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Justin Goldman fielded questions from readers for ninety minutes on Tuesday. Here is the transcript.

 

Dobber's note: The chat service company is now charging for the code. Which is fine, but to suit the needs of a website of this size I would need to pay about $500/year, which is up substantially from…zero. I put a value on it of about $10 per month that I'd pay. I absolutely believe that you should be paid for your work online (of course). But in my opinion, they priced themselves too high for my particular needs.

As such, the "free" portion of the chat was filled within thirty minutes. The chat continued with the 35 readers who managed to get in. I have copied the transcript and have pasted it here for all to review.

12:11

Comment From Hawksfan

with a new coach will Caps give Holtby the reins or does Neuvirth platoon?

12:11

TheGoalieGuild: Holtby was the AHL Goalie of the Month in December ... He'll not only earn the role in camp but he's clearly the better goalie right now. Neuvirth struggled overseas during the lockout.

12:11

TheGoalieGuild: Holtby 90% odds to start opening night and play close to 28-30 games.

12:12

Comment From Mike

Who do you see the long term number 1 in Ana? Obviously, Gibson is the top dog but it looks like Andersen may provide some competition.

12:13

TheGoalieGuild: Depends on what you mean by "long term" but I suspect Gibson will start in the AHL next season, need at least 1 year, most likely 2 years, before he's ready to fight for an NHL gig. But he is the Ducks prospect most likely to be that "long-term" starter everyone covets in a keeper league.

12:13

TheGoalieGuild: Andersen is a very good prospect but until I see him put together a full season in North America, it's tough to really quantify or qualify his long term upside. He has all the assets, just need a bigger sample size of play in North America.

12:13

Comment From Hawksfan

Does Crawford have the #1 spot secure or will Hawks look to acquire someone and who's out there?

12:15

TheGoalieGuild: It's secured but only because nobody else is threatening that throne. If I were the Blackhawks, I'd be very worried about goaltending. They don't have anyone legitimate in their top-4. Hutton had a nice run last season but I saw him play live here in Minny for an AHL game and he did not impress or stand out. He could fill the backup role behind Craw but he's not a top-tier #3 goalie like a Lehner or anyone like that. Chicago has goalie issues in my opinion...and I wouldn't want Crawford in my fantasy league because of 12 back-to-back games and a brutal travel schedule.

12:15

Comment From Bill Dado

Hey Justin, after Lundqvist who are the 4 or 5 next best goalies for a one year league that counts W/GAA/SV%

12:16

TheGoalieGuild: I would say you have to look at Ryan Miller, Pekka Rinne, Jon Quick, and even though these might not be super popular, Cam Ward and Niklas Backstrom. I want to put more stock in Carey Price but the team was bad last season and with all the new faces in the coaching staff and management, it's tough to put Price up in the Tier-1 fantasy guys. Backstrom and Ward are two guys that will play a lot and have great support in front. But yeah, Lundqvist easily my #1 fantasy guy.

12:16

Comment From John

Justin, always appreciate your insight into goalie matters. What are your thoughts on the development of Markstrom & Lehner? What do you see them achieving this year and in the next 3 years?

12:18

TheGoalieGuild: Everyone wants to freak out about Markstrom and yes he has been inconsistent, but that doesn't mean he's any worse of a goalie technically speaking. It's tough to stay patient when you've had a taste of the NHL, so mentally speaking, I think he's fine and he'll get a chance to fight for a job in training camp this week. Lehner is an absolute stud and even with a 2-way deal, he's going to make a statement in Sens camp. I see both goalies being very close to "starters" in the NHL in three years. Both could potentially work their way into starting roles next season. That's easy to see in FLA, but with Lehner, the Sens need to move Bishop, which they might very well do because three's a crowd. Lehner has come a VERY far way with his maturity since the summer. He's easily one of the Top-3 Top-5 keeper league goalies to own IMO.

12:18

Comment From Bill Dado

After Lundqvist who are the 4 or 5 next best goalies in a one year league that counts W/SV%/GAA

12:18

TheGoalieGuild: repeat

12:19

TheGoalieGuild: Hey Dobber I didn't see the Hiller question ... can you re-post?

