One of the classes I remember most from college (and I don’t remember much) is Economics 101. The highlight of this course always seemed to be the section on Supply & Demand, and that folks is why I took a hiatus from DobberHockey.com in the first place. I needed to create a demand for my column … I needed to feel the love of the Dobber minions in order to satisfy my ego … and my wife stopped believing that drinking a case of beer was “part of the creative process”.

 

While I’d like to believe that the recession has not ignored the fantasy hockey world, and that Dobber called back his “Ace” in order to stop the hemorrhaging, the fact is that I just felt it was time to return with a weekly column because SOMEBODY needs to be on board who can make you spit coffee and wet your pants before even brushing your teeth (or tooth) in the morning. Time to start looking forward to Wednesdays again boys (and girls if by some miracle there are any that visit this site)

 

In keeping with the Economic theme, I’d like to take a look at some players who have been top 20 fantasy picks for the past decade, but seem to me to be entering the danger zone. I’m not talking the Mark Recchi types here, but rather the players who could very well have a few more great fantasy seasons in them … but I just really doubt it.

 

CHRIS PRONGER – The game has changed and Pronger hasn’t. The league has made his punishing (dirty) style of play a thing of the past and at 36, the average- at-best speed he once had is now dwarfed by the warp speed play of the young stars. Add in the fact that he is 6’6” and only 205 lbs. and you begin to understand why his injury flea has become a full grown injury bug. Fifteen-plus years of pounding on his rickety frame has added up, although I would still take him as my main d-man in the playoffs over any other.

 

MARTIN BRODEUR – You don’t set every major goaltending record of the modern era by not playing in a sh**load of games, and I for one feel that all those 70-plus game seasons are beginning to take their toll. Add in the fact that the Devils are a team without an identity (are they still kidding themselves that they are a defense orientated  team after spending 1.5 Billion on Kovalchuk) and I begin to see a pattern of nagging injuries, weak support up front, age, and a transition at some point to the goalie of the future. Based on this I would bet good money that Brodeur doesn’t see another 30-win season.

 

JAROME IGINLA – He shoots when he should pass, he passes when he should shoot, and he no longer has the size/speed combination that made him so dangerous in the past. He seems too young to be past his prime, but for some reason he has not flourished in the new style NHL. Perhaps he is just sick of facing those bitchy faced Sutter’s every day, but something is missing from his game and I’m not sure there is enough time left in his career to find It again. Perhaps a move out of cow-town would re-energize him for a few more years, but at his current numbers, he just isn’t worth a top round pick anymore.

 

VINNY LECAVALIER – The passion is gone. Perhaps playing in front of friends and family every home game has taken its toll on the once uber-productive pivot, but he has put up declining numbers the past three years despite playing with some excellent young talent. This kid NEEDS to be traded to Montreal, because I think his heart and his head moved there a few years ago when the trade rumors were swirling. He is just too good to be on a 60-point pace, but something is not right. Unless Tampa can get someone to take his disgusting contract and cap hit ($10,000,000), I would stay away from the big guy, perhaps permanently.

 

JASON SPEZZA – He is one of the most talented players in the league however he is also one of the most frustrating. Here is another young player with tons of skill, who seems to have been born without a heart. He will put up four points effortlessly one night and then be invisible for the next four games. This is also a situation where he just wants out of Ottawa and also isn’t blessed with a ton of talent around him, but you can’t teach passion and I just don’t see it in him. I can honestly see him just collecting a paycheck for the next six or seven years and then retiring in his mid 30’s.

 

I actually need to stop writing this article now because it is depressing. All five guys on my list are Canadian, all five show every indication that they are losing the physical or mental ability to play at an elite level, and all five have (or had been) no brainer picks for the last decade. Now I’m going to get into the whiskey and when my wife comes home at midnight from work I’ll be a blubbering idiot about the state of Canadian hockey. Dobber … you may not have to pay me … but you damn well better have a good benefit plan to cover my liver transplant.

 

I appreciate all the comments and love it when you Fantasy Geeks “talk nerdy to me”

 

Burnsy Out

 


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Comments (18)add comment

Randall said:

The Hockey Hitman
alrighty I respect that the writer of the article says:

Chris Burns wrote:
"Just Wait I had to throw this together last minute .... once I'm writing with a week of thought behind it, you will all be pleased "
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And just like to add, from a fantasy perspective you pretty much hit the nail right on the head. I sold off Lecavalier + Brodeur very early this season. Just omit the unnecessary speculation of "passion is gone" and you're good. Fantasy hockey doesn't dictate a players "passion."
January 21, 2011 | url
Votes: +0

Chris Burns said:

Burnsy
Just Wait I had to throw this together last minute .... once I'm writing with a week of thought behind it, you will all be pleased (except Dobber)
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

Mike said:

slopoke
... I like the article. Good combination of fact, humour and prediction
January 20, 2011
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Repent Tokyo said:

repenttokyo
maybe the image for this article shouldn't be hotlinked from some other server because it refuses to load for me.

address of the pic is: http://traumanotes.com/wp-cont...s_fire.jpg
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

Bomm Bastic said:

Bomm Bastic
Lecav Thought he's been overvalued since the beginning of last year, and people thought I was nuts.

Now he strings together some "hard skating" games and all of a sudden I'm supposed to feel inspired? Please...

