OlliJokinen


Five players with good schedules worth targetting in Week 12.

 

Detroit Red Wings = Target

 

Games: 6 (5H/1A)

Favorable Matchups:

    - vs. Calgary

        > 3rd worst defensive team

        > Reto Berra: 3.18 GAA / .896 SV% / 0 SHO

        > Karri Ramo: 2.82 GAA / .903 SV% / 0 SHO

    - @ Toronto

        > 9th worst defensive team

        > 5th worst PK

        > Most shots allowed per game

        > 17 goals allowed in the past four games

    - vs. NY Islanders

        > 3rd worst defensive team

        > Worst PK

        > One game in past month allowing fewer than three goals

 

The Wings have an upcoming home stand that starts out tough with Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay and Anaheim coming to town.  But then Detroit will get their offense going with a visit from Calgary, a trip to Toronto for a Winter Classic appetizer and then the Islanders coming to the Joe.  The Wings had a run of games with no Pavel Datsyuk or Henrik Zetterberg in their lineup, so naturally they struggled to score in those games.  But they actually weren’t that bad.  Datsyuk is back but no Zetterberg until the 28th, at the earliest.  As long as it isn’t in the shootout, your Wings should be a decent bet to put up some points over the next two weeks.

 


Toronto Maple Leafs = Consider

 

Games: 6 (4H/2A)

Favorable Matchups:

    - vs. Florida

        > 4th worst defensive team

        > 3rd worst PK

        > 25 goals allowed in the past seven games

    - vs. Phoenix

        > 5th worst defensive team

        > 4th worst PK

        > 5th most shots allowed per game

   

Seems like the two Winter Classic participants are looking good as fantasy targets for the next week or two leading up to the big game.  That’s good news for HBO.  The Leafs have been having a rough go over the past two or three weeks, winning only two games in their past ten.  Outside of Phil Kessel and James van Riemsdyk, there haven’t been many Maple Leafs lighting the lamp much.  That should turn around in the final couple weeks of 2013.

 

Chicago Blackhawks = Beware

 

Games: 5 (3H/2A)

Unfavorable Matchups:

    - vs. Los Angeles

        > Best defensive team

        > 7th best PK

        > 5th fewest shots allowed per game

    - vs. Vancouver

        > 8th best defensive team

        > Best PK

        > 8th fewest shots allowed per game

    - vs. New Jersey

        > 10th best defensive team

        > 3rd best PK

        > Fewest shots allowed per game

 

I know what you’re thinking.  I must be on crack, right?  Beware of starting Blackhawks?  You mean the team that just scored six or more goals in three straight games (19 goals)?  Sure thing buddy.  Don’t quit your day job.  This might be a stretch, but hear me out.  The Hawks are the best offensive team in the NHL right now, averaging over two goals more per game than the pathetic Buffalo Sabres (in fact, you should always avoid the Sabres, every week).  Oh wait, that wasn’t a reason to beware of starting your Blackhawks.  Right.  Their 19 goals in the last three games were against Florida, Dallas and Philadelphia, so not exactly the stingiest of teams.  Chicago travels to Toronto on Saturday and will probably snipe Bernier/Reimer for a few goals to make me look bad, and I don’t doubt it.  The difficult part of their schedule comes next.  The next night, the Los Angeles Kings and Martin Jones come to town.  Then they play the Predators, Canucks and Devils before taking three days off for Christmas.  Just temper your expectations and only expect five goals a night, not six.

 

Carolina Hurricanes = Avoid

 

Games: 4 (2H/2A)

Unfavorable Matchups:

    - The Hurricanes actually don’t have bad matchups, it’s just the lack of games.  Check out this schedule:

        > Saturday in Phoenix

        > Five days off

        > Back-to-back with Washington coming to town and then traveling to Tampa Bay

        > Columbus comes to town two days later

        > Three days off for Christmas

 

 

Possible Pickups

Here’s a list of some players, owned in less than 30% of Yahoo leagues, to target for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule.

 

Toronto: David Clarkson (20%) – In a points-only league, he’s a bust, just like the Leafs are learning.  But if your league tracks SOG, Hits and/or PIMs, he can still have decent value.  Any points would just be gravy.

 

Ottawa: Mike Zibanejad (6%) – Had him here last week and he put up two assists in his next game, but then nothing in his next three.  He’s still on the top line with Jason Spezza and now Clarke MacArthur.

 

Winnipeg: Olli Jokinen (11%) – Five points in the past five games.  He’s not the 100-point player he used to be, but he gives the Jets some secondary scoring while getting PP2 time.

 

Pittsburgh: Jayson Megna (0%) – Two points and +3 in the last four games.  He was taking Evgeni Malkin’s spot while he was injured.  Now he is taking James Neal’s spot while he’s suspended.

 

Colorado: John Mitchell (1%) – All of Colorado’s top six are owned in at least 41% of leagues.  So that leaves their third line center as one the remaining options if the Avalanche schedule fits your roster.

 

 

Light Day Targets

Want to know what teams to target based on their schedule landing on light days for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule?

 

Week: Monday, December 16 through Sunday, December 22

 

Monday: 8 teams

Tuesday: 24 teams

Wednesday: 4 teams

Thursday: 22 teams

Friday: 10 teams

Saturday: 24 teams

Sunday: 4 teams

 

We have a heavy Tuesday/Thursday/Saturday schedule again (11 or 12 games on each).  Wednesday and Sunday are really light with only two games on each day.

 

So what teams have a good schedule for the light days?

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thur

Fri

Sat

Sun

Winnipeg Jets

X

X

 

 

X

 

X

New York Rangers

 

 

X

 

X

 

X

Pittsburgh Penguins

X

 

X

X

 

X

 

Ottawa Senators

X

 

X

X

 

X

 

Vancouver Canucks

 

X

 

X

X

 

X

 

Friday, December 13 to Thursday, December 19

Best Bets

Pittsburgh (4.89) - 5 Games: NJ, @DET, TOR, @NYR, MIN

Montreal (4.36) - 4 Games: @NYI, FLA, PHX, @STL

Toronto (4.27) - 4 Games: CHI, @PIT, FLA, PHX

Detroit (4.25) - 4 Games: PIT, TB, ANH, CGY

Los Angeles (4.20) - 4 Games: @OTW, @CHI, EDM, SJ

Steer Clear

Carolina (1.05) - 1 Games: @PHX

NY Islanders (1.94) - 2 Games: MTL, TB

NY Rangers (2.15) - 2 Games: CGY, PIT

Anaheim (2.16) - 2 Games: EDM, @DET

San Jose (2.57) - 3 Games: @NSH, @STL, @LA

Saturday, December 14 to Friday, December 20

Best Bets

Winnipeg (4.40) - 4 Games: DAL, @CBJ, @BUF, FLA

Montreal (4.36) - 4 Games: @NYI, FLA, PHX, @STL

Toronto (4.27) - 4 Games: CHI, @PIT, FLA, PHX

Detroit (4.25) - 4 Games: PIT, TB, ANH, CGY

Los Angeles (4.20) - 4 Games: @OTW, @CHI, EDM, SJ

Steer Clear

Carolina (2.15) - 2 Games: @PHX, WSH

Edmonton (2.57) - 3 Games: @ANH, @LA, @COL

San Jose (2.57) - 3 Games: @NSH, @STL, @LA

Minnesota (2.71) - 3 Games: @COL, VAN, @PIT

NY Islanders (2.89) - 3 Games: MTL, TB, @NYR

Sunday, December 15 to Saturday, December 21

Best Bets

Detroit (4.31) - 4 Games: TB, ANH, CGY, @TOR

Philadelphia (4.30) - 4 Games: @WSH, WSH, CBJ, @CBJ

Toronto (4.27) - 4 Games: @PIT, FLA, PHX, DET

Tampa Bay (4.24) - 4 Games: @DET, @NYI, NSH, CAR

Ottawa (4.21) - 4 Games: STL, @NJ, FLA, PHX

Steer Clear

Minnesota (1.85) - 2 Games: VAN, @PIT

Carolina (2.05) - 2 Games: WSH, @TB

San Jose (2.72) - 3 Games: @STL, @LA, DAL

Buffalo (2.75) - 3 Games: WPG, BOS, @BOS

Vancouver (2.76) - 3 Games: @MIN, @DAL, @CHI

Monday, December 16 to Sunday, December 22

Best Bets

Toronto (4.27) - 4 Games: @PIT, FLA, PHX, DET

Ottawa (4.21) - 4 Games: STL, @NJ, FLA, PHX

Winnipeg (4.20) - 4 Games: @CBJ, @BUF, FLA, @VAN

Pittsburgh (4.15) - 4 Games: TOR, @NYR, MIN, CGY

Colorado (4.07) - 4 Games: DAL, @DAL, EDM, @LA

Steer Clear

Chicago (1.95) - 2 Games: @NSH, VAN

Carolina (2.05) - 2 Games: WSH, @TB

Edmonton (2.56) - 3 Games: @LA, @COL, STL

Calgary (2.61) - 3 Games: @BOS, @DET, @PIT

San Jose (2.72) - 3 Games: @STL, @LA, DAL

Tuesday, December 17 to Monday, December 23

Best Bets

Detroit (4.52) - 4 Games: ANH, CGY, @TOR, NYI

Tampa Bay (4.39) - 4 Games: @NYI, NSH, CAR, @FLA

Toronto (4.36) - 4 Games: FLA, PHX, DET, @NYR

Boston (4.36) - 4 Games: CGY, @BUF, BUF, @NSH

Los Angeles (4.25) - 4 Games: EDM, SJ, COL, DAL

Steer Clear

Chicago (2.95) - 3 Games: @NSH, VAN, NJ

Montreal (2.96) - 3 Games: PHX, @STL, @NSH

Columbus (3.00) - 3 Games: @PHI, PHI, @CAR

Carolina (3.21) - 3 Games: WSH, @TB, CBJ

Calgary (3.56) - 4 Games: @BOS, @DET, @PIT, STL

Wednesday, December 18 to Tuesday, December 24

Best Bets

Ottawa (4.21) - 4 Games: @NJ, FLA, PHX, PIT

NY Rangers (4.20) - 4 Games: PIT, NYI, MIN, TOR

New Jersey (4.15) - 4 Games: OTW, ANH, @WSH, @CHI

Pittsburgh (4.10) - 4 Games: @NYR, MIN, CGY, @OTW

Detroit (3.47) - 3 Games: CGY, @TOR, NYI

Steer Clear

Montreal (1.81) - 2 Games: @STL, @NSH

Chicago (2.00) - 2 Games: VAN, NJ

Dallas (2.66) - 3 Games: VAN, @SJ, @LA

Nashville (2.74) - 3 Games: @TB, MTL, BOS

Calgary (2.75) - 3 Games: @DET, @PIT, STL

Thursday, December 19 to Wednesday, December 25

Best Bets

Detroit (3.47) - 3 Games: CGY, @TOR, NYI

Ottawa (3.31) - 3 Games: FLA, PHX, PIT

NY Rangers (3.26) - 3 Games: NYI, MIN, TOR

Tampa Bay (3.25) - 3 Games: NSH, CAR, @FLA

Carolina (3.21) - 3 Games: WSH, @TB, CBJ

Steer Clear

Montreal (1.81) - 2 Games: @STL, @NSH

Chicago (2.00) - 2 Games: VAN, NJ

Dallas (2.66) - 3 Games: VAN, @SJ, @LA

Nashville (2.74) - 3 Games: @TB, MTL, BOS

Calgary (2.75) - 3 Games: @DET, @PIT, STL


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