Just pulled the trigger on a fairly large trade in one of my keeper leagues. If you have a few minutes check out my analysis here.

 

The Midseason Guide, you can buy it here, re-released this morning with some updates to prep you for this weekend's midseason draft.

 

Ryan Suter is plus-13 over his past seven games. Weber may be the heart and soul of the Predators, but Suter is the backbone. His production has picked up of late as well.

 

Jamie McBain has six points in his last seven games. Look for a strong finish to the season from him.

 

Matt D’Agostini and Vlad Sobotka are both stepping up in a huge way for the Blues. D’Agostini has 10 points and is a plus-5 in his past 10 games.

 

However, it is only a matter of time until the pair are back in more of a depth/energy role. Perron and McDonald are still both out indefinitely, but TJ Oshie should be back by the end of the month.

 

A phenomenal Varlamov/Neuvirth read. Very comprehensive analysis of the two Washington 'tenders.

 

Zherdev had a goal and an assist in his return to the lineup for the Flyers. He only played 11:30, though.

 

Ville Leino is proving that his run last spring was no fluke. He’s on pace for 60 points and is playing important minutes for the Flyers. I wrote him off during my drafts, but I was able to trade for him about a month ago right as his production started to take off.

 

Brad Marchand has points in three straight and eight in his last 10. He’s one of my favourite players in the league to watch – if he gets on a scoring line or in a scoring role in the future, he has 25-goal, 60-point upside. Trouble with that is he is so good in a checking/energy role that he may get “stuck” there.

 

An awesome fantasy hockey strategy - well worth the read. I mean it! A DobberHockey forum member shares a successful strategy that has enabled him to consistently win his pools over the past 10 years.

 

Boston rookie defenseman Steve Kampfer has four goals in 17 games. He’s got upside as an offensive defenseman, and I’d consider him in deep one-year/keeper leagues.

 

Patrice Bergeron is on fire – 13 points in his last nine games. He has emerged as Boston’s best center over the past month or so.

 

Cory Schneider was phenomenal for the Canucks last night. He stopped 34 of 35 shots. The Canucks probably won’t move him this season (nice insurance policy), but his value will be sky-high in the summer. He finally lost a game in regulation, though. His record is now 8-1-2.

 

Henrik Lundqvist proved again last night why he is the best goaltender on the planet. It is such a treat to watch him play.

 

Why are the Sharks struggling? They lack mobility and puck skills on the back end. Doug Wilson has turned that team from a contender into a borderline playoff squad with embarrassingly bad depth.

 

The forwards are struggling because the defense can’t get them the puck in a scoring area (or in any area offensively), and the goaltenders are struggling because the defense can’t cover the opposition properly.

 

An example of Wilson’s horrid management? He traded Ehrhoff (who makes $3.1 million) to Vancouver in the summer of 2009 as a salary dump. Later that season, he traded for Niclas Wallin and signed him to a $2.5 million extension.

 

Shea Weber has points in seven straight games. Second half monster, bank on it.

 

Legwand had two points last night and now has nine in his last 10. The top line with Svatos, Legwand, and Wilson is clicking.

 

Wilson has eight points in eight games. He is about a season ahead of where I had him pegged offensively. He could hit 50 points this season (no small feat on the balanced Predators).

 

Mikkel Boedker played only nine minutes last night after being called up, but he did manage to record an assist. He’s two years away from fantasy relevance.

 

Keith Yandle had a goal and two helpers. He’s going to hit 70 points – I’ll guarantee it. Save this, write it down, tell your friends. A solid confirmation from Angus.

 

Ray Whitney has fit in much better than I had expected in Phoenix. He’ll likely finish the season with close to 20 goals and 50 points.

 

All it took for the Senators to win a game was a date with the lowly Islanders.

 

Robin Lehner got the start – he was far from spectacular though, allowing four goals on 24 shots.

 

Kevin Poulin’s run hit a snag last night as he was pulled after allowing two goals on eight shots.

 

Does Jeff Skinner hit 30 goals this season? It will be interesting to see if/when he hits the “rookie wall.”

 

Jeff Tambellini is struggling for the Canucks right now. He was demoted to the fourth line last night.

 

If he continues to put up blanks on the score sheet, I wouldn't be shocked to see Sergei Shirokov get the call up. He has been playing excellent hockey over the past two months, and is starting to dominate game-in and game-out at the AHL level.

 

One thing about Shirokov I admire is his desire to play in the NHL. He has repeatedly turned down KHL contracts that would pay him 8-10 times what he is making in the AHL, but he doesn't want to give up on his NHL dream. That is dedication right there.

 

How many games for this blindside hit?


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Comments (21)add comment

tradejunkie said:

tradejunkie
Kampfer... bummer... Damn, and now he's out indefinitely with a broken nose. Thanks Dupuis!!
January 16, 2011
Votes: +0

Mabus said:

mabus
... I guess my maybe was confusing - I agree that it has been mentioned in ramblings but I expected to see more in the guide. I actually looked for a thread to comment on the guide and specifically him on January 7th but wasn't successful, so I made a post in the ramblings:
http://www.dobberhockey.com/in...4:rambling

I see a couple of days later you created a thread for comments on the guide, but by then I'd given up looking for one.

Mabus
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

angus said:

angus
... Kampfer wasn't "maybe" mentioned. Here are some links:

http://www.dobberhockey.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=3321:december-16-2010&catid=24:rambling&Itemid=1

http://www.dobberhockey.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=3347:15-points-to-consider-world-juniors-edition&catid=14:jeff-angus&Itemid=102

5. I mentioned Steve Kampfer a few weeks ago in the ramblings, but after scoring his first career NHL goal the other night, I figured it was time for another reminder. He was tearing the AHL apart before getting the call up to Boston earlier this month (16 points in 20 AHL games as a defenseman).


W/ regards to the guide - it is a two-way street. If a projection seems way off to you, fire Dobber or myself a note (email works best) with your reasoning as to why. We don't get to watch enough hockey to get everything 110% accurate (if only there were 100 hours in a day).
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Mabus said:

mabus
... Maybe it was mentioned in the ramblings, but it's too bad about the guide though.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Michal Smida said:

StevenY
... If you read the discussion about the strategy on forum site, a member of the dobberhockey forum applies it in H2H league.
January 14, 2011 | url
Votes: +0

Jeff Angus said:

angus
... Mabus, I've mentioned Kampfer in the ramblings about a half-dozen times over the past two months.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Mabus said:

mabus
Poulin I think Poulin let in 2 goals on the first 4 shots of the game and was subsequently pulled. Lawson entered and let in 4 goals on 19 shots. Poulin returned for the third period and stopped all shots on goal, finishing with 17 saves on 19 shots. NYI almost posted a huge comeback and Poulin was a big part of it.

Nice to finally see a note about Kampfer. You totally missed the mark on him in the midseason guide. He's getting more powerplay time than anyone - including Chara, and he was producing like mad in the AHL. Noticing guys like this is the reason to buy the guide, so projecting him at 5 points over the second half is a horrible projection IMO.

Mabus
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Pengwin7 said:

Pengwin7
Clarification on the Strategy Smida - true in H2H. H2H is a completely separate animal (as any fantasy football buff knows). I've been doing fantasy pools for over 20 years now and have limited exposure in the H2H where diversification is a little more important and the best team doesn't always win (which I hate).

I prefer standard point leagues. My comments about the linemate strategy apply to those leagues... and not H2H. Sorry for confusion.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

SharksFan said:

WootskiWoo
... ...far, far too hard on Doug Wilson. You neglect to point out that he built that contender you're berating him for declining now. It's a compliment to his work that as soon as the team has it's first prolonged struggle in several seasons that the fans and media leap all over him.

