Audit

Are you wondering what your plan of attack should be in your fantasy hockey pool this summer? Preparing for a draft? Upset about some trades you made in the past? I’ll weigh in with my thoughts on the interesting and important issues.

 

This week, I took a look at the team submitted to me by DobberHockey reader Ben B.


The League


The UFHKL (Ultimate Fantasy Hockey Keeper League)

 

The Team


North Pole Aces

 

The Rules


11 team keeper league

Active roster: 12 forwards, 6 defensemen, 2 goalies

Bench has 8 players on it

Unlimited prospects can be kept for a maximum of four years for forwards and defensemen, and five years for goaltenders

Prospect draft in the summer consists of six rounds (players less than 25 games and goalies with less than 20 games at the NHL level are eligible)

 

Scoring Categories


Goals = 1

Assists = 1

PIM = 0.2

Shots = 0.1

Shootout Goals = 1

Plus/Minus (+0.4 or -0.4)

Win = 2

Shutout = 3

 

The Roster

 

Forwards
Eric Staal
Anze Kopitar
Patrick Sharp
Jason Pominville
David Clarkson
Dustin Brown
Milan Lucic
Brad Boyes
Kyle Okposo
Kris Versteeg
Andy McDonald
Valtteri Filppula
Defense
Alex Edler
Tobias Enstrom
Dion Phaneuf
Brent Seabrook
Mark Giordano
Matt Carle
Goalies
Evgeni Nabokov
Tukka Rask
Bench
Alex Radulov
Niklas Hagman
Matthew Lombardi
Rostislav Olesz
Andrew Ladd
Ryan O'Reilly
Radim Vrbata
Michael Ryder
Antoine Vermette
Jonas Gustavsson
Pascal Leclaire
Mike Smith

 

Forwards
Alexander Avtsyn '09
Ryan Bourque '09
Tyler Bozak '09
Evgeni Grachev '08
Logan Couture '08
Zach Hamill '07
Dmitry Kugryshev '09
Nikolai Kulemin '08
Ben Hanowski '09
Patrick Maroon '09
Greg Nemisz '09
Lars Eller '08
Scott Parse '07
Rhett Rhakshani '08
Mikhail Stevanovich '08
Defensemen
Jonas Junland '09
Colby Robak '09
David Rundblad '09
Vyacheslav Voinov '09
Goalies
Corey Crawford '09
Cory Schneider '08

 

Recent Trades


Outgoing: Keith Yandle, PK Subban, and a 3rd round pick

Incoming: Dion Phaneuf

 

I can smell the stench from this deal all the way out in Vancouver. Unless Phaneuf becomes a 60 point, 150 PIM, 200 SOG defenseman, you lose this trade (big).

 

Outgoing: Shawn Matthias

Incoming: Lars Eller and Matt Carle

 

Very nice deal here – I’d say Eller has more value than Matthias alone. Carle has found a home in Philadelphia, and should be good for 35-45 points each and every season.

 

Outgoing: Loui Eriksson, Lars Eller, Jamie Benn, 2010 1st round pick

Incoming: Eric Staal, 20105th round pick, 2011 1st round pick, 2011 3rd round pick

 

Eller sure didn’t stay around for very long. Eriksson and Benn are both great young talents, but Staal is the best player by a significant margin. More often than not, the team getting the best player wins the trade.

 

Outgoing: Alex Goligoski, Michael Grabner, 2011 3rd round pick

Incoming: Kyle Okposo, Valtteri Filppula, Jamie Benn, 2011 6th round pick

 

Fantastic trade for you. A precursor to the Staal trade, and it looks even better for you when you evaluate the trades together (Goligoski, Grabner, Eriksson, Eller, picks for Okposo, Filppula, Staal).

 

Outgoing: Nathan Horton, Jeremy Morin, and Luca Sbisa

Incoming: Kris Versteeg, Colby Robak, David Rundblad, Dmitry Kugryshev, Mikhail Stevanovich

 

Decent trade. I like Morin the most out of the six prospects involved in this trade. Horton’s upside is higher than Versteeg’s, but he is a few levels below Versteeg in terms of hockey IQ. I’d say you lost this deal, but it isn’t a horrible trade.

 

The Breakdown

 

The bench must be trimmed down to eight before July 1st. Bench: to be trimmed down to 8 before July 1st.  I’d drop O’Reilly, Radulov, Olesz, Andrew Ladd, and Mike Smith. I don’t see O’Reilly having all that much fantasy value. Smith will be lucky to see 30-40 games next year, and Ladd is a third line winger.

 

The Recommendations


1) Move Nabokov if you can. I think now may be a good time to sell high on him (assuming you can find a GM who isn’t concerned about the uncertainty of where Nabokov will be playing in 2010-11 and beyond).

 

2) Don’t make bad trades (obvious). Phaneuf trade was horrible. I am very high on Yandle (probably moreso than any other fantasy hockey ‘expert’ at the moment), but even if he doesn’t develop into the 55-65 point defenseman like I think he will, you still lost Subban. It will be interesting to see how Phaneuf responds to being named captain of the Leafs.

 

3) Stand pat. Don’t force trades. If you can’t upgrade without paying through the nose, keep what you have. Boyes and McDonald will both have bounce back seasons in 2010-11. Okposo is going to break out very soon.

 

4) Sell high on Sharp and Seabrook. More exposure during the Cup Final means more trade value. Especially Seabrook – he isn’t nearly as good in fantasy hockey as he is in real life.


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Comments (3)add comment

Ben Burns said:

burnsy00
Much Apperciated Very good article even if I might have overpaid for the next captain of the Leafs. We all have our favorites right. Thanks for all your input Angus! I appreciate all your help and articles on the site, keep it up!smilies/grin.gif
June 08, 2010
Votes: +0

SeaDawg said:

SeaDawg
Phaneuf I see what you are saying reeveat, and tend to agree with you that Phaneuf may have been the best player in the deal, but I think it is about trading a player (or acquring a player) when his value is lowest, and therefore trading only one of Yandle or Subban, plus the pick, might have made more sense. Still, if Phaneuf returns to form, this deal will likely be an even trade for both sides.
June 08, 2010
Votes: +0

reeveat said:

reeveta
Phaneuf trade not so bad I didn't have as much problem with the Phaneuf trade as Angus. Before Mike Green came along Phaneuf was the most valuable defencemen in my fantasy league which has a similiar point scheme. I think there is a good chance that Ben got the best player in the deal.
June 07, 2010
Votes: +0
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