laidlaw gets paid to spend all his time watching hockey and then writing daily ramblings for your reading pleasure? If you're going to complain about someone spending their own FREE time (what little he might have) writing FREE content for your FANTASY hockey league, which just happens to be pretty damn good insight, then you should just stop reading the site. No one is making you read these so called "less interesting ramblings." Maybe you should remember that some people actually have lives outside of fantasy hockey, and that it's fantastic that we get to read ramblings like this for free in the first place.

Wow I just spewed a lot of hate. My apologies to those out there who aren't Koho Sandwich or bullwinkle, but comments like theirs really piss me off. This is a great site with people who actively contribute TONS of free, unique content for our perusal, entertainment, and for use in our fantasy leagues...so to see comments like those show up is flat out disgusting.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +2

bullwinkle said:

bullwinkle
I'd prefer insights from someone who actually watched the game Second hand comments are fine, but isn't anyone there to write about the Bruins/Ranges game who actually SAW it? Somehow I would find those accounts to be a bit more interesting.
May 22, 2013
Votes: -2

Koho Sandwich said:

Koho Sandwich
... Gayest. Ramblings. Ever.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

metaldude26 said:

metaldude26
... That's a great observation Corstyles.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

Corstyles said:

Corstyles
Are we afraid to criticize Lundqvist? I'm a little surprised that I've seen, read, and heard exactly zero comments criticizing Lundqvist on the game willing goal last night... nobody, anywhere, to my knowledge, has said anything.

Lundqvist gave up on the play!! Yes, he realized that the puck had come from behind him, out to the front of the net. It might be logical to assume that the puck had already been in the net, but in this case it hadn't been! It was a live play, and Lundqvist had an opportunity to cover that puck. Instead, he stopped playing, and Paille came around the net and batted that puck in.

I think that Lundqvist is the best goalie in the NHL. But, when he gives up on a play that results in the winning goal being scored in a playoff game, I would like somebody, somewhere, to mention it. (This isn't a complaint about the ramblings, it's much more a complaint about the on air analysts. This just happens to be my location to vent.)
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

5hole said:

5hole
Hmmmmmmmmmm Lot's of Hard-on's and Ass-Checks, wonder what kind of dreams you were having...lol.
smilies/tongue.gif
May 22, 2013
Votes: +1

goose191919 said:

goose191919
...
I find it hard to believe you could come away from these past two games thinking the Sharks were the better team.


Have you not watched this series at all? The Sharks have dominated most of the play in the last two games and I felt like the majority of game 2 as well. Their collapse of game 2 was the result of the 5 on 3 bad call (which was made up, in my opinion, in game 3).

I feel like the Sharks have created goals where as the Kings have scored on mistakes and giveaways by the Sharks (game 3's only King's goal is the perfect example). The Kings keep trying to grind it out against the Sharks like St Louis did last year but it isn't working. I still believe the Sharks will win the series.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +2

Mats Vandal said:

Mats Vandal
... In game four, the Kings put together roughly 14 minutes of composed, puck possession hockey.
Outside of that binge, they were rountinly dumping and making ill-advised shift changes.
They did not deserve to win last night, yet, I did hope that as champions, they would find a way to scramble a tying goal, then continue the series lead, in extra time.
The intensity LA spent vs St.Louis is no longer academic in this state series. The urgency of Brown is lacking. Unlike last spring, checker Dwight King is a spare part wasting a spot alongside Carter and Richards.
Coach Sutter is growing desperate. He's forced to constantly shuffle lines in early stages of games three and four, hoping that something resembling production, might be generated.
Is Kopitar playing hurt? One goal in 25 contests is red flag material. Yet, I'm more bothered by his seemingly unwillingness to take control of a 3rd period, like he's often done in the past.

Winning at home is the rule of this tie; so here's to Johnny Quick doing more than his share to see his mates through in seven.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +1

metaldude26 said:

metaldude26
face-offs and ass-checks Re: Face-offs - Like I said, "it happens, of course, but that's one you've got to win." There is certainly truth to the premise that face-offs are inherently a coin flip of sorts but I just think in that situation with the game tied and how little time was on the clock, you've got to find a way to win that draw against an inferior opponent. I gave Boston a ton of credit for their collective ability to win battles and this is just an example of that.

Re: Ass-checks - The argument is semantics but you'll see from the video I added at the bottom why I am calling them ass-checks, instead of hip-checks. I can get "behind" calling the hit on Ovechkin a hip check, as Burns does come in more from the side but that hit on Richardson, was all rear-end. Again, it's semantics, but that's why I am making that distinction.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

Shift Disturber said:

Shift Disturber
... Awesome comments today! I love the new verb, Selanne. How about an all-time "Selanne" team? Formerly top end players who have a 4-5 year career after their first career? I nominate Paul Stastny at Centre.
May 22, 2013
Votes: -1

angus said:

angus
... Not surprised the Rangers lost - they play garbage hockey. Can't collapse and expect to win against a team as good as Boston.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

Dobber said:

Dobber
... I believe Richards will improve next year - mildly. And I think Stepan will match this year's numbers or have a tiny decline next year. But other than those tiny tweaks, I think these two are doing exactly what I thought they would do when I evaluated them a year ago, and two years ago. For once, players are fitting my trajectory nicely. Well, perhaps not entirely - Richards decline was a little too much too sudden...
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

buck0198 said:

buck0198
DD Ho hum, 27+ minutes for Drew Doughty. It’s annoying that his fantasy value has taken such a huge hit but he’s probably the best defenseman in the game so suck it up and put on your hockey fan hat and enjoy.

love it.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

Rad64 said:

Rad64
... Love your ramblings, Steve.

