Staal

 

The Hurricanes have reunited Jordan with older brother Eric in a draft day shocker. The full trade: Jordan Staal to Carolina in exchange for Brandon Sutter, prospect Brian Dumoulin, and the 8th overall pick in 2012 (Pittsburgh selected defenseman Derrick Pouliot).

 

Carolina gets:

 

A big, rangy center with two-way abilities. Staal’s offense will now have an opportunity to shine on Carolina’s second line. He has done some heavy lifting for the Penguins behind Crosby and Malkin ever since getting drafted back in 2006. Staal’s linemates last season at even strength:

 

Frequency

Strength

Line Combination

13.59%

EV

24 COOKE,MATT - 48 KENNEDY,TYLER - 11 STAAL,JORDAN

10.47%

EV

9 DUPUIS,PASCAL - 11 STAAL,JORDAN - 26 SULLIVAN,STEVE

10.04%

EV

9 DUPUIS,PASCAL - 14 KUNITZ,CHRIS - 11 STAAL,JORDAN


That being said, Sutter didn’t play with top talent, either. The Hurricanes had Jussi Jokinen at center. You can bet he’ll be moving back to the wing. Sutter’s linemates from last season:

 

Frequency

Strength

Line Combination

18.87%

EV

39 DWYER,PATRICK - 14 NODL,ANDREAS - 16 SUTTER,BRANDON

16.15%

EV

39 DWYER,PATRICK - 16 SUTTER,BRANDON - 19 TLUSTY,JIRI

6.57%

EV

39 DWYER,PATRICK - 23 PONIKAROVSKY,ALEXEI - 16 SUTTER,BRANDON

6.13%

EV

21 BOWMAN,DRAYSON - 39 DWYER,PATRICK - 16 SUTTER,BRANDON

 

Pittsburgh gets:

 

A big, rangy center with two-way abilities (copy and paste). Sutter plays a lot like Staal – not quite as good, but he is gritty and will fill the checking/defensive role very well behind Crosby and Malkin. The Penguins reacted swiftly when Staal rejected their 10-year contract extension offer. Sutter is a great replacement.

 

Sutter has two years left on his current contract ($2 million cap hit).

 

Dumoulin is a smooth skating prospect who projects as a top four NHL defenseman.

 

From the 2012 DobberHockey Fantasy Prospects Report:

 

Hockey East’s “Best Defensive Defenseman” for two years running has also showed a flair for moving the puck. The raw tools are all there, and it has Carolina management drooling and other GM’s envious. With Justin Faulk and Jamie McBain on board, and Ryan Murphy on the way, the ‘Canes have four young future studs. Because of those other three kids, it is likely that Dumoulin will play more of a shutdown role. The guy is huge at 6-4, 210. And as noted – his defensive talents are the best in college hockey. So that untapped offensive potential will probably remain untapped. But as with what we saw this past season with New York’s Ryan McDonagh, he should have fantasy value in spurts.

 

Upside – Ryan McDonagh (8-30-38+, 50 PIM)

3YP - (6-18-24, 46 PIM)

Certainty (NHLer; Upside) - 85%, 35%

Expected arrival – Will have cups of coffee with club/get a look this year, full-time in 2013-14

DobberHockey Draft Advice – Do not draft this year or next. A long-term prospect.”

 

Derrick Pouliot, like Dumoulin, is a great skating defenseman who projects as a top four blue liner at the NHL level.


From the Fantasy Prospects Report:


Derrick Pouliot – D (Portland, WHL)

 

The Portland Winterhawks have become one of the CHL’s best hockey factories producing several high-profiled NHL drafted players including Sven Bärtschi, Ty Rattie, Joe Morrow, Ryan Johansen and Nino Niederreiter, among many others. Portland made defenseman Derrick Pouliot first overall in the 2009 WHL Bantam Draft and he is on his way to joining the abovementioned Winterhawks as a NHL first round pick. In Pouliot’s draft year, he finished among the WHL’s top defensemen in scoring notching 59 points, placing him fourth. Not overly big, Pouliot’s deceptively strong accurate point shot, swift skating skills and elite passing ability makes him a dangerous offensive option with the man-advantage. At this point, Pouliot is a bit of a project but playing on a skilled Portland team will certainly help his development.

 

Upside: No. 3 offensive defenseman (Brian Campbell), 7-43-50

 

Fantasy Players Impacted:

 

This move boosts Staal’s value tremendously. He was ninth among Penguins players with 1:59 of PP time per game last season. He will still play important defensive minutes for the Hurricanes, but he will be given a lot more responsibility from an offensive standpoint, too.

 

This move likely means Jussi Jokinen is back on the wing (although he could play the third line role behind the Staal brothers, too).

 

I am very interested to see how this impacts Malkin, Neal, and Crosby. All three saw pretty easy minutes thanks to Staal over the past few seasons. Sutter is very good defensively, but he isn’t as good as Staal (yet, at least).

 

Neal and Malkin started most of their shifts in the offensive zone, because Staal would do the cleaning up defensively. Again, will be interesting to see how Sutter handles the role in Pittsburgh. He did start less than 40% of his shifts in the offensive zone, though. I’m not sure how much this affects his value – less offensive opportunities potentially, but much better players around him.

 

Dumoulin is probably a year or two away from NHL action. This creates more competition among Pittsburgh prospects. Pouliot is a few years away too. The Penguins got to see a lot of Pouliot in Portland – he is teammates of their 2011 1st round pick – fellow defenseman Joe Morrow. As the saying goes, you can never have enough good defensemen.

 

Players this helps:

 

1. Jordan Staal

2. Jiri Tlusty

3. Jokinen

4. Jeff Skinner

5. Eric Staal

5. Any other Carolina winger

6. Cam Ward

 

Players this hurts:

 

1. Malkin

2. Neal

3. Crosby

4. Tyler Kennedy

5. Matt Cooke

6. Marc-Andre Fleury

 

And to make this move more interesting.....

 

RT @JoshYohe_Trib: Hearing from multiple sources that the Penguins are very serious about attempting to sign Zach Parise in July

 

Full fantasy breakdowns on all of Friday’s trades will be coming later on Saturday, including Ribeiro to Washington, Visnovsky to Long Island, and anything else that transpires.  


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Comments (2)add comment

Corstyles said:

Corstyles
My guess Jordan Staal 2012-2013
75 GP, 30 G, 35 A, 65 PTS, 40 PIM, +10, 15 PPP, 220 SOG
June 23, 2012
Votes: +1

Knuckles said:

10th rounder
... Any one care to guess at Jordan Staal's stats next year or if you prefer the Dobber approach; Upside & 3 Yr Projection?

Does this trade make him close to a PPG player?
June 22, 2012
Votes: +0
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