12:19

Comment From Guest

Sorry Justin, I added a hiller question higher up that you missed

12:19

Comment From Gramps

Does Halak have it in him to be a #1 in St. Louis and what are your expectations for Harding this year?

12:20

TheGoalieGuild: Halak definitely has it in him ... maybe a little rusty out of the gate, and his high ankle sprain should be 100% fine with no worries or issues (high ankle sprains are terrible for a goalie ... they take forever to heal). I still think because of STL's schedule and knowing every team will want to use two goalies (if they're playing well) I only give a slight advantage to Halak for the workload at like 28-20. Elliott is going to play and that defensive system means both goalies will have good stats, but not as sharp as last season.

12:21

TheGoalieGuild: I can't really predict anything for Harding because of the MS in a condensed schedule. He is one of the most amazing "battlers" I've ever seen. He plays with tremendous pride and has to be scraped off the ice when he plays through nagging pains and aches. I see him doing well in 12-15 games.

12:21

Comment From Steve

how do you think the short season effects tandems? more games for backup because of b2b's or less because of fewer games?

12:21

TheGoalieGuild: I think it depends on every team's situation, but for the most part, you'll see more backups playing more games (especially in the west where the travel is much tougher!!!) and you'll also see another 10-12 AHL starters or #3 goalies getting opportunities and soaking up some starts.

12:22

TheGoalieGuild: The numbers work like this...

12:23

TheGoalieGuild: In 2009-10 there were 82 goalies that played a regular season game. In 2010-11 there were 87...and in 2011-12 there were 92 goalies total. So you do the math and with a condensed schedule you're looking at a total of 75-77 goalies playing ... roughly 15 goalies from the AHL will potentially get some NHL action. That's significant in a 48 game season. HAVE #3 GOALIES READY TO GO and keep track of the top prospects out there!

12:23

Comment From SabreMatt

How much do the Hawks trust Crawford? Short leash? Would Emery be the other "guy"?

12:25

TheGoalieGuild: I can't say how much a coaching staff trusts a goalie. In the media they have to trust their goalie....they won't throw a guy like Crawford under the bus. But from scouts I talk to and what I've seen ... Crawford is one of the weaker starting goalies out there. His technique and overall game needs to improve like...right now. But he does work hard and has a very good demeanor ....I just worry in this type of situation that he is going to struggle ... there are so many unknowns, and as a fantasy manager, I want goalies with TONS of experience and TONS of reliability. I have low confidence in Crawford AND in Emery because I don't know how he holds up. He is great in short spurts, like 3-5 games, but not durable enough to carry a heavy workload. Pressure is on Crawford for sure!

12:25

Comment From Chris Stewart

was is the best fantasy goalies this year

12:26

Comment From SabreMatt

Assuming Luongo goes to the Leafs, (which may or may not happen) do you expect a drop in production, or will he put up his old Florida-esque numbers?

12:27

TheGoalieGuild: Drop in production, but still good enough to give the Leafs a really good chance to make the playoffs. I know the Leafs are trying to implement a more defensive-oriented system with Carlyle, but I don't think that happens overnight and I think a lot has to do with chemistry on all 3 D pairings........so if he does get traded, it's an adjustment coming into the weekend and a lot more unknowns. But Luongo is still a very good goalie especially in the regular season and from like games 25-50. Here is a real good article by Cam Charron on the subject...

12:28

TheGoalieGuild: http://canucksarmy.com/2013/1/14/the-case-for-roberto-luongo-as-the-canucks-starter-in-2013

12:28

TheGoalieGuild: I am now thinking that the Canucks are going to be forced to keep him because there are no legit UFA backups available, Lack is hurt, Climie isn't signed to an NHL contract, and every team DESPERATELY needs two good goalies this season.

12:28

Comment From Jason

Do you think Viktor Fasth will get many starts? Does him being sent to Norfolk hurt his chances?

12:29

TheGoalieGuild: Fasth was only sent to Norfolk in order to get some game action. He'll play one or two games and either join Anaheim in Vancouver or meet up a day before. It's a very smart move, although does come with a few risks, the pros outweigh the cons. He's a 30-year old mature goalie with a fierce competitive edge. I really like Fasth, but not over-expecting results in a condensed chaotic season.

12:29

Comment From Guest

Are Neuvirth, Khabibulin and Harding worth keeping as #3 and #4 goalies for this year? Which one would you drop?

12:31

TheGoalieGuild: I would easily drop Khabibulin. Neuvirth will have chances to be a starter elsewhere....I think Holtby is going to win that job and Neuvirth will be moved at some point. Not this season because WSH needs two good goalies ... but Holtby is a very elite young talent with unreal upside (Lehner-esque) so I would keep Neuvirth around. He is still a very good goalie, just being squeezed out of action due to someone that's a bit better. Khabibulin is also not 100% game ready yet...so who knows there.

12:31

Comment From Mike

In your opinion, who are the top NCAA goalies this year? Do you see any of these goalies making the NHL? Thanks for your insight.

12:33

TheGoalieGuild: Some of the better NCAA goalies that I've seen and like are Adam Wilcox, Juho Olkinoura, Casey DeSmith, Sean Bonar, Chris Rawlings, Matt O'Connor, etc. These are not the top-ranked or best statistical goalies, but goalies I think can play at the pro level. There are many others.......oh and Jared Coreau is making a name for himself as well. Very good low-tier ECHL/AHL goalies in the NCAA that can turn into solid NHL goalies over time. Play the patience game with them. But watch for Rawlings, Coreau, O'Connor to get chances at the pro level.

12:33

Comment From Guest

Would you consider a TOR goalie if could be had in late rounds?

12:33

TheGoalieGuild: If you're asking me who I would take, it would be Scrivens over Reimer in the latest round possible. I am personally not a fan of inexperienced Leafs goalies. I do love Jussi Rynnas though ... he is a very very good long-term prospect.

12:34

Comment From Eric

What do you think of anton Khudobin

12:35

TheGoalieGuild: NHL-ready goalie that has done very well in the limited NHL action he's had. I think he earns a few starts just by sheerly performing above expectations and could play in as many as 16 games. That may seem a little high because I do think Rask could be a sleeper for a Top-5 or Top-7 fantasy goalie this year, but Khudobin will make due with his chances. He has really improved his technical game and isn't as "spazzy" as he was a few years ago. Much more refined and consistent.

12:35

Comment From Guest

so what do you think the top 2 goalies will be this week

12:35

TheGoalieGuild: Ah geez....no idea....experience is everything this season so I'll go with Lundqvist and Miller.

12:35

Comment From Kevin

How do you see the next three years unfolding for Lack and Mrazek, given the goalies in front on them?

12:37

TheGoalieGuild: Tough to say obviously ... I can project the future without taking into consideration other goalies, so this is a tough question. Lack will be a full-time NHL goalie regardless, and I think Mrazek has come so far in such a short amount of time that his progress will slow down at some point. He needs to get through the potential sophomore slump and stay patient with the development process if he's going to be a Red Wings goalie (that's their MO ... slow and steady development) so in three years I want to see him as an NHL backup as well. A lot can happen in that time frame, but I think he's so athletic and competitive that he is where he is for a reason...moving forward and not looking back. I'll go out on a limb and say he's a full-time NHL goalie before 2016. .

12:37

Comment From Eric

Entering a deep league and with many of the of the known starters taken, what back ups could be an option down the road for success. I think khudobin and hackett

12:39

TheGoalieGuild: Hackett isn't a backup but yes he's a top prospect. Thomas Greiss is a good one right now. I'm still not sold on Niemi having a long and fruitful NHL career. Keep an eye on Cristopher Nilstorp as well. He's only 28 and has tremendous skill and is already in Dallas' training camp. You obviously have guys like Bernier and Neuvirth and Khudobin and ... yes. .. Jonas Gustavsson. I think he is going to surprise a lot of people.

12:39

Comment From christap99

how do you use this chat it not working for me

12:39

TheGoalieGuild: yes it is :)

12:40

TheGoalieGuild: I take my time on answering stuff as comprehensively as possible, so thanks for being patient with your questions!!! This is the only way I know how to answer stuff.

12:40

Comment From Mike Hunt

No love for Rask in your top 5 in a one year league? With Boston only playing 7 back to backs you have to think he should start more than 32 games as you predicted in your workload article? Is Khudobin that good to take 16 starts?

