An update on the Fantasy Guide is in place - I explain the updates here in this thread.
I firmly guarantee that you will absolutely love our 2012-13 Fantasy Guide. Why? Several reasons:
We have built a fantastic team of writers here who all bring unique talents and insights to the table.
This year is the first time advanced stats have been used in a Fantasy Guide... anywhere. Dobber tackles PDO, while I introduce terms like Qual Comp, Corsi, and Zone Starts. The fantasy relevance of these statistics is tremendous – both for evaluation and projections.
Our guide, unlike the ones on sale at the grocery stores, is updated. A lot. We don't have a June deadline to get our work in. We update the guide almost daily right up until the puck drops. Late summer signings, trades, and so on can dramatically impact your fantasy squad.
Imagine if Shea Weber went to Philadelphia? The other magazines wouldn't have had it. Rick Nash will have a huge impact on the Rangers, and his absence creates some big opportunities in Columbus. We cover what others can't, which is one reason why we have kept our guide in PDF downloadable format.
My latest for the Canucks Army – does Max Lapierre deserve the third line center gig? I think so, and if he gets it, he could be a solid 25-point, 125+ PIM forward.
“As it stands right now, Ryan Kesler is likely going to miss part of October. However, he may not even miss any games if the start of the season is delayed. Assuming Kesler returns fully healthy without missing any action (a big assumption, mind you), the Canucks still need to fill the third-line centre spot. Malhotra can play a fourth line role while taking a lot of faceoffs, but would that bump Lapierre to the wing? His late season offensive success in 2011-12 aside, Lapierre struggled in Montreal after moving to the wing, and he was eventually traded to Anaheim after losing his spot on the roster...
The way I see it, it's clearly time for the Canucks to reward Lapierre for his hard work and solid play in a variety of roles. It's time to give Lapierre an extended shot to play as the club's full-time third line center.”
I spent a lot of time analyzing Erik Johnson for my recent piece – The Road to Redemption in Colorado. Johnson was a can't miss prospect who was traded less than five years after going 1st overall. He hasn't been the two-way monster that many had predicted. Why not? And perhaps more importantly, can he still get there?
“Colorado took a risk when they traded for Johnson. But the Blues may have taken a bigger risk by trading him away. Johnson’s progression to top defenseman is far from complete, but he’s headed in the right direction once again.”
Some updates on the Seattle arena situation – I would love the opportunity to be able to drive two or three hours to watch a road game in the NHL, and the Seattle market could handle a few more pro sports teams.
“Hansen stated on 710 ESPN Seattle’s “Brock and Salk” show Tuesday that the Council had been “telegraphing” potential changes to the proposal and he was opening to listening to their concerns. However, although he is willing to make certain changes, Hansen said “the deal is not going to work if we are on the hook for trying to fix all of SoDo’s traffic problems.” The Council has suggested that revenues generated by the arena be used in part for traffic mitigation. Hansen pointed out that the revenue streams were carefully calculated to support a joint-use arena as currently configured, which would cost at least $30 million more than a basketball-only facility. “It is completely unfair to ask us to build a hockey/basketball arena for the same price,” he said.”
The Sabres are looking to lock up Tyler Ennis to a new deal – Ennis, right now at least, is their number one center after the impressive performance he put on during the stretch run of last season.
“Quincey didn't exactly flourish in Detroit. Whether that was due to being in a new system or adjusting to a revolving door of defense partners, he struggled to find any consistency. In the playoffs against Nashville, Quincey found himself with less ice time than he saw in the regular season. Whether that was due to matchups or a lack of confidence in him by the coaching staff, his role seemed to be reduced. However, with the loss of Stuart and a rookie joining the lineup, Quincey is going to have to be the guy that we thought he was when he was picked up on waivers by L.A.”
NHL.com writer Pete Jensen takes a look at the best 16-man fantasy team of all time.
1. Luc Robitaille (1992-93 season, Los Angeles Kings)
84 games, 63 G, 62 A, 100 PIM, plus-18, 24 PPG, 265 SOG
Gretzky missed nearly half of the regular season for the Kings in '92-93, but it didn't end up being a detriment to L.A. thanks to Robitaille's incredibly balanced production (125 points, 100 PIM). Robitaille put forth arguably the greatest statistical campaign at his position in history, scoring the most points ever in a single season by a left wing.”
We have included PDO in our fantasy guide this year (no, not PDA, but PDO). It is a statistic that measures “luck” (among other things). Here is a detailed explanation:
“In a similar fashion, we can explore the PDO scores of individual players during the course of the year and get a read for who is benefiting from fortuitous bounces while they are on the ice. Perhaps that guy padding the score sheet regularly has been seeing the benefits of sieve like goaltending from the opposition, or maybe that guy that looks like the worst player you've ever seen (*cough*Brett Lebda*cough*) is actually being victimized by atrocious PDO as a result of his teammates not scoring, and the goalie not doing their job.”
“First off, it tells us that Ribeiro is a player who thrives on playing softer minutes. This is to be expected of an offensive player of his caliber, but it is undeniable that when Ribeiro saw softer competition on ice, he not only possessed the puck at a superior rate but he also put up points at a level indicative of a #1 NHL center. So why wouldn't you want to give him those easier shifts again?
As just about everyone knows at this point, Ovechkin fell of a cliff last season not only in terms of point production, but also in terms of puck possession. Ovechkin’s corsi rel was an alarming -3.4 last season, a decline of 15.3 from 2010-11. 2011-12 also represented the first season in Ovechkin’s career (since such statistics have been recorded) that he had a corsi rel not in double digits; he averaged a 13.9 in previous years. In addition, those four seasons of dominant puck possession coincided with three triple digit point totals and an 85-point season.”
I made the point last week – give Ribeiro and Ovechkin softer minutes, while Backstrom, Laich, and company play more of a two-way role. May hurt the fantasy value of Backstrom a bit, but would maximize the abilities of Ribeiro and Ovechkin offensively.
Some examples of Ribeiro’s offensive ability: