Fantasy Guide is updated through September 09 - the latest update has info on how to join the annual 3-tiered invitational - 105 people in a multi-season battle for ultimate glory: taking myself and the other expert fantasy hockey writers of this site down in the Expert Tier. Last year, Ryan Ma came out on top holding off DobberHockey reader Peter Hadley. Hadley worked his way through the other two tiers over two seasons to get his shot, and he did well enough to earn a rematch. I also put the details of how to enter in the "site announcements" of the forum.

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7:30pm ET - DobberProspects is now clean, with relevant software upgraded. Sorry for any trouble, and if you see any issues please let me know. But click away, I lost five days worth of traffic!

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The Taylor vs. Tyler saga continues. The Bruins signed Tyler Seguin to a six-year deal worth $34.5 million. Earlier, the Oilers signed Taylor Hall to a seven-year deal worth $35 million. Hall's seventh year is guaranteed, but Seguin could make more than him over the next seven years by making $7.5 million in the first year of his next contract. If I were an NHL GM, I would look at health - and consider Seguin a safer contract, thus he should get more. Using Hall as a measuring stick, the Bruins got a great deal here.

 

The Taylor vs. Tyler saga continues. The Bruins signed Tyler Seguin to a six-year deal worth $34.5 million. Earlier, the Oilers signed Taylor Hall to a seven-year deal worth $35 million. Hall's seventh year is guaranteed, but Seguin could make more than him over the next seven years by making $7.5 million in the first year of his next contract. If I were an NHL GM, I would look at health - and consider Seguin a safer contract, thus he should get more. Using Hall as a measuring stick, the Bruins got a great deal here.

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As of 1am ET, the DobberProspects hack-job is still an issue. An annoying piece of code, originating from Russia, is hidden somewhere in the haystack and it keeps spewing a couple of dozen annoying little codes that try to forward the reader to a shitty site that nobody cares about. Anyone with virus protection would never get forwarded to a site like that, and it's only on 25 out of over 1000 pages. We can find those little codes and clean them up and we have cleaned them up four times now… but the mothership, that one little pain-in-the-ass code is hidden somewhere and it keeps regenerating the code that gets cleaned up. To be frank, it is possible that we'll need to wipe the site and build it again, hopefully just transferring most of the content back over.

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My Hockey News column this week, on the offseason look for Chicago and Carolina, will up later today instead of the usual Monday slot.

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Ridiculous lack of news right now. Not even CBA chatter to touch on. It's September 11, generally some last minute RFA's are signed, the prospects tournaments have all wrapped up and we're gearing for training camp.

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Jeff Angus is at it again with another good one over at Angus Certified. He takes a look at the 50 NHL players with the most trade value. Easily the most interesting read you will find this morning if you're a hockey fan.

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RDS is reporting that the NHL and NHLPA have agreed on a collective bargaining contract special waiver period, lasting from now until Saturday. This allows players on two-way contracts to play in the AHL, and then get recalled to the NHL without having to clear re-entry waivers.

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The Lightning have signed Nikita Kucherov to an entry-level deal. That's pretty big news, as he has loads of talent and yet he had been playing in Russia so far in his career - so there were definite KHL question marks.

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Calgary fans, take a look at this analysis of the Flames' forwards over at The Hockey Writers.

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I went to the land of Twitter for some topics…

My preferred league setups - I'm in three keeper leagues, two of them are "keep all" and one is "keep 12". Two of them count the Top XX at the end of the season and points carry over in trades - and those two also roll into the postseason. The other one is also points only, but with a couple extra categories and weekly lineups and waiver claims. All three have merit. I do prefer keeper leagues over one-year leagues, because in a keeper league a failed year doesn't mean "pack it in". You can always set yourself up for next year. So you're analyzing and working on your team 365 days a year, no matter the outcome.

I prefer the full keeper. I understand that it means that any type of rebuild is painfully long, but to me that's realism. The Penguins and Blackhawks had painfully long rebuilds. The Oilers are still at it. And not all rebuilds work out - just ask Columbus. Rebuilding presents its own set of challenges. The reward is so much greater when you crawl back on top.

I don't mind weekly moves, I can't do daily moves. I miss too many days - my business ebbs and flows. Some days there isn't much to do…but other days I'm eating at my desk and going to bed at 3am. Too inconsistent a schedule.

