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Los Angeles

Latest trend: 3-1-3 since Jan. 12th, averaging 2.57 goals and 2.29 goals against per game with a 23.1 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

After calling him out in last week’s column, Justin Williams has made me look like an idiot with nine points in his last seven contests. A lot of that could be attributed to the increased SOG where he’s averaging 3.43 per game during this span. Drew Doughty has also seen a spike in production with five points since mid-January.

 

Decliners

It appears that the high priced off-season acquisition of Mike Richards isn’t paying off, as he has just two points in the last seven games. He still carries a big enough name that if you dangled him on the wire, he could still net a decent return.

 

 

Minnesota

Latest trend: 1-3-1 during the last five, averaging 2.2 goals and 3.8 goals against per game with a 16.7 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Since Mikko Koivu’s arm injury, Kyle Brodziak (7 percent Yahoo! owned), has seen a massive increase in ice-time averaging 20:37 per contest during the last five contests. Devin Setoguchi is a career 11.7 percent shooter. If he continues along his trend of 3.8 SOG per game, he could approach his career-high of 31 goals tallied three years ago.

 

Decliners

Prior to this season, Marek Zidlicky was a 0.56 point-per-game player. This campaign he’s just operating at just 0.32. Add that to the fact that he doesn’t contribute much to the peripheral stats (SOG or PIMs), which makes him droppable in one-year leagues.

 

Interesting note: Dany Heatley averages the 17th most ice-time per contest amongst all forwards, but is tied for 64th in scoring. He did have a three point outing last game. Is this the starting point where the stats begin to realign themselves?

 

 

Nashville

Latest trend: 8-1-0 since Jan. 7th, averaging 3.44 goals and 1.56 goals against per game with a whopping 33.3 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Pekka Rinne is 11-1-0 with a 1.65 GAA and a dazzling .946 SP since Dec. 28th. If you want to date it back to Dec. 8th, he’s 16-2-0 with a 2.15 GAA and .929 SP. He’s arguably the number one goalie to own for fantasy hockey. Martin “Mr. Consistent” Erat is at it again with 12 points and 15 SOG in the last nine. His career-high of 57 points is in certainly in jeopardy. Mike Fisher (12 percent Yahoo! owned), is also blazing with 11 points and 21 SOG and a worthwhile roster investment.

 

Decliners

I mentioned Craig Smith as a decliner last week, and seven days later, the situation still remains status quo.

 

Phoenix

Latest trend: 1-3-3 since Jan. 10th, averaging 2.71 goals and 3.29 goals against per game with a 12.5 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Despite owning a 1-2-3 record in his last six starts, Mike Smith still maintains pretty strong peripherals (2.57 GAA and .916 SP). Oliver Ekman-Larsson is really trending upwards as he’s averaging close to 25 minutes per game and getting some solid PP time (2:16), with the Yotes’ “big unit”.

 

Decliners

With OEL trending upwards, someone has to take the hit in ice-time, which unfortunately is Keith Yandle. He’s still receiving decent overall TOI (23:48), but it’s the PP TOI that has really taken a nose dive (1:46 compared to 3:45 prior).

 

 

San Jose

Latest trend: 1-3-1 since Jan. 15th, averaging two goals and three goals against per game with a 18.2 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Danny Boyle has been carrying the Sharks’ offense with four points and 19 SOG in this last little stretch, which is a major problem when you have a blue-liner playing that role for your team. Logan Couture also has three goals in the last two contests and is starting to garner a bit of PP TOI alongside the big unit of Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau, Joe Pavelski and Boyle.

 

Decliners

Patrick Marleau has just one point in the last seven contests. What you do need to keep in mind is that Marleau generally has an end-of-January lull and really picks it back up offensively in March. He has recorded 16 and 19 points in March during the last two seasons.

Interesting note: The trio of Thornton, Marleau and Pavelski have combined for 57 points in 21 away contests, but just 51 in 25 home contests. The Sharks are on the road a lot more from here on out, which might help increase the production of the trio.

 

 

St. Louis

Latest trend: 6-1-1 since Jan. 7th, averaging 2.38 goals and a stingy 1.25 goals against per game with a 12.9 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

David Backes has been on fire with nine points and 20 SOG during this eight game span. After a slow start to the season, Alex Pietrangelo has finally joined the offensive rush with nine points and a whopping 30 SOG all while averaging 24:10 per contest since Jan. 7th.

 

Decliners

Despite averaging 17:46 per contest, 2:38 of which is on the PP, Patrik Berglund has just a lone point during the last eight contests. He’s essentially droppable in one-year leagues moving forward.

 

 

Vancouver

Latest trend: 5-2-1 since Jan. 4th, averaging three goals and 2.63 goals against per game with a 20.6 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Should the Nucks play Cody Hodgson more? Click here for a great breakdown. Hard to argue when he has seven points in eight contests averaging just 13:24 per game. There are always one or two players that throw my points/TOI theory out of whack. Milan Lucic, last year, with 62 points while averaging 16:34, Jussi Jokinen, in 2009-10, with 65 points while averaging 16:48 and Devin Setoguchi, in 2008-09, with 65 points while averaging 16:12. Could Hodgson hit 50 averaging just 13?

 

Decliners

With David Booth returning from his knee injury, it has completely destroyed the value of both Mason Raymond and Jannik Hansen, as both are just seeing next to zero time on the PP.

Interesting note: Roberto Luongo has splits of 2.16 and .925 at home compared to 2.68 and .908 on the road. Cory Schneider is 2.21 and .932 on the road, but 2.48 and .918 at home. Could the Nucks play the odds and start Schneider more on the road and Luongo more at home?

 

 

Questions or comments? As always I’ll discuss them in the section below.

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Comments (5)add comment

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
RE: Berglund To be fair last time he did that he had 2 points in the next 13 games, so don't hold your breath expecting him to maintain this pace.
January 26, 2012
Votes: +0

derek said:

buck0198
PB Patrik Berglund had 2 goals last night...he musta read an advanced copy of your piece.
January 25, 2012
Votes: +0

Ryan Ma said:

Maaaasquito
RE: 20 year-old Yep MPS it is!
January 24, 2012
Votes: +0

Steffen said:

Steffen
Paajarvi? Did you mean Paajarvi when you wrote about Edmonton maybe moving a 20-year-old?
January 24, 2012
Votes: +0

horrorfan said:

horrorfan
Great! Nicely done Ryan - thanks for the effort!
January 24, 2012
Votes: +0
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