Malkin

 

Owning Pittsburgh players on your fantasy roster can be tough at times (interchangeable parts up front), but malkin’ Evgeni for points when he's healthy is as easy as it gets. Malkin has seen a resurgence of sorts after a slow start to the season after recovering from knee surgery. Poolies have been happy to see him return to his dominant ways, one that includes a recent five-point performance and puts him on pace for an expected 103 points over 74 games. If Malkin could ask for anything for Christmas it would be brand new knees, but poolies are already getting what the want from Santa, and that's top-notch production.

 

Comparing Malkin's cost/point ratio to Ovechkin's and Crosby's puts his production into an elite perspective. Like Crosby, Malkin will miss a handful of games each year due to his knee issues, some where he will avoid the IR for “maintenance” days, so any season under 65 games played will consider his pace rather than his actual production.

 

Year

Cost/goal

Cost/point

Cost/sog

Cost/pim

Cost/ppp

2007/08

$185,106

$82,075

$31,985

$111,538

$263,636

2008/09

$248,571

$76,991

$30,000

$108,750

$280,645

2009/10

$310,741

$112,987

$32,462

$87,000

$310,714

2010/11

pace – 43gp

$300,000

$124,285

$25,217

$255,882

$322,222

2011/12

on pace

$212,195

$81,308

$24,099

$142,622

$217,500

 

Not generally considered a goal scorer, Malkin has 50-goal potential which is evident from his 47-goal campaign in 2007/08. His big shot is utilized from the point on the Penguin's first power-play unit which translates into plenty of shots on goal and, in turn, goals. His penalty minute totals are as consistent as they come and his cost/pim ratio of $141,158 is better than Ovechkin's $185,508 whom, at one point, I would have considered the better PIM option. The biggest fluctuation will come in the goals category and his power-play totals are the only negative trend (the Penguin's PP has struggled the last couple of years), but Malkin's averages are very consistent and his current pace is right on superstar track. His power play production is on pace to obliterate his previous totals, a fantastic sign for all Penguin's players. Let's see how his averages compare to his biggest fantasy rivals in Ovechkin and Crosby.

 

Average over five seasons

Crosby

Ovechkin

Malkin

Cost per goal

$243,916

$237,491

$251,323

Cost per point

$78,599

$106,654

$95,529

Cost per sog

$30,556

$25,085

$28,753

Cost per pim

$125,685

$185,508

$141,158

Cost per ppp

$239,033

$290,874

$278,943

 

In bold is the best average for each category. Malkin looks to be the odd man out as the only one  without a categorical win. Looking closer, though, Malkin comes out ahead of Ovechkin in every category that Crosby leads. Ovechkin is the leader in the categories that he “should” be, but with his declining production, neither Malkin nor Crosby are very far of his averages. One or two more years could easily see those even out, especially considering the extra $800,000 cap hit that comes with owning Ovechkin.

 

With Crosby out, Malkin becomes the leader of this team and his production actually increases. Malkin has put his team on his shoulders and posted 15-points in a six game streak since Crosby went back on the IR with concussion-like symptoms. His ice-time should remain high and the offense will run through him. We'll look at how his ice-time has trended in the past five years and how it correlates with his production.

 

Year

Average TOI

Average powerplay TOI

Points per game

2007/08

21:19

05:01

1.29

2008/09

22:30

05:33

1.38

2009/10

20:50

04:52

1.15

2010/11

19:49

05:20

0.86

2011/12

20:55

05:01

1.44

 

While Malkin may have lost a minute of ice time since his biggest season in 07/08 and 08/09, if his current pace is any indicator it will not hold him back. It's safe to say the numbers tell us that the more ice-time he gets the more he will produce, but that can be said for most players. The important part to note is that his averages are very consistent and the slight dip in ice-time is more representative of a better team around him as well as the injuries that may force the team to hold him back just a bit. His resurgence has been a blessing to frantic poolies wondering whether to hang on to the once sputtering superstar, considering his injuries and off-year, but to those who hung on, kudos. Malkin is, and always will be a superstar – health permitting. Play him with confidence in your salary cap league.

 

Next up will be a look at a couple of players who come with a price tag big enough to choke a horse, but are a step below the elite three previously discussed. Rick Nash and Eric Staal are fantastic NHL players and extremely important to their respective teams, but are they worth owning considering the massive amount of cap space they demand?


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Comments (6)add comment

Ryan Goddard said:

ridinryan44
... Have to agree with Frank here. Even though Giroux may be more cost effective than Malkin, until he posts numbers (and consistently) like Malkin's. His trajectory is going nowhere but up, but his numbers aren't as impressive as Malkin's as early as Malkin's were. Giroux is turning into a stud but I definitely wouldn't draft him before Malkin in a regular league, nor in one with a salary cap.
December 23, 2011
Votes: +1

Frank said:

NoUseForAName
Giroux vs Malkin you cannot even compare Giroux to Malkin. Sure this year Giroux is posting great numbers, but Malkin posted 85pts in his very first season (in 78gp) Giroux, on his side, had only 74pts in his first 126gp!!! Malkin is 1.21ppg in his 379 games in career! ... Let see if Giroux can do that. Cause right now, he is only 0.81 and already 237 games played. He would need 264pts in his next 142 games, which is impossible for him to do. Sorry, but even if Giroux is a great player, he's not on same level as Malkin!
December 22, 2011
Votes: +2

Chill out nate said:

hockeyguru_87
... Sounds like someone is a little drunk on the Giroux kool aid.
December 22, 2011
Votes: +3

Asif said:

bluck
Mhmm I have both Malkin and Giroux in my keeper league. Guess that's a win smilies/cheesy.gif
December 22, 2011
Votes: +0

ryan Goddard said:

ridinryan44
And... ..his cost/everything ratio would be phenomenal in comparison to any of the top paid players! Giroux is an absolute beast in salary cap leagues.
December 21, 2011
Votes: +0

Nate said:

Nate
Giroux I know some of the Dobber writers have a man crush on Malkin. Sure he's great and all, but Claude Giroux is better.

Don't beleive me? Wait and see who wins the scoring race.
December 21, 2011
Votes: -4
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