The defense needs improvement but the players haven't executed properly this year either. The blame falls in no one place and in fact, I'd blame McClellen's system before Wilson takes his lumps - it's not effective for the personnel.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +1

Larry said:

Rollie1967
Brown hit It shouldve atleast been called interference- he wasnt skating towards the puck. Sure Brown may not have intended it to be a headshot- Jovo was reaching, but its still a blindside headshot. 3 or 4 games. No loss for the Leafs, now they can call up Brunnstrom! (love the line about how they waited till he sucked before the aquired him)
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Michal Smida said:

StevenY
My experience @Pengwin7 - I had a few Red Wings players two years ago and when i got to the playoffs i lost just because Red Wings had only two games that week. Most important thing when playing fantasy league will always be how the players perform. I have tried both ways and it appears to be more risky when using this "perfect strategy". This year my team competes much more consistently week in week out. And again, it is not universal or perfect strategy, because it depends on the league settings.
January 14, 2011 | url
Votes: +0

Jeff Angus said:

angus
... Consider my bubble burst. Seemed like he was playing better lately. Must just be noticing it more.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Ryan said:

letnry
Leino Hate to burst your bubble Jeff, but Leino's production over the last month is almost exactly the same as it was for the first 2 months of the season.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Pengwin7 said:

Pengwin7
Good Stuff Lots of good items today.
1. Varlamov has been sensational this year. He was good in last year's playoffs too - WAS just ran into the red-hot Halak. Neuvirth is the one with the contract extension and the guy with two AHL championships. Tough decision for WAS. Probably Varly 75% for rest of season - but a 3rd straight playoff exit might mean he doesn't get a contract in the summer. Perhaps WAS will spend the Varly/Semin money on a different type of player. Perfect amount of cap space for a Tomas Vokoun.
.
2. The "strategy" is perfect and I back it 100%. In fact, there was a pre-season pre-draft thread where somebody asked about drafting linemates and I was surprised when the "majority" of dobberites said that it was NOT a good idea to stock up on linemates. This isn't the stock market. Diversifying isn't necessarily a good idea. You want to finish 1st or last. My theory was this: if you are in a competition where you have the option of rolling one dice and doubling it... or rolling two dice - what would you choose? (Remember, no penalty for finishing last... in fact, you might get a nice draft pick for it!)
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

kevinsrangers said:

kevinsrangers
... lundqvist is the best goalie on the planet. love it. he is consistantly good night in and night out.
brown hit seemed fine to me it was the reaching of the other player that caused the head hit.the other player knew he was going to get hit but took the hit to make the play.he sacrificed his body to reach and poke the puck away.
i also watched the rangers game and thought that after the first period the rangers took it to them constantly and schnider was the only canuck that looked to have any tallent.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Repent Tokyo said:

repenttokyo
lunqvist is the best goalie in the league? no love for tim thomas?
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Tom said:

jack_oat67
0 games Not even worth a penalty as evidenced by the lack of call by the 2 refs on the ice. Brown picked a path to the puck, Jovo's stick was on the puck, he was stretched out and bent low to get to the puck and got hit with a clean shoulder check. Lets stop analyzing every check before we have to take checking out of the game. Its a tough sport and they get paid millions of dollars to play it knowing the risks.


Where is the video of the Leaf player (Kulemin, I think) getting crunched into the boards from behind? That was a worse hit than Brown's hit.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +1

Michal Smida said:

StevenY
"Awesome strategy" That strategy is not as perfect as it seems to be. It does not have to necessary work if you play in deep H2H league and it can sink your team if you get to playoffs and the team, your 2-3 punch is playing for, has just two games scheduled that week. That's exactly why i use exactly the opposite strategy - i try not to draft more than one player from same team. If happens that one team (and my player playing for that team) have very bad week or less games, the rest of the team will make up for it. However, for specific league settings it can be useful strategy.
January 14, 2011 | url
Votes: +0

paul said:

donpaulo
... FYI NY blocked 24 canuck shots
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

Shao said:

Shao
5 5 Games at least. That is textbook "we want that out of the game" type hit.

Didn't see him coming. Any hit could have knocked JOVO off the puck as he barely was within reach of it anyways.
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0

paul said:

donpaulo
... firstly I will openly state I am a die hard NYR fan, but after watching the canucks last night I see why they are clearly a step above the rest of the NHL. Their Jam and Skill balance is impressive, the only thing I could have done without was the cheap shot stick to the gonads of Marc Staal by Alex Burrows

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I7eLPPUaL18

It made the shutout victory even sweeter

thanks Alex
January 14, 2011
Votes: +0
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