12:41

TheGoalieGuild: I think he is very close to being a Top-5 guy like I said a ffew minutes ago. I think experience is a huge X-Factor in a chaotic condensed schedule, but the Bruins are clearly one of the top projected teams in the east, the schedule is in their favor. But Khudobin is no slouch and keep this in mind..........

12:41

TheGoalieGuild: ..........if the Bruins have a stranglehold on a home-ice advantage playoff spot, the last few games might be a perfect chance to rest Rask and give Khudobin a few games that other teams fighting for a playoff spot might not have the luxury. But that's just speculation, and one of the reasons why I have Khudobin listed for 16

12:42

Comment From Guest

Who is the one goalie that no one has heard of that folks should bury on their farm?

12:42

TheGoalieGuild: LOVE this question. OK let me think real quick. That NOBODY has heard of? I'll come back to this in a second, I need to pull up my rankings.

12:43

Comment From Dean Youngblood

Surprised to not hear Rask mentioned in your coveted keeper goalies!?! What do you expect from Tuukka?

12:43

TheGoalieGuild: Rask has been one of my top keeper goalies to own for the last two years haha. Remember I ranked him #1 for ONE-YEAR goalies last season??? That was a total fail, but the point being that I've been touting him as a long-term stud for years.

12:43

Comment From Victor

With Luongo still in town, does Scneider feel like a bust given peoples high expectations this year?

12:44

TheGoalieGuild: No, I think even if Luongo stays for the whole season, Schneider's stats in anywhere from 24-30 games will be solid. Depends on league settings.

12:45

Comment From Frim13

Do you think Bernier will be traded soon....and where....?

 

(see next page)


 

12:45

TheGoalieGuild: Not this season. Kings desperately need him. Jones has been struggling in the AHL and Mannino is not signed to an NHL contract. No idea where he's traded to ... the market will change and fluctuate as this season goes along.

12:45

Comment From Frim13

Dubnyk, Holtby, Lindback....in a keeper's who would you take first ?

12:47

TheGoalieGuild: Holtby, then Lindback, then Dubnyk. Holtby is super durable and best skill upside of the three. I'm not sure how Lindback carries a workload over 40 games, and Dubnyk still has some fragility in his inconsistent game over the course of a season. But Holtby brings the most confidence for me in terms of his ability to play at a high level for 60 games. Other two guys have to prove it to me.

12:47

Comment From That Guy

Please rank the following goalies in a one year league W/Save%/Saves/GAA: Anderson, Varlamov, Hiller, Pavelec

12:48

TheGoalieGuild: Varlamov, Hiller, Anderson, Pavelec. I think Varlamov is kind of like Rask ... coming over from Europe with a ton of skill, athleticism, confidence. Also keep in mind the importance of shootout wins in a condensed season, and nobody has a better shootout SV% than Varly last season. Hiller and Anderson could be swapped as the second guy to own...could give the edge to either guy.

12:48

Comment From Eric

Do you agree with the mid season draft rankings placing Zach Fucale on top north american goal tenders and who might he compare to ?

12:50

TheGoalieGuild: Absolutely. I can't compare Fucale to any NHL goalie right now because 1. I haven't seen him enough and 2. He is pretty unique. But if I had to choose someone, I would say Jonathan Bernier. Fucale is an inch or two taller, but both "smaller" goalies with excellent positioning and good instincts. They are both "quiet and calm" in their approach and don't over-move or over-slide. They are pretty economical and let plays and pucks come to them. But Fucale definitely the #1 goalie available this summer.

12:50

Comment From christap99

I picked quick and king henrik they both are awesome players

12:50

TheGoalieGuild: good job haha.

12:50

Comment From Yonald

Hey Justin, who would you rather own in a keeper league, Holtby or Lehner?

12:51

TheGoalieGuild: Would you rather have a million bucks right now or a million bucks in a year? Either way you can't lose with either of these guys. Holtby's time is right now. Lehner might have to wait another year, and needs to get Bishop out of the equation for him to soar.

12:51

Comment From christap99

nvm I have nothing to say it pretty much already on separate pages what I wanted to say anyways sorry goalieguild talk to you another time

12:51

Comment From SabreMatt

What's to come of Jonathan Bernier? I think he's an RFA at the end of the year. Trade bait for the Kings, or do they run the condensed season with 2 solid guys?

