ThomasVanek

 

Fantasy Impact: The New York Islanders have traded Matt Moulson, a first round pick in 2014 and a second round pick in 2015 to the Buffalo Sabres for Tomas Vanek.

 

 

The Sabres get: an underrated pure goal scorer who rarely misses time from injury, as well as two fantastic draft picks. After three consecutive seasons of 30-plus goals, Moulson slipped a little last year with a pro-rated 26 goals - but his assists skyrocketed and his point total was a career best 0.94. As good as Moulson is, there are some camps who feel that John Tavares was the reason for the success. They're probably right.

 

 

The Islanders get: a pure goal scorer who reached the 40-goal mark twice (and, pro-rated, did it a third time last season) while playing with linemates who are not up to the Tavares level.

 

Both players are in the final year of a contract and either could become unrestricted free agents in the summer.

 

 

Fantasy Players Impacted: Since the deal involves only two players who play the same position and the same role, the rest of the team is unaffected. Cody Hodgson will play with Moulson instead of Vanek, while Tavares plays with Vanek instead of Moulson. So the main players impacted are the components of the deal.

 

Without Tavares, Moulson is still a solid goal scorer. But not (career high) 36 goals. Not even 30 goals. Still, with top-line billing and ice time, he's still pretty safe for 20 and possibly even 25. Where he signs in the offseason will determine how well he does in the future. He needs a quality center and he has proven to be a very capable - even elite - complimentary player. Of the 223 points that he tallied with the Islanders, 196 of them were earned while Tavares was on the ice with him.

 

Meanwhile, Vanek's dream just came true. If there is chemistry between he and Tavares - and that's no guarantee, let's not get ahead of ourselves - then 50 goals could happen. And if Vanek gets 50 goals, J.T. is topping 100 points. Those two stats would go hand in hand.

 

 

Fantasy Players this helps, in order:

1. Vanek

2. Tavares

 

 

Fantasy Players this hurts, in order:

1. Moulson

 

 

 

 


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MGW said:

MGW
Tavares a shoot first player? I have a hard time understanding what the problem is with Vanek playing with Tavares. Although Vanek may be shoot first, Tavares is an elite young player and he will likely do a decent job adjusting to his surroundings. Furthermore, what was Moulsen if not shoot first?

I don't really understand this deal from the prospective of NYI, are they really getting a better player for their team?

Also, it's likely Moulsen will get all the chance he can handle to produce and will likely do so.
October 29, 2013
Votes: +0

mabus said:

mabus
... I'll disagree with this analysis on Vanek/Tavares. Vanek is a shoot-first winger. Players with similar Goal/Assist totals rarely swing the production of their linemates in a significant way when they switch teams, unless they are going to be paired with another shoot first person. In those cases, the results are disastrous. Think Jeff Carter, Marian Gaborik and Rick Nash. Every time one of these guys moves, Dobber says everyone gets a bump, but it just doesn't happen in reality. In fact, putting two of them together often hurts production of both.

I give it four weeks before Vanek is on the second line and is only playing with Tavares on the powerplay. I also expect to see a drop in production from Tavares until Vanek is moved down.
October 29, 2013
Votes: +0

rob2kx said:

rob2kx
... I think you're dead wrong about Moulson. Bet you a copy of next year's Fantasy pack that he hits 30+ as per usual this year.
October 28, 2013
Votes: +0

braaksma said:

braaksma
Moulson I currently own Moulson in a keeper league (only players 32 and under) and I kind of have mixed feelings about this. Sure Moulson loses playing with Johnny T but now he is the guy in Buffalo. I still project around 30 goals and around 60 points. Who knows.... maybe he will like the increase in responsibility. ALso Vanek isn't a lock to immedietly improve. Takes time for a guy to settle in, and maybe vanek likes doing it all himself. He certainly will have to share the puck a little more
October 28, 2013
Votes: -1

donpaulo said:

donpaulo
... Moulson is a class act and should help the struggling Sabres, the picks are gravy at this point. Down the road obviously they have to make the right selections.

My question is how long does it take Vanek to settle in with JT ?
October 28, 2013
Votes: +0

Shoeless said:

Shoeless
Sweet!! In a keeper league I own Vanek - I am going for it this season and had strongly considered moving him. Glad I waited. I like the deal for both teams. Kind of a win-win trade.
October 28, 2013
Votes: +0

Shoeless said:

Shoeless
Sweet!! In a keeper league I own Vanek - I am going for it this season and had strongly considered moving him. Glad I waited. I like the deal for both teams. Kind of a win-win trade.
October 28, 2013
Votes: +0

Shift Disturber said:

Shift Disturber
... Nice analysis and good effort to get it posted so soon. Moulson may benefit as he spent some time on the third line this year did he not? Also, Tavares and Vanek are both primarily shooters so that could impact their performance. Maybe the play on separate lines and together on the PP?
October 27, 2013
Votes: +1

Dobber said:

Dobber
... Hodgson is on pace for 57 points and I would bet that Hodgson has 57 points at the end of the season. Vanek wasn't clicking well with him.
October 27, 2013
Votes: +2

austeane said:

austeane
Hodgson You don't think Hodgson is hurt by this deal? They might have to go to offense by committee, and I don't know if Hodgson can drive his own line.. For as much as Vanek helps JT, Moulson hurts Hodgson.
October 27, 2013
Votes: +0
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