As far as rotisserie goes, I prefer a 6-3 or 7-3 format, offense-goaltending. If it's 6-4 then goaltenders win or lose your season.

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Top 3 breakout players for next year :

1. Jakub Voracek

2. Tyler Ennis

3. Dustin Brown

I also like Niklas Kronwall, for defensemen, though he already had a big season but that was a few years ago so he should count.

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How does a condensed schedule affect goalie values?

Well, for one thing - goalies are streaky. Very hot and cold. In a 60-game season (I think that's what we're looking at), that means fewer streaks. So you better hope your guy has them of the hot variety. For example - Ryan Miller would not have had the chance to turn his ugly season around last year if there were 22 fewer games.

You're also looking at a more extreme situation in terms of "boom or bust" when it comes to Band-Aid Boys. Glass half full: they only need to stay healthy for four months instead of six. Glass half empty: If they get hurt for two months, they miss 50% of the season instead of 33%

Martin Brodeur sticks out, to me, as the goalie who will benefit the most. For obvious reasons.

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Mike Green? That was the entire question, but great topic. I've been kicking tires about Green all summer. Not really pushing, but I'm looking for a good deal. I think the surgery that he had has solved things and that the new coach also helps - and I still think if a trade a 50-point defenseman for him I will get the better of the deal. Worth the risk at that price point, but his general Band-Aidness makes me hesitant to pay more. Like I said, just sniffing for deals.

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"People who can replace Bettman, and how" - I've said this before, Bettman deserves a raise. Not from us the fans. Certainly not from myself (I stand to lose 25% of my income this year if the lockout goes deep). But from the owners - his bosses. He is making them billions. Would you fire a guy who is making you millions, just because a few hundred thousand people dislike him?

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Craig Smith - I think he's taking a step forward. I think he tired by the midpoint, but this won't be as much of an issue this year - especially if it's a 60-game season. In fact, if it's a 60-game season then I can see him topping 45 points. It definitely would benefit him.

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Remember the Craig Smith empty net miss?


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Comments (5)add comment

Pengwin7 said:

Pengwin7
Great Rambling... but Brown !?? Excellent rambling, one of my favourites of the off-season.
I think everybody is on board with the Voracek & Ennis picks for break-outs.

Not sure I'm on board with the Dustin Brown breakout.
He has been a model of consistency with 5 straight years of 50-60points.
He plays 82 games every year, 15-20 PPP every year, 200-250 SOG... most every year.
...25-32 assists every year. 40-70 PIM every year.

Also playing a full 82-game year almost every year, Anze Kopitar.
Another guy playing a full 82-game year last year... Justin Williams.

LA is a solid team, but I do expect a cup hangover.
Especially with Mike Richards (my fave player) & Jeff Carter, I think the whole club gets a bit of a chill-rub where they have a hard time ramping up until they are back in the playoffs.

If everything goes right (again), Dustin Brown might be a 60-62 pt player.
If there is one bump (which there typically hasn't been), he could be sub 50s.

You spend a good part of the rambling talking about the benefit of a shortened season for "boom or bust" band-aid boys. I think that was a very sharp catch. But, at the same time, it is the full 82-game season that makes Dustin Brown worth as much as he has been worth (because he rises above those band-aid boys & their missed games).

September 11, 2012
Votes: -1

SharkMeat said:

SharkMeat
great job Dobber...great read, but more importantly with the mentions of other sites content you have become my go to place for all fantasy hockey. The ramblings were always full of insight and now a lot more information to read every day....thanks for doing such a great job of making Dobber Hockey the only site to visit, unless an article is mentioned, of course....
September 11, 2012
Votes: +0

DarthVain said:

DarthVain
"People who can replace Bettman, and how" Inanimate carbon rod?

Bag of pucks?

A small pack of forest squirrels?
September 11, 2012
Votes: +0

Dobber said:

Dobber
... I think in the guide I said he had something like 40 points in his last 40 games including playoffs. I don't think he'll get 80, but I could see high 60s. Not really a "break out" I guess, but his name jumped out at me
September 11, 2012
Votes: +0

Shoeless said:

Shoeless
Brown Breakout That took me by surprise. As an owner, I'll take it, but I wonder where your optimism is coming from?
September 11, 2012
Votes: +0
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