12:52

TheGoalieGuild: They run a condensed season with both and then re-evaluate the situation at the end of the season. Maybe an unreal trade opportunity comes up sooner. Maybe the Kings suffer a rough injury and are forced to look at trading Bernier. Anything can happen, but if things stay the same right now, they will need him to keep Quick rested and to solidify the most important season for having a good backup.

12:52

Comment From Guest

Will Mike Smith have similar numbers as last year, and will he continue to post same stats the next few years

12:54

TheGoalieGuild: I don't think he's going to be as statistically valuable as last season, but it's very easy to say that with the impact of the condensed schedule. I do think he will be comparable, however, and be very close to one of the Top-10 goalies to own in a one-year league. I think over the next few seasons he continues to prove what he did with PHX last year was no fluke, and his economy of movement, competitiveness, and defensive support under Tippett is why he'll continue to be a Top-10 guy pushing to be ranked a little higher.

12:54

Comment From paulieb

Are goalie tandems a good idea in a shortened fantasy season?

12:55

TheGoalieGuild: Yeah absolutely. Especially if you're looking at dominant teams like Boston, New York, Vancouver with Luongo/Schneider, Quick/Bernier. But at the same time, with such craziness taking place, how confident are you that there will be truly dominant teams this season?

12:55

Comment From Jay Banks

With Fasth, Nilstorp and Svedberg coming across this year, who do you feel will be the next diamonds from overseas?

12:56

TheGoalieGuild: Joacim Eriksson is at the top of my list because he's an UFA still....

12:57

TheGoalieGuild: Oh and I want to go back and answer that question about no-namers to store on your farm or whatever....

12:58

TheGoalieGuild: Luca Boltshauser is one name nobody is really familiar with. Reto Berra is another. Leonardo Genoni is another goalie in Switzerland. Stash Adam Wilcox as well. Zoltan Hetenyi.

12:58

TheGoalieGuild: For other gems from overseas ... don't lose sight of Daniel Larsson, Fredrik Pettersson Wentzel.

12:58

Comment From Guest

Some insights on WAS Sergei Kostenko? And how is he doing right now in the minors?

12:59

TheGoalieGuild: I don't know much about Kostenko, other than the Caps went out of their way to draft him last. He has gone through a really tough season. He had a shoulder injury, doesn't speak a lick of english, and didn't play his first pro game until last month, but he won it and actually had an assist. I think he's only played once or twice since then. Long term project for sure.

1:00

Comment From Kevin

Not a goalie skills/ranking question, but do you see Thomas playing as a starter somewhere next year?

1:01

TheGoalieGuild: No idea. Not even sure if, when he says he wants to play next year, he actually means it, and actually follows through. I think he's like Hasek in the sense that if anyone can take a year off and actually come back from it, he's one of them. But to say he's definitely going to be a starter next year is sheer speculation. I have no idea. I am not ready to say that, but I do believe a number of teams would be interested in his services.

1:01

Comment From Frim13

Funny question: Do you think Steve Mason will have a rebound and take Bob's spot as #1 ?

1:02

TheGoalieGuild: No but I do think that Mason has finally wisened up and matured. He lost 15 pounds and actually worked hard over the summer. I see Bobrovsky earning the starting role, but Mason proving that he too has matured, and thus turning into excellent trade bait. He's only 24 and has great size and skills, so I see him being scouted by other teams and columbus looking to move him. They'll have to move some goalies in the next few years with Dansk and Korpisalo developing.

1:02

Comment From Hawksfan

I am in a 16 team league.5/13 goalie cats. Just traded Theodore, Granlund & Hedman for Emery, Backes & Yandle to give me the Hawks tandem (also have Caps tandem). 2 tandems = 96 GS, sound reasoning?

1:02

TheGoalieGuild: I wouldn't touch the Hawks tandem with a 10-foot pole, to be honest.

1:04

TheGoalieGuild: I don't have a lot of confidence in Crawford as a starter and I'm worried about Emery holding up for more than a few games at a time with how much they have to travel and with 12 back-to-back games. Their lack of skill and experience in this type of situation keeps me away. Maybe they prove me wrong, but I can't say I am confident in that tandem at all. Probably one of the weakest ones in the leauge heading into the season.