Regarding Richards, his bread and butter has always been power play points. The Rangers power play has sucked the last 3 years. (23rd the last two) I have to wonder if Richards will ever get above 60 pts on this team...
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

Pengwin7 said:

Pengwin7
Fantastic! Great rambling Steve!!! Really, really good.

A few points for discussion (not disagreeing, just discussing).

re: Seguin.
Boston has 7 solid forwards. Seguin is just the odd-man out. Good call on buy low.

re: Faceoff/Brassard.
As austeane says, a 55% faceoff man is only going to win 55/100 faceoffs, with a 45% faceoff man winning the other 45/100. It's going to happen. 55 vs 45 doesn't mean the 55 wins every time.

re: Checks & "Ass-Checks".
First of all, it's a hip check. Ray Ferraro may call it an ass-check... but let's call it a Hip-Check, please.

Second, there is a rarely discussed physics behind a good check. Hockey analysts rarely discuss physics because... well, they are hockey players and they never took a physics class. There are two bodies of motion with velocities (speed & direction) colliding at the same location. If you actually took two bodies and collide them directly into each other - you'd have BIG injuries.

Somebody throwing a check needs to pick one type of check to avoid injury by allowing some of their momentum to continue in the same direction.

Check 1: Low. This is the hip check. You get your body low. You go through the player and under his center of mass. His center of mass continues through, but over. It's a highly effective check because it removes a player from his skates. For this same reason, if the player doesn't land properly it could be a big injury/discussion point. Also - a very low placed hip check can result in serious knee-injury. If Burns puts that check on Zdeno Chara, he'd probably be suspended for targetting Z's knees.

Check 2: High. This is the body/shoulder check. You get your body high. With this check, the checking player wants his center-of-mass to go through/over the player he is checking. This often "appears" to be a player who "leaves his feet" to execute this check - but really his airborn-ness is a result of continuing momentum over the checkers body. (2-3 times a year there is a clip of a good check where people scream "he left his feet"... often, the checking player's feet come off the ice only because that is the direction of his resultant momentum).

Anyways, the "ass check" (more commonly called "hip check"), is the less reliable check because ones skates must be skating/gliding sideways or backwards to execute this check. This typically means less ability to adjust direction. The hip check is most commonly seen executed near the boards because there is no place for the target to go... he's pinned into one path. That is why it is less common and will continue to be less common.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

Shoeless said:

Shoeless
Richards and Stepan I think you slammed dunked this one. I couldn't possibly agree more with everything you set down in your analysis, it is exactly where I have been at on these since well before the playoffs started and nothing has happened since to change my mind. I actually think Stepan is a sell high and Richards a buy low.
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

Axeman33 said:

Axeman33
... Great write up MD26! Just a note on your Seguin comment. I could only wish that Seguin owners were foolish enough to sell him low. In every one of my leagues (too many to list) Seguin owners are just as high on him as ever as far as the asking price goes. I could only wish to be in a league where the Seguin owners are crazy enough to sell him low.

As far as the Mooseheads go, MacKinnon has been an absolute stud. Drouin hasnt come close to playing like us Moose fans are used to seeing him play. I am not sure if he's simply gripping the stick too tightly or whats going on with him but his first two games were off (big time) for him. Last nights game against London he looked a lot more comfortable. He still hasnt shown his scoring touch yet but his setups last night were 2nd to none. Great game for the Moose, even if the Knights were obviously tired from playing back to backs. Go Moose!
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0

austeane said:

austeane
Awesome ramblings! Great job Steve. I love the in depth commentary.

A couple of comments... While faceoff percentages follow yearly trends (with massive sample sizes), each one is close to a coin toss. Let's say that Brassard is a career 54.8% faceoff guy. Extrapolate that to assume the same odds on each faceoff and for every 10 draws, Brassard will still lose four of them to Thornton, a "terrrible" faceoff player.
That is one of the reasons I think people overrate faceoff specialist. They help, don't get me wrong, but they don't guarantee possession by any means.


I'll take you up on Richards. I think he is actually worse off right now than his point pace suggests. He COULD get sixty points but things would have to go right and I would be assuming less than 60 next year. If is fully healthy next year and is on another team that can afford him comfy low QoC/high o-zone% minutes, then yes... 60+ points is probable. With the Rangers, I don't see him getting 60.

I have both Stepan and Brassard in a deep salary cap keeper... Hoping things go well for them next year!

I agree, buy Seguin if you can, but I don't think all too many owners will discount him much because of a 55 point pace season.

Keep up the great work!
May 22, 2013
Votes: +0
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