Last I checked, "passion" wasn't a scoring cat in my league.
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

Tom said:

Haynes
RE: Hitman has a point I agree with the Hitman's point about Vinny. Clearly he's not putting up points as he once did, but I don't think the passion is gone. As mentioned, he has been playing with a lot of passion and energy since returning, he's just not scoring. The cause likely has more to do with not being the 'go-to' guy in Tampa with Stamkos around and lingering injuries.
If you want a 100 point player you'll be disappointed, but I think he's still a 70-80 point guy.
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

Chris Burns said:

Burnsy
Thanks Mr. Ben You saved me from proving that The Hockey Hitman has no clue. As the article mentions ... this is about guys WHO WERE top 20 picks and no longer warrant that. Guy Boucher has no choice but to "rave" about a 10 million dollar bust. I think you should do yourself a favor and try to get over your man crush on Vinny ... go with Stamkos ... he's waaay cuter. Perhaps my next article will be titled "10 Reasons That Tampa Bay Doesn't Deserve An NHL Team"
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

Mr. Ben said:

Mr. Ben
RE: Hockey Hitman I don't know if Lecavalier is related to you or if you're possibly even Vinny himself trying to defend his place among the Fantasy Studs but I think you're a little hard on Burnsy.
Burnsy is correct....Lecavalier is not relevant fantasy wise. A guy can be valuable in the NHL and still be a fantasy letdown. This article is on fantasy hockey. Unless your pool rewards points for mentoring younger players, your argument is way off base.

P.S. This brilliant and inspiring play of Lecavalier's you're raving about since his injury? He has 12 points in 17 games and is a -8.
(Shaking my head) Fan Boy.
January 20, 2011
Votes: +1

The Hockey Hitman said:

The Hockey Hitman
... The Writer of this article obviously has not been watching Vinny Lecavalier play since returning from his hand injury this season. Vinny is clearly playing some of his most passionate hockey we've seen from him in years. Coach Guy Boucher has been raving about him, his two way play and the example hes setting for younger players.

To say "his passion is gone" is a clear indicator that you are only examining stats/production. Simply put, you didn't do the proper research you should have before including him this piece. While Vinny will probably never put up another 90 or 100 pt season, thats not news to anyone, and hes long-lost his value as a top 10 or so scorer in fantasy leagues. But hes been playing with renewed vigor and determination which you'd known if you actually watch him play.

Do yourself a favor and research a little more, maybe actually watch the games of the players you're telling people to sell off on, before you write your next article. Peace.
January 20, 2011
Votes: -1

mike hess said:

SharkMeat
1 small disagreement I think Iggie can get it back..just not in Calgary as you say. If he went to a team with young talent he could use his skills again without the added pressure of being the only offensive weapon available.....but yea he needs some old fashion motivation to make it work
January 20, 2011
Votes: +1

Bomm Bastic said:

Bomm Bastic
Great Read! I agree w/ all, and "...my wife stopped believing that drinking a case of beer was “part of the creative process”.

toooooooo damn funny!

Looking forward to future reads....
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

D M said:

saywhaaaaat
Iginla In Iggy's defense, the Flames are 14th in the West. The only team below them is Edmonton.

Yet only 5 RW-eligible players in Yahoo! pools have more goals than Iggy. And only 8 RW-eligible players have more assists.

Iggy could realistically finish in the top 5 for each stat, despite playing for an absolute bottom feeder. If that falls below your expectations, then they were far too high to begin with...
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

Shayne Dustin said:

KingGoob
... Burnsy.. you peaked at the 'White Crayon' column.. it was that sort of cutting edge stuff that had me tuned in..
this is the type of stuff I can get by sorting the stats on the NHL website...
It's like watching Brett Favre come out again and again.. at some point you forget he was great and just feel sorry for him..
Go out on an edge.. create some stir..
You haven't been the same since Burke handed you your ass in the infamous Johnston Beach 3 way standoff..

Your better than this man...
Goob

It just makes me sad
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

Tim Kozlow said:

kozzie
... I agree with all these.

Been saying it to myself for about a year now.
Glad to see someone has a little balls to state what to me in a no brainer.

Spezza is a tin man, nothing more.
Never has been.
Alot of denial about him out there.
January 20, 2011
Votes: +1

MT319 said:

MT319
... Most guys i'm with you but I strongly disagree about Spezza...guy came back last year around this same time from an injury afte slumping miserably on to score a point-per-game+ to finish the season...Ottawa as a whole this season has been awful across the board from Spezza, to Gonchar, to Alfie, to their netminding so I wouldn't single out Spezza in that regard as it's been that whole team as a unit...I expect Spezza unlike some of these other guys to comeback and finish strong on his own end so I wouldn't advocate people abandon ship on him right now
January 20, 2011
Votes: +0

Chandan Singh said:

csingh
column pic o, gotta add. liked the old article pictures you used to use. think i saw it pop up again when you chimed in on the anniversary article
January 19, 2011
Votes: +0

Chandan Singh said:

csingh
welcome back pleasant surprise indeed. looking fwd to Wednesdays now
January 19, 2011
Votes: +1

Larry said:

Rollie1967
... The reason theyre all canadian? all the washed up Europeans already left for the KHL. (Yashin,Jagr,Fedorov,Hasek,Kozlov)
January 19, 2011
Votes: +1
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