1:04

Comment From Hawksfan

Using your #3 goalie theory, how many gms does Markstrom play? Theo and Clem are both mid 30's.......

1:06

TheGoalieGuild: Well, I think we first see how training camp goes. Things could happen there, like either of the old guys getting hurt. If he doesn't make the team coming out of camp, I still think he finds a way to play a handful...but no more than 5. It all depends on injury.

1:06

Comment From Guest

Does Bryz make it through the season in Philly? Will he play well?

1:07

TheGoalieGuild: Even though I know he's very skilled and on a solid team and will play a lot of games, and knowing he's likely a candidate to be a Top-10 fantasy goalie, I'm not personally getting anywhere near that guy. I have no confidence in him to be that Top-10 guy. He probably does have a decent season, but he could fall off the rails at any given moment. I don't trusth im.

1:07

TheGoalieGuild: I think he gets distracted WAY too easily. I think he slips into these very strange stretches of complete lackluster and disoriented and detached play, where his focus is clearly in the clouds. There are too many other more reliable goalies in his range that I'd rather own.

1:08

TheGoalieGuild: Hey dobber something popped up on my screen about the room reaching it's limit, but I only see 24 readers, and I'm not seeing anymore comments.

1:11

Comment From Potence

test!

1:12

TheGoalieGuild: Anyone out there? I don't know if CoverItLive has a limit on comments or not...haven't used this thing in a long time.

1:13

Comment From Kevin

Zatkoff and Jake Allen both have had some recent challenges...do you see their progression still on track, and do you see them as starters?

1:14

TheGoalieGuild: I don't see Zatkoff as an NHL starter, but a very serviceable backup. Jones I do believe has starter upside, but he needs to bounce back in a big way. There will be no silver platters for him since he was an undrafted prospect, but he's in the best possible system of development in LA. His game has already been bolstered by their goalie coaching by a severe degree ... how much further he can take it is really mostly in his head. But as of right now, yes I still feel Jones has starter upside.

1:14

Comment From Frim13

Vasilevski....best goalie of the future ? And when will he get to start in the NHL ?

1:15

TheGoalieGuild: Yeah one of the best for sure in terms of his age group. Always kind of question the Russian factor, but he sounds very committed to North America route. Tampa Bay has an insane amount of depth, but he's the goalie to own in that organization, and I think you're still going to need to be patient for at least another three years before he's pushing for a spot over there.

1:15

Comment From Jay Banks

With all the announcements from Justin Goldman Inc. this season, what's next with the Justin Goldman product?

1:16

TheGoalieGuild: selling everything and moving to switzerland and marrying the hottest girl i can find :P

1:17

TheGoalieGuild: But seriously, I have really enjoyed the transition to Minnestoa, and I am working on some actual goalie development programs here in the Twin Cities. If they work out over the summer, I'll probably dig my heels in and settle down out here.

1:17

TheGoalieGuild: .....and still marry the hottest girl I can find ;)

1:18

Comment From Jay Banks

selling your goalie pads won't buy you a Swiss Chalet!

1:18

Comment From Kevin

Appreciate the information about Jones in the Zatkoff question above, thought I asked about Jake Allen...what do you see for him?

1:19

TheGoalieGuild: OH WEIRD. I don't know how I read Allen as Martin Jones. Hang on haha.

1:21

TheGoalieGuild: Jake Allen is going through a few minor issues right now, namely and specifically with his glove hand. They are trying to improve that area. He has played better than the stats show in Peoria, but you're seeing McKenna play more games because I don't think the coaching staff is getting the type of play out of Allen they expect to see. So they are really hoping he elevates his game and grows into a guy that could push for an NHL gig next season. If he's not ready for that potential NHL backup role by next season, it's going to continue to hurt his upside. He is still a Top-25 prospect, but has ever so slowly been dropping 1-2 spots a month, then he'll move up a few, but always hovering in the mid-20 range. He needs to step up and step up soon. If the Blues had to recall a #3 goalie right now, it would probably actually be McKenna.

1:21

Comment From Kevin

though...not thought...sorry..

1:21

Comment From Kevin

It's ok, I hadn't thought much about Martin Jones before that...useful 9o:

1:21

TheGoalieGuild: So since I think we reached a limit on readers or comments or something, I'll post a few thoughts that you should keep in mind regarding goalies this season.

1:22

TheGoalieGuild: First of all, the lack of a routine could hurt some of the more inexperienced guys. For example, not every team is going to have their usual morning skates because of the condensed schedule. Goalies are creatures of habit, and some might struggle to be mentally prepared because their whole routine gets mangled at different points in the season.

1:23

TheGoalieGuild: This is part of the reason why I say experience is so freakin' massively important this season. The veteran guys like Theodore and Backstrom and Kiprusoff will have an easier time handling the chaos and unpredictability. The goalies "comfortable being uncomfortable" will have a better chance of being successful.

1:23

TheGoalieGuild: The only real veteran guy I don't see doing very well this season is Brodeur.

1:23

TheGoalieGuild: And Khabibulin...but he's not ready to go yet anyways.

1:25

TheGoalieGuild: I also am pretty low on Jimmy Howard as an elite fantasy goalie this season, and high on Jonas Gustavsson being a real good sleeper.

1:26

TheGoalieGuild: Howard has a massive adjustment to make in terms of losing Lidstrom, Stuart, Hudler, Holmstrom. More shots from the middle of the ice, more scoring opportunities. More pressure from Gustavsson.

1:27

TheGoalieGuild: Gustavsson actually gets an UPGRADE in the team around him. Way less pressure, way more opportunity to play relaxed and focused, and should have had plenty of time during the lockout to get away from the rigid system Allaire teaches, and play a more natural style with Bedard and Osgood working with him.

1:27

TheGoalieGuild: Those are all pretty significant changes for two guys that are now fighting for playing time. I like Gustavsson even though everyone else seems to hate him. I'll stick by him being a good sleeper and I even have a bet with a Leafs blogger that he posts a .915 SV% or above.

1:28

TheGoalieGuild: oops, sorry, it's .910 SV% or above.

1:28

TheGoalieGuild: I don't think I would have made the bet at .915 SV% but I think he can get at least a .910 SV%.

1:31

Comment From Hawksfan

What's with Pavelec? new contract, starting gig and keeps having to apologize for his off-ice antics. Time to pass out again?

1:32

TheGoalieGuild: I think the skill is there, but the consistency is lacking. He is still maturing. I want to call him a sleeper this season, but don't think he has enough support in front of him. Schedule is tougher for them being in Winnipeg, a lot of tough games against Carolina and Washington and TB .... so he's very borderline sleeper in my opinion.

1:33

TheGoalieGuild: I do like him a lot long-term though. He kind of reminds me of Lehtonen. Super-skilled guy that kind of needs to go through some tough under-achieving seasons before he "wakes up" and realizes he could be doing more to be a better performer on a nightly basis. I'd want him in a keeper league. In fact, now is a good time to buy low.

1:37

Comment From Hawksfan

DiPietro? enough said?

1:37

TheGoalieGuild: LOL.

1:37

Comment From That Guy

Does Johan the Moose Hedberg still have the legs to have a decent season? Is it fair to expect 20 starts from him?

1:37

Comment From Hawksfan

You've said you don't like the hawks tandem. Chicago will still win 25+ gms and somebody has to play net. Would you trade them for Lundquist, I'd have to sweeten the pot, and take less starts?

1:38

TheGoalieGuild: Yes the Moose is on the loose! Nothing but good things to say about his durability and his ability to come off the bench in some tough situations and win games. I've seen him go from being 100% cold to super hot in minutes. He's the perfect backup for Brodeur. 20 starts is very fair, and I think that's exactly what I have in my projected workload piece.

1:38

TheGoalieGuild: I do think NJ will have a weaker team obviously without Foster and Parise so a lot more shots from the middle and tougher situations for the goalies. But Moose will play in 20 games and probably post better stats than Brodeur.

1:42

TheGoalieGuild: You are probably right about Chicago and their wins, but again, when I have a whole league worth of goalies to choose from, one of the last places I'm looking is Chicago right now.

1:45

TheGoalieGuild: OK guys I just found out Dobber is getting charged for this chat so I'm shutting her down!! Thanks for joining and reading along. Good luck to everyone this season! Remember to check http://www.goaliepost.com  every day for quick hits and starting goalie info!


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